Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction & Picks - NBA
USA - NBA
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by Carlos Zabala | in NBA Picks
The Spurs last faced the Heat on October 30th of last year. They won 107-101, with Wembanyama scoring 27 points. San Antonio's victory snapped a five-game winning streak Miami had against them. On Monday, March 23rd, San Antonio, currently second in the West with a 53-18 record, faces the Heat, who desperately need a win as they sit ninth in the East with a 38-33 record. The odds favor the Spurs by 5.5 points at the Kaseya Center.
Both teams had Sunday off. On Saturday, the Heat lost by one point to the Rockets. For Houston, Thompson's shot off Durant's attempt bounced off the rim, giving them the win. It was a frustrating loss for the Heat, as they were leading 122-121 with five seconds remaining after Adebayo's free throws. He finished with 32 points and tied his career high in rebounds with 21.
Later that day, the Spurs faced the last-place Pacers; they easily defeated them, extending their winning streak to 21 of their last 23 games. Wembanyama was listed as questionable minutes before tip-off, but he seemed to feel good during warmups and ended up playing; the Frenchman scored 20 points against Indiana.
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Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
0.756 | 82 | 62 | 20 | |
|
17
|
0.524 | 82 | 43 | 39 | 2 |
Miami Heat and San Antonio Spurs Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Mar 21, 2026 - NBA
Mar 19, 2026 - NBA
Mar 17, 2026 - NBA
Mar 14, 2026 - NBA
Mar 12, 2026 - NBA
Mar 10, 2026 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Mar 19, 2026 - NBA
Mar 14, 2026 - NBA
Mar 12, 2026 - NBA
Mar 10, 2026 - NBA
Mar 8, 2026 - NBA
Mar 5, 2026 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Mar 21, 2026 - NBA
Mar 17, 2026 - NBA
Mar 6, 2026 - NBA
Feb 26, 2026 - NBA
Feb 24, 2026 - NBA
Feb 20, 2026 - NBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Mar 21, 2026 - NBA
Mar 19, 2026 - NBA
Mar 17, 2026 - NBA
Mar 16, 2026 - NBA
Mar 14, 2026 - NBA
Mar 12, 2026 - NBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Mar 21, 2026 - NBA
Mar 19, 2026 - NBA
Mar 14, 2026 - NBA
Mar 12, 2026 - NBA
Mar 10, 2026 - NBA
Mar 8, 2026 - NBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Mar 17, 2026 - NBA
Mar 16, 2026 - NBA
Mar 3, 2026 - NBA
Mar 1, 2026 - NBA
Feb 26, 2026 - NBA
Feb 25, 2026 - NBA
Miami Heat against San Antonio Spurs : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
Oct 30, 2025 - NBA
Jul 5, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Feb 1, 2025 - NBA
Jan 19, 2025 - NBA
Feb 7, 2024 - NBA
Nov 12, 2023 - NBA
Players list
P. Larsson
T. Herro
D. Mitchell
A. Wiggins
J. Champagnie
S. Castle
D. Fox
Substitutes
K. Jakucionis
N. Powell
D. Smith
K. Johnson
J. Jaquez Jr.
M. Gardner
N. Jovic
S. Fontecchio
D. Harper
J. McLaughlin
L. Waters III
H. Barnes
C. Bryant
Miami Heat - San Antonio Spurs Key Points
- Adebayo, of the Heat, is averaging 20.4 points per game
- The Heat have won 8 of their last 10 games against the Spurs
- The Heat are second in the NBA in points per game with 120.3
- The Heat are second in the NBA in rebounds per game with 46.8
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Our Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction
Statistically, being ninth doesn't do the Heat justice, as Miami boasts the fastest pace in the league, ranks fifth in assists per game, and has the sixth-best defensive rating in the NBA.
These factors indicate that the Heat, even without Powell and Wiggins, should be capable of mounting a formidable home defense. In betting, the Heat covering the spread has consistently paid off; their ATS record this season is 42-28-1.
Our prediction for Heat vs Spurs is: Heat +5.5.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
