San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

San Diego Padres
9/17/25 19:10
New York Mets

Prediction:

 

Under 7.5

-104
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 by Carlos Zabala in MLB Picks

More than 40,000 people turned out to watch the Padres-Mets game on Tuesday, a game New York won 8-3. On Wednesday, betting odds are on NYM-SD as the closest game, with San Diego's Pivetta, with a 13-5 record, facing Mets left-hander David Peterson, with a 9-5 record.

At midseason, when the Mets were leading their division, it was unimaginable that the Mets would be barely holding on to the last NL wild card spot today, being chased in the standings by the D-backs, who are just 1.5 games behind. Fortunately for Carlos Mendoza's team, the Mets have six games remaining, three of which will be against the Nats and the last three against the Marlins to close out the season, teams with a losing record.

September saw the worst stretch for the 2025 Mets, who lost eight in a row against the Reds, Phillies, and Rangers, primarily due to a starting pitching staff that lost the shine it had at the start of the season. However, the Mets reacted in time, thanks in part to Pete Alonso. He hit one home run to leave the Rangers on the field in the final game of the series. He also hit one of the four home runs the Mets hit in the first game of the series against the Padres.

San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Form

Table

Teams % P W L
10
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres
0.543 151 82 69
14
New York Mets
New York Mets
0.517 151 78 73

San Diego Padres and New York Mets Latest Matches

San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres Latest matches
L W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  8
New York Mets

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
6 :  9
San Diego Padres

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
3 :  11
San Diego Padres

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
4 :  2
San Diego Padres

Sep 11, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
0 :  2
San Diego Padres

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  1
San Diego Padres
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
6 :  9
San Diego Padres

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
3 :  11
San Diego Padres

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
4 :  2
San Diego Padres

Sep 11, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
0 :  2
San Diego Padres

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  1
San Diego Padres

Sep 9, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4 :  2
San Diego Padres
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  8
New York Mets

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
8 :  1
Colorado Rockies

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
10 :  8
Colorado Rockies

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
0 :  3
Colorado Rockies

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
2 :  7
Minnesota Twins

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
12 :  3
Minnesota Twins
New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  8
New York Mets

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
2 :  5
New York Mets

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
3 :  2
New York Mets

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
8 :  3
New York Mets

Sep 11, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  11
Philadelphia Phillies
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  8
New York Mets

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
2 :  5
New York Mets

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
3 :  2
New York Mets

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
8 :  3
New York Mets

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  1
New York Mets

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
11 :  8
New York Mets
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Sep 11, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  11
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 9, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  9
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 8, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  3
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  6
Cincinnati Reds

San Diego Padres against New York Mets : Head to Head (H2H)

San Diego Padres

50 %

New York Mets

50 %

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

San Diego Padres
3 :  8
New York Mets

Jul 30, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  5
San Diego Padres

Jul 29, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  7
San Diego Padres

Jul 28, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  7
San Diego Padres

Aug 22, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  3
San Diego Padres

Jun 15, 2024 - MLB

San Diego Padres
1 :  5
New York Mets

San Diego Padres - New York Mets Key Points

  1. Mets: 7th most home runs in MLB and 7th best OPS in MLB
  2. The Mets are fifth in MLB with the most stolen bases this season
  3. Padres' Pitching: sixth-best K/9 ratio in MLB
  4. Padres' Pitching: best BAA in the MLB at .225

Our San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Prediction

As for the Padres, they remain two games behind the Dodgers for the West lead, given the Dodgers' loss to the Phillies on Tuesday. On Tuesday, the Padres trailed the entire game due to an uncharacteristically disastrous outing from pitcher Michael King, who recorded only nine outs; the Mets allowed him 10 hits and eight earned runs.

Luckily for the Padres, Pivetta will pitch on Wednesday. He has had solid numbers this season, posting a 13-5 record in 171.1 innings pitched, with a low ERA and WHIP of 2.73 and 0.95, and averaging more than one strikeout per inning. Pivetta pitched a gem in his last start against the Reds, but received no offensive support.

Our prediction for Padres vs Mets is: Under 7.5 runs

Prediction:

 

Under 7.5

-104
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San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Picks