Real Madrid vs Marseille Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Real Madrid
9/16/25 15:00
Marseille

Prediction:

 

Real Madrid to win and under 3.5 goals

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 by Simon Day | in Champions League Picks

Real Madrid's quest for a 16th European title begins on Tuesday night, as they take on French side Marseille at the Bernabeu. It has been a perfect beginning to the season for Xavi Alonso's side, with four wins from their opening four La Liga games. French striker Kylian Mbappe has been the star of the show with a goal in each of those four victories, whilst the likes of Vinicius Jnr, Ardu Güler and Aurelien Tchouameni have also started the campaign in excellent form. 

In contrast to Real's sizzling form, Marseille have made an up-and-down start to the new season. Friday night's 4-0 win over Lorient means they have won two and lost two of their opening four games. Away form has been the big problem for Roberto De Zerbi's side, as defeats at Lyon and Rennes mean that they are still searching for their first points on the road.

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Real Madrid vs Marseille Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
9 3 3 0 0 7
18
Marseille
Marseille
3 3 1 0 2 2

Real Madrid and Marseille Latest Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid Latest matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Sep 13, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Aug 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Mallorca

Aug 24, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
0 :  3
Real Madrid

Aug 19, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Osasuna

Aug 12, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Wattens
0 :  4
Real Madrid

Jul 9, 2025 - Club World Cup

PSG
4 :  0
Real Madrid
D W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Aug 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Mallorca

Aug 19, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Osasuna

Jul 5, 2025 - Club World Cup

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Jul 1, 2025 - Club World Cup

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Juventus

Jun 22, 2025 - Club World Cup

Real Madrid
3 :  1
CF Pachuca

Jun 18, 2025 - Club World Cup

Real Madrid
1 :  1
Al Hilal
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Sep 13, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Aug 24, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
0 :  3
Real Madrid

Aug 12, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Wattens
0 :  4
Real Madrid

Jul 9, 2025 - Club World Cup

PSG
4 :  0
Real Madrid

Jun 26, 2025 - Club World Cup

Salzburg
0 :  3
Real Madrid

May 18, 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
0 :  2
Real Madrid
Marseille
Marseille Latest matches
D W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 12, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
4 :  0
Lorient

Aug 31, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  0
Marseille

Aug 23, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
5 :  2
Paris FC

Aug 15, 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  0
Marseille

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
3 :  1
Aston Villa

Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  1
Sevilla
W D D W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 12, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
4 :  0
Lorient

Aug 23, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
5 :  2
Paris FC

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
3 :  1
Aston Villa

Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  1
Sevilla

Jul 29, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  1
Valencia

May 17, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
4 :  2
Rennes
W W D W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Aug 31, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  0
Marseille

Aug 15, 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  0
Marseille

Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Girona
0 :  2
Marseille

Jul 21, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Charleroi
1 :  1
Marseille

Jul 20, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Excelsior Maassluis
0 :  5
Marseille

May 10, 2025 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
1 :  3
Marseille
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Real Madrid against Marseille Lineups: Starting 11

Real Madrid

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
T. Courtois
12
T. Alexander-Arnold
3
E. Militao
24
D. Huijsen
18
A. Carreras
8
F. Valverde
14
A. Tchouameni
15
A. Guler
30
F. Mastantuono
10
K. Mbappe
11
Rodrygo
97
P. Aubameyang
22
T. Weah
17
M. O'Riley
10
M. Greenwood
23
P. Hojbjerg
19
G. Kondogbia
33
Emerson
5
L. Balerdi
32
F. Medina
28
B. Pavard
1
G. Rulli

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Marseille

Missing players

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

F. Mendy

A. Rudiger

Forward

Endrick

Marseille
Marseille
Defender

N. Aguerd

Midfielder

H. Traore

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Real Madrid
CD Huachipato Marseille
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (18 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England M. Greenwood (8 Goals)
Best assists
Turkey A. Guler (6 Assists)
Best assists
Gabon P. Aubameyang (5 Assists)

Real Madrid - Marseille Key Points

  1. Real have won their opening 4 La Liga games this season
  2. Marseille have lost 1-0 in both of 2 Ligue 1 away games this season
  3. Real have won all 4 of their previous games against Marseille
  4. Marseille have won just 1 of their last 8 away games
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Our Real Madrid vs Marseille Prediction

This is a daunting trip for Marseille. Madrid have started the campaign in imperious form, and in Kylian Mbappe, they possess arguably the most lethal striker in world football. That being said, (Mbappe aside) Madrid haven't quite hit their straps in attack so far, and their strong start has primarily been down to a rock solid backline. So whilst we are backing the 14 time champions to win on Tuesday, we don't think it will be a high scoring contest. Our prediction for Real Madrid vs Marseille is: Real Madrid to win and under 3.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Real Madrid to win and under 3.5 goals

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$150 offered for betting!

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Real Madrid vs Marseille Picks