Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction & Picks - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Roma
5/4/26 14:45
Fiorentina

Prediction:

 

Draw and both teams to score

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 by Simon Day | in Serie A Picks

Roma's late season push for a Champions League place faces a tough test on Monday evening, as they host in-form Fiorentina at the Stadio Olimpico.

Roma are currently three points behind fourth place Juve, but given the fact that Juve have an easy looking game at home to Verona on Sunday, anything less than three points for Gian Piero Gasperini's on Monday would put a huge dent in their Champions League aspirations. 

Whilst it has been a largely dismal campaign for Fiorentina, they have shown a few positive signs over the last month and will travel to the capital on the back of a seven match unbeaten run that includes three victories and four draws. 

When the sides met earlier this season, first half goals from Matias Soule and Bryan Cristante helped Roma come from behind to secure three points. 

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Roma vs Fiorentina Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Roma
73 38 23 4 11 +28
15 Fiorentina
42 38 9 15 14 -9

Roma and Fiorentina Latest Matches

Roma
Roma Latest matches
L W L W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 25, 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  2
Roma

Apr 18, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
Atalanta

Apr 10, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  0
Pisa SC

Apr 5, 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
5 :  2
Roma

Mar 22, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Lecce

Mar 19, 2026 - Europa League

Roma
3 :  4
Bologna
W D L W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 18, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
Atalanta

Apr 10, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  0
Pisa SC

Mar 22, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Lecce

Mar 19, 2026 - Europa League

Roma
3 :  4
Bologna

Mar 1, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  3
Juventus

Feb 22, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  0
Cremonese
D L D L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 25, 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  2
Roma

Apr 5, 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
5 :  2
Roma

Mar 15, 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
2 :  1
Roma

Mar 12, 2026 - Europa League

Bologna
1 :  1
Roma

Mar 8, 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Roma

Feb 15, 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  2
Roma
Fiorentina
Fiorentina Latest matches
W L W W D D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Apr 26, 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  0
Sassuolo

Apr 20, 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  1
Fiorentina

Apr 16, 2026 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Crystal Palace

Apr 13, 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Lazio

Apr 9, 2026 - Conference League

Crystal Palace
3 :  0
Fiorentina

Apr 4, 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  1
Fiorentina
D W D W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Apr 26, 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  0
Sassuolo

Apr 16, 2026 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Crystal Palace

Apr 13, 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Lazio

Mar 22, 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
Inter Milan

Mar 12, 2026 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  1
RKS Rakow Czestochowa

Mar 8, 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  0
Parma
L W W W L D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 20, 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  1
Fiorentina

Apr 9, 2026 - Conference League

Crystal Palace
3 :  0
Fiorentina

Apr 4, 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  1
Fiorentina

Mar 19, 2026 - Conference League

RKS Rakow Czestochowa
1 :  2
Fiorentina

Mar 16, 2026 - Serie A

Cremonese
1 :  4
Fiorentina

Mar 2, 2026 - Serie A

Udinese
3 :  0
Fiorentina

Roma against Fiorentina : Head to Head (H2H)

Roma

33 %

Draw

33 %

Fiorentina

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Oct 5, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Roma

May 4, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Fiorentina

Oct 27, 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
5 :  1
Roma

Mar 10, 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Roma

Dec 10, 2023 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
Fiorentina

May 27, 2023 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Roma
Roma vs Fiorentina Picks

Roma against Fiorentina Lineups: Starting 11

Roma

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

99
M. Svilar
23
G. Mancini
5
E. Ndicka
22
M. Hermoso
19
Z. Celik
4
B. Cristante
17
M. Kone
43
W. Franca
18
M. Soule
61
N. Pisilli
14
D. Malen
19
M. Solomon
10
A. Gudmundsson
17
J. Harrison
27
C. Ndour
44
N. Fagioli
4
M. Brescianini
21
R. Gosens
6
L. Ranieri
5
M. Pongracic
2
Dodo
43
D. De Gea

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Fiorentina

Substitutes

Roma
Roma
Goalkeeper

G. De Marzi

P. Gollini

Defender

K. Tsimikas

J. Ziolkowski

M. Hermoso 83'

D. Ghilardi

G. Mancini 72'

D. Rensch

Angelino

Forward

S. El Shaarawy

M. Kone 64'

R. Vaz

D. Malen 83'

P. Dybala

M. Soule 72'

L. Venturino

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Goalkeeper

O. Christensen

L. Lezzerini

Defender

P. Comuzzo

M. Pongracic 46'

D. Rugani

E. Kouadio

F. Parisi

J. Harrison 45'

Midfielder

A. Pirro

G. Fabbian

M. Brescianini 75'

J. Fazzini

N. Fagioli 75'

R. Mandragora

Forward

R. Braschi

A. Gudmundsson 45'

Missing players

Roma
Roma
Midfielder

N. El Aynaoui

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Forward

M. Kean

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Roma
CD Huachipato Fiorentina
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands D. Malen (14 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy M. Kean (8 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina P. Dybala (7 Assists)
Best assists
Iceland A. Gudmundsson (4 Assists)

Roma - Fiorentina Key Points

  1. Fiorentina are on a seven game unbeaten run
  2. Both teams have scored in 5 of the last 6 Roma-Fiorentina fixtures
  3. Fiorentina have drawn 13 games this season - the most in Serie A
  4. Roma have scored in 15 of their last 16 games against Fiorentina
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Our Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction

Roma are short priced favorites here, but whilst their league position and strong home form points towards a comfortable win, Fiorentina's recent results suggests they may be able to spring a surprise. 

Whilst La Viola don't win a huge amount of games, they have become very hard to beat and have now gone over two months without tasting defeat in the league.

As such, we think there is a lot of value in backing the game to finish in a score draw.

Our prediction for Roma vs Fiorentina is: Draw and both teams to score. 

Prediction:

 

Draw and both teams to score

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$150 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.