Real Madrid vs Sevilla Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Real Madrid
12/20/25 15:00
Sevilla

Prediction:

 

Less than 3.5 goals

-110
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 by Erik Gibbs in LaLiga Picks

Real Madrid enter their fixture against Sevilla this Saturday as title contenders, currently sitting 2nd in LaLiga, while Sevilla are 9th in the table. Real Madrid have 39 points from 17 matches, keeping up pressure on the league leaders, whereas Sevilla have collected 20 points from 16 matches. In terms of form, Real Madrid appear to be regaining momentum after a brief dip.

They had a spell of three straight draws in the league last month, followed by a rare loss, but have since rebounded with back-to-back wins. Last weekend, Real Madrid earned a 2-1 victory over Alavés in league play, and midweek they survived a Copa del Rey scare (winning 3-2 against lower-division opposition) to extend their winning run in all competitions to two matches.

Notably, Los Blancos have been excellent at home – winning 6 of their 7 home league games so far – which bodes well heading into this Santiago Bernabéu encounter. Sevilla's season has been marked by inconsistency. They have struggled to string together positive results, which is reflected in their mid-table standing. That said, Sevilla will take confidence from a resounding 4-0 win over Real Oviedo in the league last weekend, a result that provided a much-needed boost and moved them closer to the European qualification spots (they are now only five points behind sixth place).

Historically, however, Sevilla have found it extremely difficult to win away at Real Madrid – they have not done so in league play since 2008. In fact, Real Madrid are unbeaten in their last 13 meetings with Sevilla, having won 11 of those encounters. This dominant head-to-head record underscores the challenge facing Sevilla as they travel to the capital.

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Real Madrid vs Sevilla Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
39 17 12 3 2 18
9
Sevilla
Sevilla
20 16 6 2 8 0

Real Madrid and Sevilla Latest Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid Latest matches
D W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 17, 2025 - Copa del Rey

CF Talavera de La Reina
2 :  3
Real Madrid

Dec 14, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Manchester City

Dec 7, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
0 :  2
Celta Vigo

Dec 3, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  3
Real Madrid

Nov 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  1
Real Madrid
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Manchester City

Dec 7, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
0 :  2
Celta Vigo

Nov 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  0
Valencia

Oct 26, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Barcelona

Oct 22, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Juventus

Oct 4, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  1
Villarreal
D W D W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Dec 17, 2025 - Copa del Rey

CF Talavera de La Reina
2 :  3
Real Madrid

Dec 14, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Dec 3, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  3
Real Madrid

Nov 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  1
Real Madrid

Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League

Olympiacos
3 :  4
Real Madrid

Nov 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Elche
2 :  2
Real Madrid
Sevilla
Sevilla Latest matches
L L W D W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 17, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Alavés
1 :  0
Sevilla

Dec 14, 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
4 :  0
Real Oviedo

Dec 7, 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  1
Sevilla

Dec 4, 2025 - Copa del Rey

CD Extremadura
1 :  2
Sevilla

Nov 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
0 :  2
Betis

Nov 24, 2025 - LaLiga

Espanyol
2 :  1
Sevilla
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 14, 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
4 :  0
Real Oviedo

Nov 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
0 :  2
Betis

Nov 8, 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  0
Osasuna

Oct 18, 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  3
Mallorca

Oct 5, 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
4 :  1
Barcelona

Sep 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  2
Villarreal
W L L W D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 17, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Alavés
1 :  0
Sevilla

Dec 7, 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  1
Sevilla

Dec 4, 2025 - Copa del Rey

CD Extremadura
1 :  2
Sevilla

Nov 24, 2025 - LaLiga

Espanyol
2 :  1
Sevilla

Nov 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  0
Sevilla

Oct 28, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Toledo
1 :  4
Sevilla

Real Madrid against Sevilla : Head to Head (H2H)

Real Madrid

83 %

Draw

17 %

Sevilla

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
67%
BTTS
2.17
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.83
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

May 18, 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
0 :  2
Real Madrid

Dec 22, 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  2
Sevilla

Feb 25, 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Sevilla

Oct 21, 2023 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  1
Real Madrid

May 27, 2023 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Oct 22, 2022 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  1
Sevilla

Missing players

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

D. Carvajal

D. Alaba

F. Mendy

T. Alexander-Arnold

A. Carreras

E. Militao

Forward

Endrick

Sevilla
Sevilla
Goalkeeper

O. Nyland

Defender

T. Nianzou

Marcao

C. Azpilicueta

Midfielder

R. Vargas

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Real Madrid
CD Huachipato Sevilla
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (26 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Nigeria A. Adams (3 Goals) Switzerland R. Vargas (3 Goals) Spain I. Romero (3 Goals)
Best assists
Turkey A. Guler (7 Assists)
Brazil V. Junior (7 Assists)
Best assists
Switzerland R. Vargas (4 Assists)

Real Madrid and Sevilla Stats in LaLiga

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Sevilla
Sevilla
71%
Victories
38%
18%
Draw
13%
12%
Defeats
50%
2.94
Total goals per match
3
2
Goals scored per match
1.5
0.94
Goals conceded per match
1.5
65%
Over 2.5
69%
35%
Under 2.5
31%
53%
BTTS
63%
41%
No goals conceded
25%

Real Madrid - Sevilla Key Points

  1. Real Madrid are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
  2. Sevilla are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
  3. The Over is 3-2 in Real Madrid's last 5 games
  4. The Over is 2-3 in Sevilla's last 5 games
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Our Real Madrid vs Sevilla Prediction

Real Madrid's attack has been spearheaded by Kylian Mbappé, who is in sensational form. The French forward has scored 17 goals in 17 LaLiga appearances this season, an incredible tally that makes him the league's top scorer. Mbappé's recent performances have been prolific – he finds the net virtually every game, often providing Real the cutting edge in tight matches. His pace and finishing ability have been on full display, and he has also chipped in with a few assists, reflecting his all-round influence.

Supporting him is Vinícius Júnior, who has contributed 5 goals and 5 assists in the league. Vinícius's dribbling and creativity on the left wing have been crucial in stretching defenses; even when he isn't scoring, he draws defenders and creates space for teammates.

On Sevilla's side, goals have been more evenly spread and no single player has a very high tally, but a few individuals stand out. Veteran forward Alexis Sánchez has been one of Sevilla's brighter attacking sparks in recent weeks. Although he has only 2 league goals so far, his experience and link-up play have helped Sevilla's frontline, and he has the quality to trouble defenses if given opportunities.

Real Madrid come into this match as clear favorites and for good reason. They boast a far superior goal difference and attacking record, and their home form has been formidable. With Mbappé in red-hot form and a strong supporting cast, Madrid have a factual edge in quality and firepower. Sevilla might make it a competitive game, especially if their defense and goalkeeper perform at their best, but over 90 minutes Real Madrid's strengths should tilt the result in their favor. Our prediction for Real Madrid vs. Sevilla: Under 3.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Less than 3.5 goals

-110
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