Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Picks - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Erik Gibbs in LaLiga Picks
Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid face each other this Sunday, and Real Sociedad's league form has left them with ground to make up. They sit 16th in La Liga with a 4-5-8 record and 17 points, a return of about one point per game. That profile reflects a season where wins have been hard to sustain and dropped points have been common, particularly when matches stay level late.
Sociedad have scored 21 league goals and conceded 25, so they have been involved in plenty of competitive games without consistently coming out on top. Their home record is 3-1-4, which underlines how hard points have been to secure even at the Reale Arena. Away from home they are 1-4-4, and that limited return on the road has been a major reason their overall position is so fragile. In practical terms, Sociedad have often needed matches to stay structured and low-risk to give themselves the best chance of taking points.
Atletico Madrid arrive in a much healthier position, third in the standings with an 11-4-3 record and 37 points, around 2.06 points per game. Their season has been built on steadiness. They have lost only three times, and they have paired that resilience with a strong ability to close out matches once they gain an advantage.
Atletico's home record is particularly strong at 8-1-0, but their away record (3-3-3) is also solid enough to keep them in the top-three conversation. Atletico have simply been more consistent at turning close games into wins or controlled draws. That gap in consistency is the clearest separator going into this fixture.
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Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
37 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 17 |
|
16
|
17 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -4 |
Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 20, 2025 - LaLiga
Dec 16, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Dec 12, 2025 - LaLiga
Dec 6, 2025 - LaLiga
Dec 3, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Nov 30, 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 12, 2025 - LaLiga
Nov 30, 2025 - LaLiga
Nov 1, 2025 - LaLiga
Oct 24, 2025 - LaLiga
Oct 5, 2025 - LaLiga
Sep 24, 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 20, 2025 - LaLiga
Dec 16, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Dec 6, 2025 - LaLiga
Dec 3, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Nov 22, 2025 - LaLiga
Nov 7, 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 21, 2025 - LaLiga
Dec 17, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Dec 13, 2025 - LaLiga
Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League
Dec 6, 2025 - LaLiga
Dec 2, 2025 - LaLiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 13, 2025 - LaLiga
Nov 29, 2025 - LaLiga
Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League
Nov 8, 2025 - LaLiga
Nov 4, 2025 - Champions League
Nov 1, 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 21, 2025 - LaLiga
Dec 17, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League
Dec 6, 2025 - LaLiga
Dec 2, 2025 - LaLiga
Nov 23, 2025 - LaLiga
Real Sociedad against Atletico Madrid : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
May 10, 2025 - LaLiga
Oct 6, 2024 - LaLiga
May 25, 2024 - LaLiga
Oct 8, 2023 - LaLiga
May 28, 2023 - LaLiga
Sep 3, 2022 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid v Real Sociedad last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
Y. Herrera
I. Zubeldia
J. Gorrotxategi
ForwardO. Oskarsson
J. Gimenez
MidfielderM. Llorente
A. Baena
Most goals and assists
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
M. Oyarzabal
(5 Goals)
J. Alvarez
(11 Goals)
M. Oyarzabal
(3 Assists)
,
A. Barrenetxea
(3 Assists)
G. Simeone
(5 Assists)
,
J. Alvarez
(5 Assists)
Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid Stats in LaLiga
Real Sociedad - Atletico Madrid Key Points
- The Over is 3-2 in Atlético Madrid's last 5 games
- The Over is 3-2 in Real Sociedad's last 5 games
- Atlético Madrid are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
- Real Sociedad are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
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Our Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
Sociedad's leading scorer is Mikel Oyarzabal with five league goals. Behind him, Gonçalo Guedes and Brais Méndez have three apiece, which highlights the lack of a high-volume scorer driving results week after week. Atletico have clearer top-end output. Julián Álvarez leads them with seven league goals, and Antoine Griezmann has six, giving Atletico two forwards with proven scoring contributions.
That difference matters if the match tightens, because Atletico have multiple reliable scoring sources to lean on. For a direct comparison of strength, Atletico's stronger points return and more dependable scoring from their top two forwards make them the more stable side.
Sociedad can stay competitive at home if they keep the match structured and avoid chasing the game too early, but Atletico's stronger record and more reliable scoring make them favorites. A 2-1 Atletico win is a reasonable call. Our prediction for Real Sociedad vs. Atletico Madrid: Over 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
