Real Madrid vs Manchester City Prediction & Picks - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Bradley Gibbs | in Champions League Picks
Not for the first time in recent years, as the UEFA Champions League has entered the Round-of-16 stage, Real Madrid and Man City will lock horns on Wednesday. These two giants of the game will battle it out in one of the finest arenas in world soccer.
The teams have now met each other in each of the last four renewals of the UCL, with Real Madrid emerging victorious in 2022, 2024 and 2025. Back in 2023, on their way to securing a first Champions League trophy in the history of the club, Man City came out on top. Can Pep Guardiola’s men now atone for the defeat that they tasted in this two-legged fixture last year? Or will Los Blancos once again have too much in the locker for the Citizens. The first of what should be two fascinating games awaits.
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Real Madrid vs Manchester City Form
Real Madrid and Manchester City Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 6, 2026 - LaLiga
Mar 2, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 25, 2026 - Champions League
Feb 21, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 17, 2026 - Champions League
Feb 14, 2026 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 2, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 25, 2026 - Champions League
Feb 14, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 1, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 17, 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 6, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 21, 2026 - LaLiga
Feb 17, 2026 - Champions League
Feb 8, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 24, 2026 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 7, 2026 - FA Cup
Mar 4, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 14, 2026 - FA Cup
Feb 11, 2026 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 4, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 14, 2026 - FA Cup
Feb 11, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 4, 2026 - Carabao Cup
Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 7, 2026 - FA Cup
Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 8, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 1, 2026 - Premier League
Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League
Real Madrid against Manchester City : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League
Feb 19, 2025 - Champions League
Feb 11, 2025 - Champions League
Apr 17, 2024 - Champions League
Apr 9, 2024 - Champions League
May 17, 2023 - Champions League
Real Madrid - Manchester City: Form Analysis
Somewhat uncharacteristically, the hosts come into this huge game having been in patchy form of late, losing two of their last five, including at home to Getafe in LaLiga. The most successful club in the history of Europe’s most prestigious club competition also failed to make it through the League Phase as one of the top eight, meaning that they were forced to play a two-legged play off against Benfica, a tie that they won by three goals to one on aggregate.
The only real concern is how easily they were taken apart when last playing away from home in this competition.
The Citizens definitely approach this fixture in better form that their hosts. Sure, they recently tied with Nottingham Forest, which was a little disappointing, though that’s the only blemish on an otherwise perfect recent record. Guardiola’s men have won seven of their last eight in all competitions, avoiding defeat in each of their last 11, nine of which they’ve. The only real concern is how easily they were taken apart when last playing away from home in this competition.
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Real Madrid against Manchester City Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
F. Gonzalez
A. Lunin
DefenderD. Aguado
R. Asencio
F. Garcia
D. Carvajal
E. Camavinga
Manuel Angel
J. Cestero
C. Palacios
ForwardG. Garcia
F. Mastantuono
J. Trafford
M. Bettinelli
DefenderR. Ait-Nouri
M. Alleyne
N. Ake
J. Stones
MidfielderT. Reijnders
R. Cherki
M. Nunes
N. Gonzalez
P. Foden
ForwardO. Marmoush
Missing players
E. Militao
A. Carreras
MidfielderD. Ceballos
ForwardK. Mbappe
Rodrygo
J. Gvardiol
R. Lewis
Real Madrid & Manchester City Squad Analysis
Unfortunately, the home fans will not be cheering on Jude Bellingham, who is injured at present, while veteran David Alaba is doubtful. More frustratingly for the hosts is the fact that both Kylian Mbappe and Rodrygo are expected to miss out, limiting the offensive options at the the disposal of Alvaro Arbeloa, who is already under pressure following a rocky start to his tenure.
Kylian Mbappe and Rodrygo are expected to miss out, limiting the offensive options at the the disposal of Alvaro Arbeloa, who is already under pressure following a rocky start to his tenure.
For the visitors, Josip Gvardiol remains out, as does Mateo Kovacic. Fortunately, Pep Guardiola has an otherwise fully fit squad, which means that he’s free to select his best starting XI. Having been rested at the weekend, the in-form Antoine Semenyo is expected to return to the team, while Omar Marmoush may have forced his way in having scored a brace last time out.
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Manchester City
K. Mbappe
(15 Goals)
E. Haaland
(8 Goals)
Vinicius Junior
(6 Assists)
T. Reijnders
(3 Assists)
, 
J. Doku
(3 Assists)
Real Madrid - Manchester City Key Points
- The Citizens come into this game having scored multiple goals in their last away game.
- The visitors have now scored two or more goals in three of their last four away games.
- The visitors have also scored more than one goal in 10 of their last 11 fixtures in all competitions.
- When Man City last visited the Bernabéu (2025), they scored multiple goals.
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Our Real Madrid vs Manchester City Prediction
It's really not easy to see the hosts being overly defensive on home soil, especially as they will be under pressure from the fierce home crowd, and this will suit the Citizens down to the ground. Guardiola's men are arguably at their best in open games, and with players like Antoine Semenyo in hot form, they really could do plenty of damage in the Spanish capital.
After all, they have scored multiple goals in all but one of their last 11 fixtures, and that's not easy to ignore.
Our Real Madrid vs Man City Pick: Man City to Score Over 1.5 Goals.
Real Madrid vs Manchester City - Other Interesting Picks
Man City to Win
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Real Madrid vs Manchester City match : Frequently asked questions
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