Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
5/26/26 20:30
San Antonio Spurs

Prediction:

 

San Antonio Spurs +5.5

-110
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 by Matt Lowrimore | in NBA Picks

The Western Conference Finals are set to head back to Oklahoma City for a crucial Game 5 between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the San Antonio Spurs. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Thunder and the Spurs.

After a poor outing in Game 3, San Antonio made a statement in Game 4, beating Oklahoma City by 21 points to even the series at 2-2. The Spurs now head back on the road for Game 5, where they have already proven they can win. Unlike in the first three games of this series, the Spurs’ defense was their strength, holding the Thunder to just 83 points. Further, San Antonio has been aided by a balanced scoring effort, which suggests they will be able to do the same in Game 5.

As for Oklahoma City, Game 4 was by far their worst performance of this series and the playoffs as a whole. The Thunder have been somewhat inconsistent in terms of getting effective bench production, casting doubt on an emphatic win in Game 5.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Form

Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs Latest Matches

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder Latest matches
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 24, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
103 :  82
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 22, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
108 :  123
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 20, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
122 :  113
San Antonio Spurs

May 18, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
115 :  122
San Antonio Spurs

May 11, 2026 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
110 :  115
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 9, 2026 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
108 :  131
Oklahoma City Thunder
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 20, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
122 :  113
San Antonio Spurs

May 18, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
115 :  122
San Antonio Spurs

May 7, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
125 :  107
Los Angeles Lakers

May 5, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
108 :  90
Los Angeles Lakers

Apr 22, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
120 :  107
Phoenix Suns

Apr 19, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
119 :  84
Phoenix Suns
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 24, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
103 :  82
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 22, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
108 :  123
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 11, 2026 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
110 :  115
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 9, 2026 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
108 :  131
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 27, 2026 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
122 :  131
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 25, 2026 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
109 :  121
Oklahoma City Thunder
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs Latest matches
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 24, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
103 :  82
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 22, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
108 :  123
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 20, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
122 :  113
San Antonio Spurs

May 18, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
115 :  122
San Antonio Spurs

May 15, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
109 :  139
San Antonio Spurs

May 12, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
126 :  97
Minnesota Timberwolves
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 24, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
103 :  82
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 22, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
108 :  123
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 12, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
126 :  97
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 6, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
133 :  95
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 4, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
102 :  104
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 28, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
114 :  95
Portland Trail Blazers
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 20, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
122 :  113
San Antonio Spurs

May 18, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
115 :  122
San Antonio Spurs

May 15, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
109 :  139
San Antonio Spurs

May 10, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
114 :  109
San Antonio Spurs

May 8, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
108 :  115
San Antonio Spurs

Apr 26, 2026 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
93 :  114
San Antonio Spurs

Oklahoma City Thunder against San Antonio Spurs : Head to Head (H2H)

Oklahoma City Thunder

50 %

San Antonio Spurs

50 %

May 24, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
103 :  82
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 22, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
108 :  123
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 20, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
122 :  113
San Antonio Spurs

May 18, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
115 :  122
San Antonio Spurs

Feb 4, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
116 :  106
Oklahoma City Thunder

Jan 13, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
119 :  98
San Antonio Spurs
Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Picks

Players list

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
C. Holmgren I. Hartenstein S. Gilgeous-Alexander

J. McCain

L. Dort

San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs
D. Vassell V. Wembanyama

J. Champagnie

S. Castle

D. Fox

Substitutes

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
K. Williams

I. Joe

N. Topic

C. Wallace

A. Wiggins

A. Caruso

J. Williams

San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs
K. Olynyk B. Biyombo M. Plumlee L. Kornet K. Johnson

D. Harper

J. McLaughlin

L. Waters III

H. Barnes

C. Bryant

Oklahoma City Thunder - San Antonio Spurs Key Points

  1. San Antonio is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games
  2. San Antonio is 8-4 ATS in their last 12 vs Oklahoma City
  3. Oklahoma City is 8-2 SU in their last 10 games in May
  4. Oklahoma City is 17-2 SU in their last 19 home games

Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction

Given that the series is moving back to Oklahoma City, the Thunder have been set as the clear favorite. That being said, the Spurs look to be the best betting option. San Antonio has overall been very competitive against Oklahoma City, having covered the spread in nine of their last 13 meetings against them.

The Spurs have already covered the spread in two of the four games in this series (both of their wins), and the Game 4 blowout win suggests they will continue this trend in Game 5. Oklahoma City has nearly been unbeatable at home; however, considering the importance of this game, our Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs prediction is: San Antonio Spurs +5.5.

Prediction:

 

San Antonio Spurs +5.5

-110
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.