San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

San Diego Padres
9/18/25 13:10
New York Mets

Prediction:

 

San Diego Padres wins the match

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 by Carlos Zabala in MLB Picks

At Citi Field in Queens, more than 40,000 people gathered to witness the continuation of an epic series between the Mets and Padres, with the New Yorkers needing wins more than ever, but ultimately losing 4-7 to San Diego. Fortunately for Carlos Mendoza's team, the D-backs also lost on Wednesday, so the Mets maintain their 1.5-point lead over Arizona for the final wild card.

Wednesday's game was a spectacle, with the stars on both sides in excellent form, but the Padres' hitting proved to be more clutch. In the fifth inning, with the score tied 2-2, Manny Machado hit a grand slam, scoring Arraez, Tatis, and Cronenworth. It ended up being the game that clinched the game.

Even so, the Mets' bats fought back, with a 3-2 count, and Pivetta missed a breaking pitch against Soto, who ended up homering off him, hitting his 42nd of the season. Earlier, Pete Alonso hit a solo home run early in the game, Marte hit his ninth home run of the year, and Francisco Álvarez connected on another that had to be reviewed by cameras.

Ultimately, it's the Mets' starting pitching that's the main cause of the New Yorkers' disastrous streak they can't shake off. Left-hander Peterson didn't have a standout performance on the mound; he allowed six ERs. The rest of the Mets bullpen pitched four innings of just one ER.

San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Form

Table

Teams % P W L
9
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres
0.546 152 83 69
14
New York Mets
New York Mets
0.513 152 78 74

San Diego Padres and New York Mets Latest Matches

San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres Latest matches
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  4
New York Mets

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  8
New York Mets

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
6 :  9
San Diego Padres

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
3 :  11
San Diego Padres

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
4 :  2
San Diego Padres

Sep 11, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
0 :  2
San Diego Padres
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
6 :  9
San Diego Padres

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
3 :  11
San Diego Padres

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
4 :  2
San Diego Padres

Sep 11, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
0 :  2
San Diego Padres

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  1
San Diego Padres

Sep 9, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4 :  2
San Diego Padres
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  4
New York Mets

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  8
New York Mets

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
8 :  1
Colorado Rockies

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
10 :  8
Colorado Rockies

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
0 :  3
Colorado Rockies

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  7
Minnesota Twins
New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
L L L W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  4
New York Mets

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  8
New York Mets

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
2 :  5
New York Mets

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
3 :  2
New York Mets

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
8 :  3
New York Mets

Sep 11, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies
L L L W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  4
New York Mets

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  8
New York Mets

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
2 :  5
New York Mets

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
3 :  2
New York Mets

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
8 :  3
New York Mets

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  1
New York Mets
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Sep 11, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  11
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 9, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  9
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 8, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  3
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  6
Cincinnati Reds

San Diego Padres against New York Mets : Head to Head (H2H)

San Diego Padres

67 %

New York Mets

33 %

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
7 :  4
New York Mets

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  8
New York Mets

Jul 30, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  5
San Diego Padres

Jul 29, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  7
San Diego Padres

Jul 28, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  7
San Diego Padres

Aug 22, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  3
San Diego Padres

San Diego Padres - New York Mets Key Points

  1. Padres had 12 hits in Wednesday's win
  2. Mets, fifth in MLB with most stolen bases this season
  3. The Mets have lost eight of their last 10 games
  4. The Mets' record as favorites is 39-26. The betting odds are they'll be playing at Citi Field in 2025.

Our San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Prediction

Thursday's series-ending game, before the Mets head to DC to face the Nats, features Jonah Tong facing the Padres' dangerous lineup.

Jonah Tong is a 22-year-old rookie who made waves in his debut, pitching five innings of one-run ball with six strikeouts against the Marlins on August 29.

However, Tong's last two outings, especially the last one, were not . On September 12, he started the game against the Rangers, and recording only two outs, walking three times, and allowing six ERs, left the Mets with no chance of winning that game from the start.

Our prediction for Mets vs Padres is: Padres ML.

Prediction:

 

San Diego Padres wins the match

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San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Picks