Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Real Madrid
12/7/25 15:00
Celta Vigo

Prediction:

 

More than 3.5 goals

-106
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 by Erik Gibbs in LaLiga Picks

Real Madrid take on Celta Vigo this Sunday at the Santiago Bernabéu in a critical La Liga fixture, with both clubs having experienced a decidedly mixed week of results. Los Blancos managed to snap a worrying winless streak in the league with a commanding 3-0 victory away to Athletic Club on Wednesday, a performance that coach Xabi Alonso lauded as perhaps their most complete of the season.

This result was vital, following a slightly shaky 1-1 draw against Girona just three days prior, where they looked disjointed in key phases of the game. The emphatic performance in Bilbao showed a renewed intensity, suggesting the team has refocused their efforts on maintaining the pressure at the top of the table.

In stark contrast, Celta Vigo has struggled to find consistent footing, entering this match following a grueling stretch of games that underscored their depth issues. Their domestic form took a hit last weekend with a narrow 0-1 home loss to Espanyol, a result that prevented them from climbing into the top half of the table.

The midweek saw them travel to face Sant Andreu in the Copa del Rey, where they were pushed to the limit, requiring extra time and a tense 7-6 penalty shootout victory to secure their passage. While a win is a win, being stretched that far against lower-division opposition just days before facing the reigning champions at their home fortress is a significant concern regarding player fatigue and preparation.

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Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
36 15 11 3 1 19
12
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
16 14 3 7 4 -3

Real Madrid and Celta Vigo Latest Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid Latest matches
L D D W D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 3, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  3
Real Madrid

Nov 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  1
Real Madrid

Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League

Olympiacos
3 :  4
Real Madrid

Nov 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Elche
2 :  2
Real Madrid

Nov 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
0 :  0
Real Madrid

Nov 4, 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
1 :  0
Real Madrid
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  0
Valencia

Oct 26, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Barcelona

Oct 22, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Juventus

Oct 4, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  1
Villarreal

Sep 20, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Espanyol

Sep 16, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Marseille
L D D W D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 3, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  3
Real Madrid

Nov 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  1
Real Madrid

Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League

Olympiacos
3 :  4
Real Madrid

Nov 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Elche
2 :  2
Real Madrid

Nov 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
0 :  0
Real Madrid

Nov 4, 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
1 :  0
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo Latest matches
W L W L L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 4, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Sant Andreu
1 :  1
Celta Vigo

Nov 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
0 :  1
Espanyol

Nov 27, 2025 - Europa League

Ludogorets
3 :  2
Celta Vigo

Nov 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  1
Celta Vigo

Nov 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
2 :  4
Barcelona

Nov 6, 2025 - Europa League

GNK Dinamo Zagreb
0 :  3
Celta Vigo
W D D W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
0 :  1
Espanyol

Nov 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
2 :  4
Barcelona

Oct 23, 2025 - Europa League

Celta Vigo
2 :  1
Nice

Oct 19, 2025 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
1 :  1
Real Sociedad

Oct 5, 2025 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Oct 2, 2025 - Europa League

Celta Vigo
3 :  1
PAOK Thessaloniki
W W W W L D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 4, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Sant Andreu
1 :  1
Celta Vigo

Nov 27, 2025 - Europa League

Ludogorets
3 :  2
Celta Vigo

Nov 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  1
Celta Vigo

Nov 6, 2025 - Europa League

GNK Dinamo Zagreb
0 :  3
Celta Vigo

Nov 2, 2025 - LaLiga

Levante
1 :  2
Celta Vigo

Oct 30, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Puerto De Vega CF
0 :  2
Celta Vigo

Real Madrid against Celta Vigo : Head to Head (H2H)

Real Madrid

100 %

Draw

0 %

Celta Vigo

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.83
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

May 4, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Celta Vigo

Jan 16, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Real Madrid
5 :  2
Celta Vigo

Oct 19, 2024 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Mar 10, 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  0
Celta Vigo

Aug 25, 2023 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
0 :  1
Real Madrid

Apr 22, 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo v Real Madrid last Lineups

Real Madrid

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
T. Courtois
12
T. Alexander-Arnold
3
E. Militao
22
A. Rudiger
18
A. Carreras
6
E. Camavinga
14
A. Tchouameni
5
J. Bellingham
8
F. Valverde
10
K. Mbappe
7
V. Junior
15
B. Zaragoza
7
B. Iglesias
10
I. Aspas
5
S. Carreira
16
M. Roman Gonzalez
8
F. Beltran
17
J. Rueda
20
M. Alonso
2
C. Starfelt
32
J. Rodriguez
13
I. Radu

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Celta Vigo

Missing players

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

A. Rudiger

D. Carvajal

E. Militao

D. Alaba

Midfielder

F. Mastantuono

Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
Defender

C. Dominguez

Midfielder

H. Alvarez

W. Swedberg

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Real Madrid
CD Huachipato Celta Vigo
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (25 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain B. Iglesias (7 Goals)
Best assists
Turkey A. Guler (7 Assists)
Best assists
Spain B. Zaragoza (4 Assists)

Real Madrid and Celta Vigo Stats in LaLiga

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
73%
Victories
21%
20%
Draw
50%
7%
Defeats
29%
3
Total goals per match
2.5
2.13
Goals scored per match
1.14
0.87
Goals conceded per match
1.36
67%
Over 2.5
29%
33%
Under 2.5
71%
53%
BTTS
79%
47%
No goals conceded
7%

Real Madrid - Celta Vigo Key Points

  1. Real Madrid are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
  2. Vigo are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
  3. The Over is 3-2 in Real Madrid's last 5 games
  4. The Over is 3-2 in Vigo's last 5 games
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Our Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo Prediction

Kylian Mbappé has been the undisputed story of the week for the home side, bagging a brace and an assist in the dismantling of Athletic. His current form is scintillating—seven goals in his last three appearances across all competitions—making him the key threat Celta's backline must neutralize. However, the victory came at a massive cost, as Real

Madrid suffered two potentially long-term injuries: right-back Trent Alexander-Arnold went off with a thigh injury that is expected to keep him sidelined for around two months, and the influential midfielder Eduardo Camavinga also exited with a worrying ankle problem, making his participation on Sunday extremely questionable. The absence of both Dani Carvajal and Alexander-Arnold forces a significant defensive reshuffle.

For the visitors, the demanding schedule and a rash of doubts across the squad present major selection headaches. Key players like Óscar Mingueza, Fran Beltran, and Carl Starfelt are all reportedly dealing with various issues, which severely impacts their ability to field a first-choice line-up capable of containing Madrid's attack. From a betting perspective, the trajectory of both teams this week, coupled with the Bernabéu factor, heavily favors the hosts. Real Madrid's potent attack, spearheaded by the in-form Mbappé, is expected to overwhelm a Celta side that appeared weary in midweek and is battling a significant injury list. The odds reflect a heavy upper hand for Real Madrid, with a multi-goal margin of victory being the most likely scenario. Our prediction for Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: Over 3.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

More than 3.5 goals

-106
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Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo Picks