Real Sociedad vs Osasuna Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3/15/26 16:00
Osasuna

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

+104
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 by Erik Gibbs | in LaLiga Picks

Real Sociedad and Osasuna meet this Sunday at the Reale Arena in a Matchday 28 clash that carries significant weight for two clubs separated by just a single point in the La Liga standings. Currently sitting in eighth place with 35 points, Real Sociedad enters this Basque derby during a season defined by soaring highs and frustrating inconsistencies. Just last week, they secured a place in the Copa del Rey final after a gritty 1-0 win over Athletic Club, completing a 2-0 aggregate victory that sent the San Sebastián faithful into a frenzy. However, that celebratory mood was dampened by a narrow 3-2 defeat to Atlético Madrid on March 7. Pellegrino Matarazzo's side has struggled to pair their cup heroics with domestic stability; they have managed to find the net in 12 consecutive matches but have also lost ten times this season. With sixth-placed Celta Vigo only five points ahead, the hosts must leverage their strong home record—three wins in their last four league games at the Reale Arena—to keep their European dreams alive.

Osasuna travels to San Sebastián in 11th place, nursing a mix of momentum and frustration after a rollercoaster month of results. Their most recent outing on March 7 saw them rescue a 2-2 draw against Mallorca at El Sadar in dramatic fashion, scoring twice in the final minutes to salvage a point. While their fighting spirit is undeniable, the "Rojillos" have been plagued by a dismal record on the road, managing only two wins in 14 away fixtures this season. Defensively, they have been leaking goals, failing to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their last 16 league outings. This lack of defensive discipline has often neutralized the tactical progress they've made in the final third. Having lost the reverse fixture 3-1 to Sociedad earlier this term, Osasuna is desperate to prove they can contend with the league's top half, yet their historical struggles at this venue suggest a daunting task ahead for the Pamplona-based side.

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Real Sociedad vs Osasuna Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
10 Real Sociedad
46 38 11 13 14 -2
17 Osasuna
42 38 11 9 18 -6

Real Sociedad and Osasuna Latest Matches

Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad Latest matches
W L D W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 7, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  2
Real Sociedad

Mar 4, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Real Sociedad
1 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Feb 28, 2026 - LaLiga

Mallorca
0 :  1
Real Sociedad

Feb 21, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  3
Real Oviedo

Feb 14, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Real Sociedad

Feb 11, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  1
Real Sociedad
D W W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Mar 4, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Real Sociedad
1 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Feb 21, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  3
Real Oviedo

Feb 7, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  1
Elche

Jan 25, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  1
Celta Vigo

Jan 18, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
2 :  1
Barcelona

Jan 13, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Real Sociedad
2 :  2
Osasuna
D W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 7, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  2
Real Sociedad

Feb 28, 2026 - LaLiga

Mallorca
0 :  1
Real Sociedad

Feb 14, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Real Sociedad

Feb 11, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  1
Real Sociedad

Feb 4, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Alavés
2 :  3
Real Sociedad

Feb 1, 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  1
Real Sociedad
Osasuna
Osasuna Latest matches
D W D W L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 7, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  2
Mallorca

Mar 1, 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  0
Osasuna

Feb 21, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  1
Real Madrid

Feb 13, 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
0 :  0
Osasuna

Feb 6, 2026 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
1 :  2
Osasuna

Jan 31, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  2
Villarreal
W D W D W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Mar 7, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  2
Mallorca

Feb 21, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  1
Real Madrid

Jan 31, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  2
Villarreal

Jan 17, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
3 :  2
Real Oviedo

Jan 3, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

Dec 20, 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
3 :  0
Alavés
L D W W D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 1, 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  0
Osasuna

Feb 13, 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
0 :  0
Osasuna

Feb 6, 2026 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
1 :  2
Osasuna

Jan 24, 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  3
Osasuna

Jan 13, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Real Sociedad
2 :  2
Osasuna

Jan 10, 2026 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  0
Osasuna

Real Sociedad against Osasuna : Head to Head (H2H)

Real Sociedad

50 %

Draw

17 %

Osasuna

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Jan 13, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Real Sociedad
2 :  2
Osasuna

Nov 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  3
Real Sociedad

Jul 30, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Real Sociedad
4 :  1
Osasuna

Feb 6, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Real Sociedad
2 :  0
Osasuna

Feb 2, 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  1
Real Sociedad

Oct 27, 2024 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
0 :  2
Osasuna

Real Sociedad against Osasuna Lineups: Starting 11

Real Sociedad

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
A. Remiro
2
J. Aramburu
16
D. Caleta-Car
5
I. Zubeldia
17
S. Gomez
11
G. Guedes
18
C. Soler
8
B. Turrientes
7
A. Barrenetxea
23
B. Mendez
10
M. Oyarzabal
17
A. Budimir
21
V. Munoz
10
A. Oroz
18
R. Moro
6
L. Torro
7
J. Moncayola
20
J. Galan
24
A. Catena
22
F. Boyomo
19
V. Rosier
1
S. Herrera

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Osasuna

Substitutes

Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Goalkeeper

U. Marrero

T. Folgado Null

A. Fraga

Defender

A. Elustondo

Midfielder

L. Sucic

B. Turrientes 64'

A. Zakharyan

P. Marin

B. Mendez 63'

Wesley

A. Barrenetxea 84'

J. Gorrotxategi

Y. Herrera

G. Guedes 63'

Forward

O. Oskarsson

Y. Herrera 69'

J. Karrikaburu

Osasuna
Osasuna
Goalkeeper

A. Fernandez

Defender

J. Herrando

A. Catena 58'

J. Cruz

Midfielder

A. Osambela

J. Moncayola 84'

A. Bretones

I. Munoz

R. Moro 46'

M. Gomez

L. Torro 46'

Forward

I. Arguibide

K. Barja

A. Oroz 74'

Missing players

Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Defender

A. Odriozola

A. Munoz

I. Ruperez Urtasun

Midfielder

T. Kubo

Osasuna
Osasuna
Forward

R. Garcia

R. Garcia

I. Benito

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Real Sociedad
CD Huachipato Osasuna
Top Goalscorer
Spain M. Oyarzabal (15 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Croatia A. Budimir (17 Goals)
Best assists
Spain S. Gomez (5 Assists)
Best assists
Spain R. Garcia (5 Assists)

Real Sociedad - Osasuna Key Points

  1. The Over is 3-2 in Real Sociedad's last 5 games
  2. The Over is 3-2 in Osasuna's last 5 games
  3. Real Sociedad are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  4. Osasuna are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
Up to $350 to bet on Real Sociedad - Osasuna! 

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Our Real Sociedad vs Osasuna Prediction

Mikel Oyarzabal continues to lead from the front for La Real, having notched goals in both the Copa del Rey semifinal and the thriller against Atlético. He is joined in top form by Carlos Soler, whose arrival has provided a much-needed spark; Soler's vision and set-piece delivery were vital in the recent goal against Atleti. On the other side, Osasuna's Ante Budimir remains their most potent weapon, having reached 13 goals for the campaign following his late strike against Mallorca. Kike Barja has also emerged as a late-season revelation, finding the net in recent weeks and providing the directness Osasuna needs in the absence of more technical creative outlets.

Injuries and suspensions will play a pivotal role in Sunday's selection. Osasuna will be significantly shorthanded following the red card shown to Raúl García against Mallorca, which leaves them without a key physical presence in the box. Real Sociedad is relatively healthy, though the physical toll of their deep cup run has seen players like Orri Óskarsson and Beñat Turrientes monitored closely for fatigue. From a betting standpoint, the upper hand firmly rests with Real Sociedad. Their tactical edge, fueled by a high-possession style and the clinical finishing of Oyarzabal, matches up perfectly against an Osasuna team that is notoriously porous when playing away from home. While Osasuna is capable of a counter-attacking punch, the home side's superior depth and recent historical dominance in this fixture make them the heavy favorites to take all three points. Our prediction for Real Sociedad vs. Osasuna: Over 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

+104
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Real Sociedad vs Osasuna Picks