San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

San Diego Padres
7/1/25 18:35
Philadelphia Phillies

Prediction:

 

Under 8.5 runs.

-119
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 by Carlos Zabala in MLB Picks

The Padres are coming off a painful series loss in Cincinnati, where they were swatted away by the Reds in Game 3. But now their difficult road trip continues, and they were unable to win the series opener against the Phillies.

With odds as low as -225, the Phillies started as favorites to win the series opener against the Padres, and it couldn't be any different with Wheeler pitching. Zack pitched an absolute gem of eight complete innings, striking out 10 and not issuing a single walk. There was no way Waldron, starting the game for the Padres in that uneven pitching duel, could face Wheeler with six walks. With more than 40,000 fans in attendance on Monday, the Phillies only allowed six hits, but at times clutch to win the opener, with Castellanos hitting his 10th home run of the season.

At least the Game 2 pitching duel between Pivetta for the Padres and Sanchez promises greater parity. Pivetta has an 8-2 record in 90-plus innings pitched, and Sanchez has a 2.79 ERA in 90-plus innings in 2025.

San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Form

Table

Teams % P W L
4
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies
0.588 85 50 35
12
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres
0.536 84 45 39

San Diego Padres and Philadelphia Phillies Latest Matches

San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres Latest matches
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jun 30, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
0 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  3
Cincinnati Reds

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
6 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

Jun 27, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
1 :  8
Cincinnati Reds

Jun 25, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
0 :  1
San Diego Padres

Jun 24, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  4
San Diego Padres
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 25, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
0 :  1
San Diego Padres

Jun 24, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  4
San Diego Padres

Jun 23, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
10 :  6
San Diego Padres

Jun 22, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
2 :  3
San Diego Padres

Jun 21, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
1 :  5
San Diego Padres

Jun 20, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
6 :  5
San Diego Padres
L W L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jun 30, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
0 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  3
Cincinnati Reds

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
6 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

Jun 27, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
1 :  8
Cincinnati Reds

Jun 19, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
5 :  3
Los Angeles Dodgers

Jun 18, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  4
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies Latest matches
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jun 30, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
0 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  1
Atlanta Braves

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  6
Atlanta Braves

Jun 27, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
13 :  0
Atlanta Braves

Jun 26, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  2
Houston Astros

Jun 25, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
0 :  2
Houston Astros
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jun 30, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
0 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 22, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  7
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 21, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
11 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 20, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  10
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 15, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
4 :  11
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 14, 2025 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
2 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jun 29, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  1
Atlanta Braves

Jun 28, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  6
Atlanta Braves

Jun 27, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
13 :  0
Atlanta Braves

Jun 26, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  2
Houston Astros

Jun 25, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
0 :  2
Houston Astros

Jun 24, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
0 :  1
Houston Astros

San Diego Padres against Philadelphia Phillies : Head to Head (H2H)

San Diego Padres

17 %

Philadelphia Phillies

83 %

Jun 30, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
0 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 19, 2024 - MLB

San Diego Padres
5 :  2
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 18, 2024 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  4
Philadelphia Phillies

Jun 17, 2024 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  9
Philadelphia Phillies

Apr 28, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
8 :  6
San Diego Padres

Apr 27, 2024 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
5 :  1
San Diego Padres

San Diego Padres - Philadelphia Phillies Key Points

  1. The Padres' O/U record in betting is 34-47
  2. The Phillies' pitching average is second in MLB for strikeouts per 9 innings, at 9.31
  3. The Phillies' record at Citizens Bank Park is 26-14
  4. The Phillies' O/U record this season in the betting is 36-46

Our San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

Although the Padres and Phillies have strong lineups, the Phillies' starting rotation may be the strongest part of the team, with high-strikeout pitchers. Sanchez, for example, has already reached 103 strikeouts this year, but Pivetta for the Padres rivals him with 101. The San Diego bullpen also rarely slips up. Once again, it could be a close, low-run game. Our prediction for Phillies vs Padres is: Under 8.5 runs.

Prediction:

 

Under 8.5 runs.

-119
$150 offered for betting!

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San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks