Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Real Madrid
10/4/25 15:00
Villarreal

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5

+105
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 by Erik Gibbs in LaLiga Picks

Real Madrid and Villarreal are once again ready for battle. Real Madrid entered the 2024‑25 season chasing multiple trophies. In LaLiga they finished second and in cup competitions they were runners-up in the Copa del Rey and Supercopa de España but won the UEFA Super Cup and FIFA Intercontinental Cup. By mid-December 2024, Real were third in LaLiga with 27 points and a +8 goal difference. Their season was characterized by big victories but also heavy defeats against Barcelona and Paris Saint‑Germain.

However, they have also suffered some other unexpected losses. The team that began the season on a high note is no longer looking as strong.

Villarreal, often punching above their weight, were fourth in the table after 15 rounds with 23 points and a +1 goal difference. Their domestic form relied on tight games and they kept pace with the league’s elite despite occasional draws. The standings show both teams in Champions‑League-qualifying positions, hinting at a closely fought match.

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Real Madrid vs Villarreal Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
18 7 6 0 1 8
3
Villarreal
Villarreal
16 7 5 1 1 8

Real Madrid and Villarreal Latest Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League

Kairat Almaty
0 :  5
Real Madrid

Sep 27, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
5 :  2
Real Madrid

Sep 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Levante
1 :  4
Real Madrid

Sep 20, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Espanyol

Sep 16, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Marseille

Sep 13, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
1 :  2
Real Madrid
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 20, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Espanyol

Sep 16, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Marseille

Aug 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Mallorca

Aug 19, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Osasuna

Jul 5, 2025 - Club World Cup

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Jul 1, 2025 - Club World Cup

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Juventus
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League

Kairat Almaty
0 :  5
Real Madrid

Sep 27, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
5 :  2
Real Madrid

Sep 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Levante
1 :  4
Real Madrid

Sep 13, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Aug 24, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
0 :  3
Real Madrid

Aug 12, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Wattens
0 :  4
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Villarreal Latest matches
L L W W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 1, 2025 - Champions League

Villarreal
2 :  2
Juventus

Sep 27, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
1 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Sep 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  2
Villarreal

Sep 20, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
2 :  1
Osasuna

Sep 16, 2025 - Champions League

Tottenham
1 :  0
Villarreal

Sep 13, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Villarreal
L W W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 1, 2025 - Champions League

Villarreal
2 :  2
Juventus

Sep 27, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
1 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Sep 20, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
2 :  1
Osasuna

Aug 24, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
5 :  0
Girona

Aug 15, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
2 :  0
Real Oviedo

Aug 10, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Villarreal
0 :  2
Aston Villa
D W D L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Sep 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  2
Villarreal

Sep 16, 2025 - Champions League

Tottenham
1 :  0
Villarreal

Sep 13, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Villarreal

Aug 31, 2025 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
1 :  1
Villarreal

Aug 6, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
2 :  3
Villarreal

Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
1 :  1
Villarreal

Real Madrid against Villarreal : Head to Head (H2H)

Real Madrid

67 %

Draw

17 %

Villarreal

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.67
Total goals
83%
BTTS
2.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.83
Goals scored (Team 2)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

Mar 15, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Oct 5, 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Villarreal

May 19, 2024 - LaLiga

Villarreal
4 :  4
Real Madrid

Dec 17, 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Villarreal

Apr 8, 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  3
Villarreal

Jan 19, 2023 - Copa del Rey

Villarreal
2 :  3
Real Madrid

Villarreal v Real Madrid last Lineups

Real Madrid

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
T. Courtois
17
R. Asencio
24
D. Huijsen
4
D. Alaba
20
F. Garcia
30
F. Mastantuono
19
D. Ceballos
14
A. Tchouameni
7
Vinicius Junior
15
A. Guler
10
K. Mbappe
9
G. Mikautadze
19
N. Pepe
14
S. Comesana
18
P. Gueye
10
D. Parejo
17
T. Buchanan
24
A. Pedraza
12
R. Veiga
4
R. Marin
15
S. Mourino
25
A. Tenas

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Villarreal

Missing players

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

F. Mendy

A. Rudiger

T. Alexander-Arnold

D. Carvajal

Villarreal
Villarreal
Defender

L. Costa

W. Kambwala

J. Foyth

Forward

G. Moreno

P. Cabanes

A. Perez

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Real Madrid
CD Huachipato Villarreal
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (13 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Canada T. Buchanan (3 Goals)
Best assists
Turkey A. Guler (4 Assists)
Brazil Vinicius Junior (4 Assists)
Best assists
Spain S. Cardona (2 Assists)
Ivory Coast N. Pepe (2 Assists)

Real Madrid and Villarreal Stats in LaLiga

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Villarreal
86%
Victories
71%
0%
Draw
14%
14%
Defeats
14%
3.43
Total goals per match
2.57
2.29
Goals scored per match
1.86
1.14
Goals conceded per match
0.71
71%
Over 2.5
43%
29%
Under 2.5
57%
57%
BTTS
43%
43%
No goals conceded
43%

Real Madrid - Villarreal Key Points

  1. Real Madrid are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
  2. Villarreal are 3-2 ATS in their last five games
  3. The Over is 3-2 in Real Madrid's last 5 games
  4. The Over is 2-3 in Villarreal's last 5 games
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Our Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction

Madrid’s attack was spearheaded by new signing Kylian Mbappé, who scored 31 league goals and 44 across all competitions, making him the team’s top scorer. He is supported by young forwards Rodrygo and Vinícius Júnior, while veteran midfielder Luka Modrić continues to dictate play.

Defensively, center-back David Alaba and goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois provide stability despite occasional lapses. Villarreal’s offense centers on Ayoze Pérez, who scored 19 goals in 30 appearances. Winger Yéremy Pino added 11 goals, midfielder Dani Parejo eight and Álex Baena seven.

These contributions highlight a well-distributed attack. Villarreal’s ability to score from midfield and the wings helps them stay competitive against stronger teams. Real Madrid at the Bernabéu typically command possession and create chances through Mbappé’s pace and the creativity of Modrić and Jude Bellingham.

Villarreal will likely defend compactly and seek to exploit transitions through Pino and the finishing of Ayoze Pérez. Given Madrid’s superior attacking talent and home advantage, a narrow home win or high-scoring draw seems likely if Villarreal’s counter-attacks prove effective. Our prediction for Real Madrid vs. Villarreal: Over 3.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5

+105
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Real Madrid vs Villarreal Picks
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