Sacramento Kings vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Sacramento Kings
11/14/25 20:00
Minnesota Timberwolves

Prediction:

 

More than 240.5 goals

-105
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 by Erik Gibbs in NBA Picks

The Sacramento Kings head into today's NBA Cup group-stage matchup at Target Center searching for any kind of spark. Sacramento's 3-9 start has been plagued by defensive breakdowns, and their current four-game losing streak has exposed those issues even further. During this skid, the Kings have allowed at least 132 points in three of the four losses, including last week's 144-117 collapse against these same Minnesota Timberwolves. Even when Sacramento has shot the ball well enough to stay competitive, those offensive gains have been washed away by an inability to get stops, protect the paint, or keep opponents off the offensive glass.

Minnesota, on the other hand, continues to trend upward. Winners of five of their last six, the Timberwolves have blended efficient scoring with elite size and interior dominance. Their frontcourt, anchored by Rudy Gobert and Karl-Anthony Towns, has dictated the rebounding battle and shut down second-chance opportunities for opponents. The Wolves' starting lineup has consistently provided strong two-way output, while Naz Reid has continued to be a major difference-maker off the bench, offering instant offense and energy.

The Wolves' recent win over Utah showcased their ability to control tempo, execute late, and generate high-quality looks across the roster. Their combination of rim protection, perimeter pressure, and versatile scoring makes them a difficult matchup for a Kings team that's already struggling to stay organized defensively. Sacramento's recent performance in transition defense and pick-and-roll coverage is especially worrying, given Minnesota's improved ball movement and increased confidence in attacking mismatches.

Sacramento Kings vs Minnesota Timberwolves Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
6
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves
0.636 11 7 4 3
13
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings
0.25 12 3 9 -4

Sacramento Kings and Minnesota Timberwolves Latest Matches

Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings Latest matches
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Nov 12, 2025 - NBA

Atlanta Hawks
133 :  100
Sacramento Kings

Nov 11, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
122 :  108
Sacramento Kings

Nov 9, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
144 :  117
Sacramento Kings

Nov 7, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
132 :  101
Sacramento Kings

Nov 5, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
116 :  121
Sacramento Kings

Nov 3, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
124 :  130
Denver Nuggets
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Nov 12, 2025 - NBA

Atlanta Hawks
133 :  100
Sacramento Kings

Nov 11, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
122 :  108
Sacramento Kings

Nov 9, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
144 :  117
Sacramento Kings

Nov 7, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
132 :  101
Sacramento Kings

Nov 5, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
116 :  121
Sacramento Kings

Oct 26, 2025 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
127 :  120
Sacramento Kings
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Nov 3, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
124 :  130
Denver Nuggets

Nov 1, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
135 :  133
Milwaukee Bucks

Oct 29, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
113 :  126
Chicago Bulls

Oct 28, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
101 :  107
Oklahoma City Thunder

Oct 22, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
116 :  120
Phoenix Suns

Jul 20, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Sacramento Kings
78 :  83
Charlotte Hornets
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Nov 10, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
120 :  113
Utah Jazz

Nov 9, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
144 :  117
Sacramento Kings

Nov 7, 2025 - NBA

Utah Jazz
97 :  137
Minnesota Timberwolves

Nov 5, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
114 :  137
New York Knicks

Nov 3, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
125 :  109
Brooklyn Nets

Nov 1, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
122 :  105
Charlotte Hornets
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 7, 2025 - NBA

Utah Jazz
97 :  137
Minnesota Timberwolves

Oct 29, 2025 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
116 :  115
Minnesota Timberwolves

Oct 27, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
127 :  114
Minnesota Timberwolves

Oct 26, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
110 :  114
Minnesota Timberwolves

Jul 19, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Houston Rockets
104 :  101
Minnesota Timberwolves

Jul 16, 2025 - NBA Summer League

Phoenix Suns
85 :  89
Minnesota Timberwolves
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Nov 10, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
120 :  113
Utah Jazz

Nov 9, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
144 :  117
Sacramento Kings

Nov 5, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
114 :  137
New York Knicks

Nov 3, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
125 :  109
Brooklyn Nets

Nov 1, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
122 :  105
Charlotte Hornets

Oct 24, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
110 :  128
Los Angeles Lakers

Sacramento Kings against Minnesota Timberwolves : Head to Head (H2H)

Sacramento Kings

50 %

Minnesota Timberwolves

50 %

Nov 9, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
144 :  117
Sacramento Kings

Feb 3, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
116 :  114
Minnesota Timberwolves

Nov 27, 2024 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
115 :  104
Minnesota Timberwolves

Nov 15, 2024 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
130 :  126
Sacramento Kings

Oct 24, 2024 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
117 :  115
Sacramento Kings

Mar 1, 2024 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
124 :  120
Minnesota Timberwolves

Sacramento Kings - Minnesota Timberwolves Key Points

  1. The Over is 7-0 in the Timberwolves’ last 7 home games vs. Western Conference teams
  2. The Over is 5-1 in the Kings’ last 6 road games
  3. The road team is 11-0 in the last 11 games between the Kings and Timberwolves
  4. The road team is 11-0 ATS in the last 11 games between the Kings and Timberwolves

Our Sacramento Kings vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

Injuries only add to the challenge. Sacramento enters this game without several key backcourt and wing contributors, as Malik Monk, Zach LaVine, and Keegan Murray are all ruled out. That leaves the Kings unusually thin in perimeter creation and defensive versatility. Without Monk's scoring punch and playmaking, and without Murray's two-way presence, Sacramento's starting unit has struggled to sustain pressure on either end. The Kings have also lacked cohesion in half-court sets, often relying too heavily on De'Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis to initiate everything. Against a defense as disciplined and physical as Minnesota's, that imbalance becomes even more pronounced.

These teams just met on Sunday, and Minnesota's 144-point outburst wasn't a fluke. The Timberwolves consistently exploited the Kings' weak points, scoring at will inside and knocking down rhythm threes when Sacramento collapsed too aggressively. Given the Kings' depleted rotation and recent trends, it's hard to envision a dramatic turnaround on the road. While Sacramento will be eager for revenge, the matchup still tilts heavily in Minnesota's favor.

Even with Terrence Shannon Jr. listed as questionable, Minnesota's rotation has shown enough depth and balance to absorb short-term absences. The Timberwolves enter rested, confident, and fully capable of taking advantage of a Kings squad that hasn't shown signs of stabilizing. Our prediction for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Sacramento Kings: Over 240.5 points.

Prediction:

 

More than 240.5 goals

-105
$300+ offered for betting!

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Sacramento Kings vs Minnesota Timberwolves Picks