Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev Prediction & Picks - ATP Shanghai Masters
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Shanghai Masters Picks
Rei Sakamoto looks to weaponize his big first serves against Andrey Rublev, who has struggled to convert break points in the past two tournaments.
Sakamoto is fairly priced at -150 to cover +1.5 sets.
Current Form:
Andrey Rublev has gone 5-2 in the Asian swing of the ATP Tour. The former world No.5 reached the championship match at the 2026 Hangzhou, falling to his old pal Daniil Medvedev 5-7, 4-6. Rublev picked up three-set wins over Tallon Griekspoor and Roman Safiullin before losing to Alex De Minaur in another three-setter.
Rei Sakamoto advanced to the second round of the 2026 Shanghai Masters with a 6-3, 7-5 win over Marco Trangelliti 6-3, 7-5. Sakamoto qualified for the main draw of this ATP 1000 event after working through the qualifiers, securing wins over Seongchan Hong 6-3, 7-5 and Kyrian Jacquet 7-6, 4-6, 7-6.
The Matchup: This will be the first meeting between Sakamoto and Rublev.
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Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev Form
Rei Sakamoto and Andrey Rublev Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Oct 7, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 6, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 5, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Sep 30, 2026 - ATP Japan Open
Sep 2, 2026 - ATP US Open
Aug 30, 2026 - ATP US Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Oct 4, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Oct 3, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Oct 1, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Sep 29, 2026 - ATP Hangzhou Open
Sep 28, 2026 - ATP Hangzhou Open
Sep 27, 2026 - ATP Hangzhou Open
Rei Sakamoto - Andrey Rublev Key Points
- Rei Sakamoto is 26-15 on hard courts in 2026.
- Rei Sakamoto is 5-7 in first-round matches.
- Andrey Rublev reached the final of the 2026 Hangzhou Open.
- Andrey Rublev is a former world No.5.
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Our Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev Prediction
Key Stats: Rei Sakamoto has won 74.1 percent of his first serves and saved 8 of 12 breakpoints in 3 matches in Shanghai.
What to Expect: There’s a solid chance for Sakamoto to pull off a surprise here. He might not be a shoo-in to win because of his 0-5 record against top-5 players, but this Japanese kid can certainly give Rublev a good scare and take a set.
Armed with a big first serve, Sakamoto can hold serve against elite competition. Meanwhile, Rublev has been struggling to convert break chances this year. The Russian has converted 30.3 percent of breakpoints in Hangzhou. That number dropped to 23.3 percent in Beijing.
Fearless Forecast: Andrey Rublev wins 4-6, 7-5, 7-5
Our betting prediction for Andrey Rublev vs. Rei Sakamoto: Rei Sakamoto +1.5 sets
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
