Reilly Opelka vs Murphy Cassone Prediction & Picks - ATP Washington Citi Open

ATP - ATP Washington Citi Open

ATP 74 USA
Reilly Opelka
7/21/25 15:00
ATP 185 USA
Murphy Cassone

Prediction:

 

Reily Opelka to cover -3.5 games

-115
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 by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks

Reilly Opelka of the United States will battle compatriot Murphy Cassone in the first round of the 2025 Mubadala City Open on Monday in Washington D.C.

Opelka will be returning to the hard-court after picking six grass-court victories and making the second round of the 2025 Wimbledon Open. The big-serving American carries a 9-6 record on hard court this year and a 53.9 percent win in indoor matches throughout his career. Opelka accomplished his best finish at a major tournament almost four years ago, when he reached the fourth round of the 2021 US Open Championships.

Cassone punched his ticket to the main draw of the 2025 Washington Open after upsetting Rinky Hijikata of Australia 7-6(4) 1-2 ret. in the final qualification match. The 22-year-old Cassone currently ranks 185th in the world, but he holds a respectable 51-37 record in outdoor hardcourt matches. Cassone will be playing his 7th career match on the main tour on Monday after going 4-2 in his first six assignments on the ATP main tour level.

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Reilly Opelka vs Murphy Cassone Form

Reilly Opelka and Murphy Cassone Latest Matches

Reilly Opelka Latest matches
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 3, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Brandon Nakashima
3 :  1
Reilly Opelka

Jul 1, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Alexander Shevchenko
0 :  3
Reilly Opelka

Jun 25, 2025 - ATP Eastbourne International

Jakub Mensik
2 :  0
Reilly Opelka

Jun 24, 2025 - ATP Eastbourne International

George Loffhagen
1 :  2
Reilly Opelka

Jun 19, 2025 - ATP London - Queen's

Reilly Opelka
0 :  2
Arthur Rinderknech

Jun 17, 2025 - ATP London - Queen's

Reilly Opelka
2 :  0
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Murphy Cassone Latest matches
L L L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 20, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Rinky Hijikata
abort
Murphy Cassone

Jul 19, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Thai-Son Kwiatkowski
0 :  2
Murphy Cassone

Jul 13, 2025 - ATP Los Cabos Open

Murphy Cassone
0 :  2
Nicolas Mejia

Jul 12, 2025 - ATP Los Cabos Open

Murphy Cassone
2 :  1
Evan Zhu

Jul 8, 2025 - ATP Challenger Newport, USA Men Singles

Brandon Holt
2 :  0
Murphy Cassone

Jun 23, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Alexis Galarneau
2 :  1
Murphy Cassone
Compare Reilly Opelka and Murphy Cassone with our comparison tool.

Reilly Opelka - Murphy Cassone Key Points

  1. Reilly Opelka carries a 9-6 record on hard courts in 2025.
  2. Reilly Opelka reached the round of 16 of the 2021 US Open.
  3. Murphy Cassone defeated Rinky Hijikata 7-6(4) 1-2 ret. in the final qualifier of the 2025 Washington Open.
  4. Murphy Cassone has a 51-37 record on hard courts.
Up to $250 to bet on Reilly Opelka - Murphy Cassone! 

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Our Reilly Opelka vs Murphy Cassone Prediction

Why should you pick Reilly Opelka to cover -3.5 games? Opelka is a firm pick to win by at least four games against Cassone, who only has one win against the ATP top-100 players. Meanwhile, Opelka parades a solid 52 percent win rate on the ATP Main Tour with a 9-6 slate in indoor hardcourt matches this year. The return to the hard court also means that Opelka’s serves will have more oomph to them, making it harder for most of his opponents to break the big-serving American. Cassone has only converted 4 out of 19 breakpoint chances in the two qualification matches, raising the question whether he has the return game to neutralize Opelka’s thunderous serves.

Our betting prediction for Reilly Opelka vs. Murphy Cassone: Reilly Opelka will cover -3.5 games.

Prediction:

 

Reily Opelka to cover -3.5 games

-115
$250 offered for betting!

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Reilly Opelka vs Murphy Cassone Picks
Up to $250 to bet on Reilly Opelka - Murphy Cassone! 

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