Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction & Picks - NBA
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by Matt Lowrimore | in NBA Picks
The Western Conference Finals will finally come to an end on Saturday, with a Game 7 between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the San Antonio Spurs. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Thunder and the Spurs.
San Antonio successfully forced a Game 7 by beating Oklahoma City in Game 6 on Thursday night by a score of 118-91. The Spurs simply took over this game, with Victor Wembanyama posting 28 points and 10 rebounds, alongside Stephon Castle, who scored 17 points.
As for Oklahoma City, they simply started this game slowly and were never able to recover. The Thunder had five players score in double figures, but no one scored more than 15 points. Oklahoma City was especially poor shooting from behind the arc, where they went 10 of 40 (25%).
Looking ahead to Game 7, the Spurs will need to bring the same level of intensity as they did in Game 6, while the Thunder will need to be more efficient from the field, especially from the three-point line.
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Form
Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs Latest Matches
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Oklahoma City Thunder against San Antonio Spurs : Head to Head (H2H)
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Oklahoma City Thunder - San Antonio Spurs: Form Analysis
San Antonio has had some success on the road in the playoffs, having posted a record of 5-3 SU thus far.
This includes two wins against the Portland Trail Blazers in the First Round, two wins against the Minnesota Timberwolves in the Conference Semifinals, and one win against the Thunder in Game 1 of this series.
“The Thunder are 6-1 SU at home in the playoffs, while the Spurs are 5-3 ATS on the road in the playoffs.”
Oklahoma City, on the other hand, has had the most success so far in the playoffs when playing at home. As it stands, the Thunder are 6-1 SU in home playoff games.
This includes two home wins against the Phoenix Suns in the First Round, two wins against the Los Angeles Lakers in the Conference Semifinals, and two wins against the Spurs in the Conference Finals.
The only home loss for the Thunder in the playoffs was in Game 1 of this series, which required overtime and a historic game from Victor Wembanyama.
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Players list
C. Wallace
L. Dort
J. Champagnie
S. Castle
D. Fox
Substitutes
I. Joe
N. Topic
J. McCain
A. Wiggins
A. Caruso
J. Williams
D. Harper
J. McLaughlin
L. Waters III
H. Barnes
C. Bryant
Oklahoma City Thunder & San Antonio Spurs Squad Analysis
The top contributor for the Spurs in this series has clearly been Victor Wembanyama. He is averaging 28.2 points per game and 11.5 rebounds per game, and this includes his breakout Game 1, where he scored 41 points and grabbed 24 rebounds.
The other top players in this series for the Spurs include Stephon Castle (18.3 points per game), Devin Vassell (14.3 points per game), Dylan Harper (12.0 points per game), De’Aaron Fox (10.3 points per game), and Julian Champagnie (10.5 points per game).
“The Oklahoma City Thunder have ruled out Jalen Williams (Hamstring) and Ajay Mitchell (Calf) for Game 7 of the Western Conference Finals.”
For the Thunder, they are led by none other than Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. He is averaging 24.3 points per game in the series. Other top contributors in the series include Chet Holmgren (11.8 points per game), Alex Caruso (15.3 points per game), and Jared McCain (13.3 points per game).
Oklahoma City Thunder - San Antonio Spurs Key Points
- The Spurs are averaging 113.0 points per game in the series
- The Thunder are averaging 110.0 points per game in the series
- The Over is 4-2 in the series
- An average of 223.0 total points has been scored per game
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Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction
The Thunder are the small favorites; however, the over looks to be the best betting option. There has been no shortage of points throughout this series, as four of the six games have gone over the total. More specifically, there has been an average of 223 points per game in the series.
Further, it is also important to note that the only two unders in this series have been when the games were played in San Antonio. To this point, Game 7 will be played in Oklahoma City, where the over is a perfect 3-0. For that reason, our Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs prediction is: Over 212.5 Total Points.Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs - Other Interesting Picks
San Antonio Spurs +3.5
Our second pick for this Game 7 will be for the Spurs to cover the spread. San Antonio has admittedly had their issues on the road in this series. Minus the Game 1 win, the Spurs have gone on to lose Games 2 and 5 by an average margin of 14.0 points per game.
That being said, this is as big as it gets with a trip to the NBA Finals on the line. Because of that, we expected a tightly contested game with the potential for the game to be won on the final possession. For that reason, backing the Spurs +3.5 is our play.
Stephon Castle to Score 15+ Points
Our third pick for this game will target Stephon Castle, from the San Antonio Spurs, to score at least 15+ points. Castle has easily been one of San Antonio’s most important players throughout this series, as he is averaging 18.3 points per game.
Further, Castle has scored at least 15+ points in four of the six games in the series, which includes all three of the games that have been played in Oklahoma City.
Given how consistent and reliable Castle has been in this series, backing Castle to score at least 15+ points in Game 7 will be our favorite player prop.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs match : Frequently asked questions
The 2026 NBA Finals will begin on Wednesday, June 3rd, and will see the New York Knicks take on either the San Antonio Spurs or the Oklahoma City Thunder.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
