Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
10/5/25 12:30
Rayo Vallecano

Prediction:

 

Real Sociedad win both halves

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 by Erik Gibbs | in LaLiga Picks

Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano will square off at the Anoeta Stadium on Sunday in what promises to be an evenly balanced La Liga fixture. Both teams find themselves in the lower half of the table with identical records, sitting on five points after seven rounds. Sociedad currently sits 15th with one win, two draws, and four defeats, while Rayo Vallecano is just one place higher in 14th but shares the same points tally.

The hosts have endured a frustrating start, losing 57% of their league outings so far, though they showed resilience in their narrow defeat to Barcelona last time out. Their home record does offer some encouragement, with a win, a draw, and a loss from three matches at Anoeta, suggesting they are somewhat tougher to beat on their own turf.

For Rayo Vallecano, inconsistency has also been the main theme of their season. Four defeats in seven matches have left them looking vulnerable, and they enter this fixture needing a response after their early struggles. Historically, games between these two have often been tightly contested, as evidenced by three draws in their last six head-to-head clashes, including an entertaining 2-2 meeting the last time they squared off.

With both sides conceding at similar rates and producing a modest seven goals apiece, it is clear that defensive lapses and a lack of cutting edge have contributed to their struggles.

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Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
12
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
15 12 4 3 5 -2
14
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
13 12 3 4 5 -3

Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano Latest Matches

Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad Latest matches
D L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 28, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
2 :  1
Real Sociedad

Sep 24, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
1 :  0
Mallorca

Sep 19, 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
3 :  1
Real Sociedad

Sep 13, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Aug 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
1 :  0
Real Sociedad

Aug 24, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
2 :  2
Espanyol
W W D D L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 24, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
1 :  0
Mallorca

Sep 13, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Aug 24, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
2 :  2
Espanyol

Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Real Sociedad
1 :  1
Rennes

Jul 30, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Real Sociedad
4 :  1
Osasuna

Jul 18, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Real Sociedad
2 :  0
Pau FC
W D D L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 28, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
2 :  1
Real Sociedad

Sep 19, 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
3 :  1
Real Sociedad

Aug 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
1 :  0
Real Sociedad

Aug 16, 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  1
Real Sociedad

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Bournemouth
0 :  0
Real Sociedad

Jul 25, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Yokohama FC
1 :  2
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano Latest matches
D L D L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Oct 2, 2025 - Conference League

Rayo Vallecano
2 :  0
Shkendija

Sep 28, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
0 :  1
Sevilla

Sep 24, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  2
Rayo Vallecano

Sep 21, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Celta Vigo

Sep 14, 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Aug 31, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Barcelona
D W D D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Oct 2, 2025 - Conference League

Rayo Vallecano
2 :  0
Shkendija

Sep 28, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
0 :  1
Sevilla

Sep 21, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Celta Vigo

Aug 31, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Barcelona

Aug 28, 2025 - Conference League

Rayo Vallecano
4 :  0
Neman Grodno

May 24, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
0 :  0
Mallorca
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 24, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  2
Rayo Vallecano

Sep 14, 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Aug 25, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Aug 21, 2025 - Conference League

Neman Grodno
0 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Aug 15, 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  3
Rayo Vallecano

Aug 10, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sunderland
0 :  3
Rayo Vallecano

Real Sociedad against Rayo Vallecano : Head to Head (H2H)

Real Sociedad

33 %

Draw

50 %

Rayo Vallecano

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
83%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

Mar 16, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
2 :  2
Real Sociedad

Jan 16, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Real Sociedad
3 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Aug 18, 2024 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
1 :  2
Rayo Vallecano

Jan 27, 2024 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
0 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Oct 29, 2023 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
2 :  2
Real Sociedad

Apr 22, 2023 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano
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Real Sociedad against Rayo Vallecano Lineups: Starting 11

Real Sociedad

Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1

1
A. Remiro
2
J. Aramburu
5
I. Zubeldia
16
D. Caleta-Car
17
S. Gomez
4
J. Gorrotxategi
11
G. Guedes
23
B. Mendez
18
C. Soler
7
A. Barrenetxea
10
M. Oyarzabal
9
Alemao
18
A. Garcia
7
I. Palazon
19
J. De Frutos
23
O. Valentin
17
U. Lopez
3
P. Chavarria
24
F. Lejeune
6
P. Ciss
2
A. Ratiu
13
A. Batalla

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Rayo Vallecano

Missing players

Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Defender

A. Elustondo

J. Martin

Midfielder

Y. Herrera

Forward

O. Oskarsson

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Defender

A. Mumin

L. Felipe

Forward

S. Camello

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Real Sociedad
CD Huachipato Rayo Vallecano
Top Goalscorer
Spain M. Oyarzabal (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain J. De Frutos (5 Goals) Spain A. Garcia (5 Goals)
Best assists
Spain A. Barrenetxea (3 Assists)
Best assists
Spain P. Chavarria (2 Assists)
Romania A. Ratiu (2 Assists)
Spain U. Lopez (2 Assists)
Spain A. Garcia (2 Assists)
Spain I. Palazon (2 Assists)

Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano Key Points

  1. Real Sociedad are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
  2. Rayo Vallecano are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
  3. The Over is 2-3 in Real Sociedad's last 5 games
  4. The Over is 1-4 in Rayo Vallecano's last 5 games
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Our Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

Real Sociedad will lean heavily on their midfield control and creativity to set the tone. Players such as Mikel Merino and Brais Méndez are vital in linking defense to attack, while forward Alexander Sørloth will need to rediscover his scoring touch to capitalize on chances at home. Sociedad’s defensive unit, despite conceding 11 goals, showed they can stay compact against elite opposition in their clash with Barcelona, which could serve as a confidence boost heading into this match.

Rayo Vallecano will look to their attacking duo of Raúl de Tomás and Álvaro García to spark some much-needed life in front of goal. Both have the quality to trouble Sociedad’s backline, especially on the counterattack. However, Rayo’s defensive lapses, having shipped 10 goals already, remain a concern. If they cannot tighten up, they risk being overrun in San Sebastián.

This fixture has the makings of another close battle, but Real Sociedad’s slightly stronger home record gives them the edge. Expect a competitive clash with opportunities at both ends, but the Basque side’s balance and home support could prove decisive. Our prediction for Real Sociedad vs. Rayo Vallecano: Real Sociedad to win.

Prediction:

 

Real Sociedad win both halves

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Picks