Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
5/10/26 19:30
San Antonio Spurs

Prediction:

 

The Timberwolves will win

+158
$250 offered for betting!

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 by Lou Aguila | in NBA Picks

The Minnesota Timberwolves are 7-1 in their last 8 home games against the San Antonio Spurs. The T-Wolves will walk into Game 4 as a tempting underdog pick at +158.

Momentum:

The San Antonio Spurs can build a commanding 3-1 series lead with another win at Target Center on Sunday. With Victor Wembanyama imposing his dominance on both ends of the floor in his first postseason run, the Spurs march into Game 4 looking poised to deliver another exceptional showing on the road.

The Minnesota Timberwolves find themselves in a win-now or go-home situation following a 108-115 loss in Game 3. The T-Wolves, who are seeking a third consecutive trip to the Western Conference finals, will be banking on their collective playoff experience to outplay this young but uber-talented Spurs squad.

The Matchup:

The Spurs have claimed 3 of their last 4 games against the Wolves. Nevertheless, Minnesota has protected its home floor in 7 out of the last 8 games against San Antonio at Target Center.

Hot on the Board:

Sportsbook set the spread at 4.5 points as major sportsbooks in the US anticipate another close battle in Game 4. Despite their recent home dominance against the Spurs, the Timberwolves earned a +158 underdog value while the Spurs got a -190 price as the road favorites. Caesars also adjusts the over/under back to 218.5 points, which was the total for Game 1, after lowering it to 217.50 in Game 2 and 216.5 points in Game 3.

Up to $250 to bet on Minnesota Timberwolves - San Antonio Spurs! 

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Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Form

Minnesota Timberwolves and San Antonio Spurs Latest Matches

Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves Latest matches
W L W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 8, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
108 :  115
San Antonio Spurs

May 6, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
133 :  95
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 4, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
102 :  104
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 30, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
110 :  98
Denver Nuggets

Apr 27, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
125 :  113
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 25, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
112 :  96
Denver Nuggets
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 8, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
108 :  115
San Antonio Spurs

Apr 30, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
110 :  98
Denver Nuggets

Apr 25, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
112 :  96
Denver Nuggets

Apr 23, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
113 :  96
Denver Nuggets

Apr 12, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
132 :  126
New Orleans Pelicans

Apr 5, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
108 :  122
Charlotte Hornets
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 6, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
133 :  95
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 4, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
102 :  104
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 27, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
125 :  113
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 20, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
114 :  119
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 18, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
116 :  105
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 10, 2026 - NBA

Houston Rockets
132 :  136
Minnesota Timberwolves
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 8, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
108 :  115
San Antonio Spurs

May 6, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
133 :  95
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 4, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
102 :  104
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 28, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
114 :  95
Portland Trail Blazers

Apr 26, 2026 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
93 :  114
San Antonio Spurs

Apr 24, 2026 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
108 :  120
San Antonio Spurs
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 6, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
133 :  95
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 4, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
102 :  104
Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 28, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
114 :  95
Portland Trail Blazers

Apr 21, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
103 :  106
Portland Trail Blazers

Apr 19, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
111 :  98
Portland Trail Blazers

Apr 12, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
118 :  128
Denver Nuggets
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 8, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
108 :  115
San Antonio Spurs

Apr 26, 2026 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
93 :  114
San Antonio Spurs

Apr 24, 2026 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
108 :  120
San Antonio Spurs

Apr 4, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
136 :  134
San Antonio Spurs

Apr 2, 2026 - NBA

LA Clippers
99 :  118
San Antonio Spurs

Apr 1, 2026 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
113 :  127
San Antonio Spurs

Minnesota Timberwolves against San Antonio Spurs : Head to Head (H2H)

Minnesota Timberwolves

50 %

San Antonio Spurs

50 %

May 8, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
108 :  115
San Antonio Spurs

May 6, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
133 :  95
Minnesota Timberwolves

May 4, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
102 :  104
Minnesota Timberwolves

Jan 17, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
126 :  123
Minnesota Timberwolves

Jan 11, 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
104 :  103
San Antonio Spurs

Nov 30, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
125 :  112
San Antonio Spurs
Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Picks

Players list

Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves
R. Gobert J. Randle

A. Edwards

A. Dosunmu

J. McDaniels

San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs
V. Wembanyama D. Vassell

J. Champagnie

S. Castle

D. Fox

Substitutes

Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves
N. Reid J. Beringer

T. Shannon Jr.

J. Clark

B. Hyland

M. Conley

J. Phillips

K. Anderson

J. Ingles

San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs
K. Johnson K. Olynyk B. Biyombo M. Plumlee L. Kornet

D. Harper

J. McLaughlin

L. Waters III

H. Barnes

C. Bryant

Minnesota Timberwolves - San Antonio Spurs Key Points

  1. Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against San Antonio.
  2. Minnesota is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games against an opponent in the Western Conference
  3. San Antonio is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games against Minnesota.
  4. San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Western Conference
Up to $250 to bet on Minnesota Timberwolves - San Antonio Spurs! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook

Our Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction

Fearless Forecast: Minnesota ties the series at 2-2 behind a fourth-quarter outburst.

The Difference Maker: The Timberwolves will ramp up their physicality against Victor Wembanyama to neutralize his impact on both ends of the floor. Minnesota will designate multiple defenders on Wembanyama, all tasked to turn the Spurs' big man into a jump shooter rather than allowing him to wreak havoc in the shaded lane as he did in Games 2 and 3.

The Bet: The Wolves are an attractive underdog pick at +158, not only because of their 4-1 record in their last 5 home games, but this is a team that has been in the last Western Conference finals series.

It is a well-coached squad with a ruthlessly competitive alpha dog in Anthony Edwards, who will do everything in his power to prevent the Spurs from taking a 3-1 lead.

Minnesota has had several chances to win Game 3. They trailed the Spurs by only two points, 100-102, with 5:40 left in that game before Wembanyama unloaded five crucial points to put Minnesota away for good.

The T-Wolves are expected to take their defensive intensity to another level. Minnesota always has the personnel (Naz Reid, Rudy Gobert, and Jaden McDaniels) to slow down Wembanyama, and it all comes down to playing consistent, locked-down defense throughout the match.

Our betting prediction for the San Antonio Spurs vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves: The Timberwolves will win.

Prediction:

 

The Timberwolves will win

+158
$250 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.