New Orleans Saints vs San Francisco 49ers Prediction & Picks - NFL

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New Orleans Saints
9/14/25 13:00
San Francisco 49ers

Prediction:

 

Under 40.5

-108
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 by Erik Gibbs | in NFL Picks

The New Orleans Saints host the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday, following the Saints' loss in their season-opening match 20–13. The loss was bitter as the defense did everything asked of them. They held their opposition below 300 yards of offense, forced the opposition to punt, and made life difficult for them.

The offense negated much of this good work. Penalties were the biggest culprit here, taking away promising drives and leaving the Saints in long-yardage situations in which they were unable to convert. It was not a one-time occurrence either, for this is a repeat of the manner in which they vexed themselves in the prior season. The confidence is hence precarious at best and unless the offense becomes more solid, this defense is going to keep putting the team under pressure.

The 49ers opened the season with a tough 17–13 victory. The defense bailed them in the closing moments for a third straight week, this time in the form of a clutch turnover. The ability to come through in the moments that constitute a team's season is the defining characteristic in San Francisco football.

But not everything is going perfectly. Injuries have already upheaved the team at quarterback and tight end and potentially might force in-game adjustments in planning. The roster is rich in depth and the Niners possess more firepower than they possess roster space. The team culture also enshrines a next-man-up mentality of business beyond the slogan.

New Orleans Saints vs San Francisco 49ers Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
7 San Francisco 49ers
0.706 17 12 5
25 New Orleans Saints
0.353 17 6 11

New Orleans Saints and San Francisco 49ers Latest Matches

New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints Latest matches
W L L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
13 :  20
Arizona Cardinals

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
27 :  19
New Orleans Saints

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
10 :  25
Las Vegas Raiders

Dec 23, 2024 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
34 :  0
New Orleans Saints

Dec 15, 2024 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
19 :  20
Washington Commanders

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

New York Giants
11 :  14
New Orleans Saints
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
13 :  20
Arizona Cardinals

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
10 :  25
Las Vegas Raiders

Dec 15, 2024 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
19 :  20
Washington Commanders

Nov 17, 2024 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
35 :  14
Cleveland Browns

Nov 10, 2024 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
20 :  17
Atlanta Falcons

Oct 17, 2024 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
10 :  33
Denver Broncos
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
27 :  19
New Orleans Saints

Dec 23, 2024 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
34 :  0
New Orleans Saints

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

New York Giants
11 :  14
New Orleans Saints

Nov 3, 2024 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
23 :  22
New Orleans Saints

Oct 27, 2024 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
26 :  8
New Orleans Saints

Oct 7, 2024 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
26 :  13
New Orleans Saints
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers Latest matches
W L L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Seattle Seahawks
13 :  17
San Francisco 49ers

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
47 :  24
San Francisco 49ers

Dec 30, 2024 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
34 :  40
Detroit Lions

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
29 :  17
San Francisco 49ers

Dec 12, 2024 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
6 :  12
Los Angeles Rams

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
38 :  13
Chicago Bears
L W L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 30, 2024 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
34 :  40
Detroit Lions

Dec 12, 2024 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
6 :  12
Los Angeles Rams

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
38 :  13
Chicago Bears

Nov 17, 2024 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
17 :  20
Seattle Seahawks

Oct 27, 2024 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
30 :  24
Dallas Cowboys

Oct 20, 2024 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
18 :  28
Kansas City Chiefs
W L L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Seattle Seahawks
13 :  17
San Francisco 49ers

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
47 :  24
San Francisco 49ers

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
29 :  17
San Francisco 49ers

Dec 1, 2024 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
35 :  10
San Francisco 49ers

Nov 24, 2024 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
38 :  10
San Francisco 49ers

Nov 10, 2024 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
20 :  23
San Francisco 49ers

New Orleans Saints against San Francisco 49ers : Head to Head (H2H)

New Orleans Saints

0 %

San Francisco 49ers

100 %

Nov 27, 2022 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
13 :  0
New Orleans Saints

New Orleans Saints - San Francisco 49ers Key Points

  1. The Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Sunday games vs. teams with a winning record
  2. The 49ers are 0-10 ATS in their last 10 games after a win
  3. The Over is 0-6 in the 49ers’ last 6 games after a win
  4. The Over is 1-7 in the Saints’ last 8 Week 2 games vs. NFC teams

Our New Orleans Saints vs San Francisco 49ers Prediction

Alvin Kamara remains the heartbeat of the Saints' offense. He was the catalyst for their one touchdown in Week 1 and is a rushing and receiving threat. The issue is that defenses key in on him, especially if quarterback play is shaky. Spencer Rattler, making his debut, had flashes but ultimately produced little in the passing game.

The Saints desperately need him to settle into the position, avoid fumbling the ball at inopportune moments, and form a strong bond with his wide receiver corps, enabling them to compete with top teams. Christian McCaffrey kicked the 49ers' season off in high gear by picking up precisely where he left off a season ago and recording massive productivity running and receiving out of the backfield.

With questions at the center of it all, his multifaceted nature is even more important. Rookie wideout Ricky Pearsall also had a one-game statement 100-plus yards in the opening week of the season, which gives the Niners a new spark in the passing combination. And of course, Nick Bosa does continue to anchor a defense capable of turning the entire game around in a single play.

Despite their own injury woes, the 49ers seem the more refined team. Their defense should restrain New Orleans' struggling offense, and McCaffrey's multi-tool excellence gives them a reliable arsenal. San Francisco should grind out a low-scoring but controlled win. Our prediction for New Orleans Saints vs San Francisco 49ers: Under 40.5 points.

Prediction:

 

Under 40.5

-108
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New Orleans Saints vs San Francisco 49ers Picks