Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Picks - Club World Cup

World - Club World Cup

Real Madrid
7/5/25 16:00
Borussia Dortmund

Prediction:

 

Vinicius Junior 1+ Assist

+230
$150 offered for betting!

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 by Bradley Gibbs in Club World Cup Picks

The FIFA Club World Cup is now starting to get very interesting. Only eight teams remain in the competition. The quarter finals begin on Friday, when Fluminese and Al Hilal will be the first teams to play for a spot in the final four. Finishing things up on Saturday will be a huge game between Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund which will take place at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. Los Blancos made it through to the quarters thanks to a narrow win over Italian giants Juventus, thanks to a second-half goal from young forward Gonzalo Garcia, who has been one of Madrid's standout performers in the US. 

For Dortmund, a path to the quarters was carved out in higher-scoring fashion, with Niko Kovac's men beating Mexican side by two goals to one, due in no small part to a first-half brace from deadly forward Serhou Guirassy. That effort was a pleasing one, and in general, the boys in yellow have looked useful since touching down on US soil. The question is can they raise their game and tussle with the best in the business? We'll soon find out. 

Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Form

Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund Latest Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid Latest matches
W W D W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jul 1, 2025 - Club World Cup

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Juventus

Jun 26, 2025 - Club World Cup

Salzburg
0 :  3
Real Madrid

Jun 22, 2025 - Club World Cup

Real Madrid
3 :  1
CF Pachuca

Jun 18, 2025 - Club World Cup

Real Madrid
1 :  1
Al Hilal

May 24, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Real Sociedad

May 18, 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
0 :  2
Real Madrid
W W W D W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jul 1, 2025 - Club World Cup

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Juventus

Jun 22, 2025 - Club World Cup

Real Madrid
3 :  1
CF Pachuca

Jun 18, 2025 - Club World Cup

Real Madrid
1 :  1
Al Hilal

May 24, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Real Sociedad

May 14, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Mallorca

May 4, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Celta Vigo
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 26, 2025 - Club World Cup

Salzburg
0 :  3
Real Madrid

May 18, 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
0 :  2
Real Madrid

May 11, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
4 :  3
Real Madrid

Apr 26, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Barcelona
3 :  2
Real Madrid

Apr 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Getafe
0 :  1
Real Madrid

Apr 13, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  1
Real Madrid
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund Latest matches
W W D W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jul 1, 2025 - Club World Cup

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  1
Monterrey

Jun 25, 2025 - Club World Cup

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  0
Ulsan HD FC

Jun 21, 2025 - Club World Cup

Mamelodi Sundowns
3 :  4
Borussia Dortmund

Jun 17, 2025 - Club World Cup

Fluminense
0 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

May 17, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  0
Holstein Kiel

May 11, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  4
Borussia Dortmund
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jul 1, 2025 - Club World Cup

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  1
Monterrey

Jun 25, 2025 - Club World Cup

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  0
Ulsan HD FC

May 17, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  0
Holstein Kiel

May 3, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
4 :  0
Wolfsburg

Apr 20, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  2
Mönchengladbach

Apr 15, 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  1
Barcelona
L D W W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jun 21, 2025 - Club World Cup

Mamelodi Sundowns
3 :  4
Borussia Dortmund

Jun 17, 2025 - Club World Cup

Fluminense
0 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

May 11, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  4
Borussia Dortmund

Apr 26, 2025 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim
2 :  3
Borussia Dortmund

Apr 12, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Apr 9, 2025 - Champions League

Barcelona
4 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

Real Madrid against Borussia Dortmund : Head to Head (H2H)

Real Madrid

67 %

Draw

33 %

Borussia Dortmund

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.33
Total goals
83%
BTTS
2.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

Oct 22, 2024 - Champions League

Real Madrid
5 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Jun 1, 2024 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
0 :  2
Real Madrid

Dec 6, 2017 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Sep 26, 2017 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  3
Real Madrid

Dec 7, 2016 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Sep 27, 2016 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  2
Real Madrid

Real Madrid - Borussia Dortmund: Form Analysis

Los Blancos finished the domestic campaign in decent form, beating Real Mallorca, Sevilla and Real Sociedad in quick succession, and they've continued to perform well at the FIFA Club World Cup, tying one and winning two during the group stages. In truth, it's been plain sailing for the men now coached by legendary Spanish midfielder Xabi Alonso, who has seen his team win games without really getting out of second gear. The men in white also showed lots of defensive discipline against Juventus, displaying that they have what it takes to grind out wins in the toughest of games. 

Something similar can be said for Dortmund, who've perhaps shown a bit more offensive style than Saturday's opponents. They needed plenty of final-third quality to see off an unlikely challenge from South African outfit Mamelodi in the groups, but they've also shown defensive grit, keeping clean sheets against both Fluminense and Ulsan. Doing so against Real Madrid will be much, much harder, though. 

Borussia Dortmund v Real Madrid last Lineups

Real Madrid

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

1
T. Courtois
22
A. Rudiger
14
A. Tchouameni
24
D. Huijsen
12
T. Alexander-Arnold
8
F. Valverde
15
A. Guler
20
F. Garcia
5
J. Bellingham
30
G. Garcia
7
Vinicius Junior
27
K. Adeyemi
9
S. Guirassy
77
J. Bellingham
24
D. Svensson
13
P. Gross
8
F. Nmecha
26
J. Ryerson
5
R. Bensebaini
3
W. Anton
25
N. Sule
1
G. Kobel

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Borussia Dortmund

Real Madrid & Borussia Dortmund Squad Analysis

David Alaba continues to be out for Real Madrid, while Xabi Alonso will not be able to call on the services of Eduardo Camavinga, who is suffering with a groin problem. Both Endrick and Ferland Mendy are also sidelined for Los Blancos. Summer signing Dean Huijsen is expected to continue in the heart of defense, while Arder Guler, who has impressed at this tournament, should continue in midfield, behind a front two of Vinicius Junior and Kylian Mbappe. 

Dortmund boss Niko Kovac isn't expected to change too much, though he will be without Jobe Bellingham, who would've featured against his brother Jude, but for suspension. Carney Chukwuemeka is also expected to miss out through illness. The potentially devastating front three of Julian Brandt, Serhou Guirassy and Karim Adeyemi should remain. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Real Madrid
CD Huachipato Borussia Dortmund
Top Goalscorer
Spain G. Garcia (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
S. Guirassy (3 Goals)
Best assists
England J. Bellingham (1 Assists)
England T. Alexander-Arnold (1 Assists)
Brazil V. Junior (1 Assists)
Brazil Rodrygo (1 Assists)
Morocco B. Diaz (1 Assists)
Spain F. Garcia (1 Assists)
Spain G. Garcia (1 Assists)
Brazil Vinicius Junior (1 Assists)
Best assists
Germany K. Adeyemi (2 Assists)

Real Madrid - Borussia Dortmund Key Points

  1. Vinicius Junior has registered four assists in his last eight games.
  2. During the previous domestic season, no player made more assists for Real Madrid than Vinicius Junior.
  3. During the previous domestic season, no player averaged more expected assists than Vinicius Junior.
  4. During the previous domestic season, only one Real Madrid player made more passes into the penalty area than Vinicius Junior.

Our Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Clearly one of the most threatening players in world soccer, Vinicius Junior has continued to shine at the FIFA Club World Cup, scoring and assisting an average of 0.56 goals per 90 minutes.

As of yet, the Brazilian has registered just one assist, but that still gives him an encouraging average of 0.28 assists per 90, while he's been getting into plenty of good wide areas, especially on the break, so it's far from difficult to see him providing for one of his fellow forwards here.

After all, we're talking about a player that has four assists in his last eight games.

Moreover, during the regular season, Vinicius Junior typically came up with assists in the biggest games, assisting on two separate occasions vs Barcelona, Real Sociedad and Man City Our Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Pick: Vinicius Junior 1+ Assist.

Prediction:

 

Vinicius Junior 1+ Assist

+230
$150 offered for betting!

Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund - Other Interesting Picks

Felix Nmecha 1+ Shots on Target

Odds +250
As an additional play, consider betting on Dortmund's Felix Nmecha to register a shot on target. The midfielder has been quite keen to get forward in this tournament, scoring twice already, while he's averaging a decent 0.81 shots on target per 90 minutes, a stat that makes odds of +250 look a little inflated.
$150 offered for betting!

Dean Huijsen 1+ Shots on Target

Odds +300
Dean Huijsen, who recently joined Real Madrid after a fine English Premier League campaign with AFC Bournemouth, is a defender who likes to get forward, especially at set pieces, while he has a knack of finding room to shoot, especially with his head, so don't be too surprised if he threatens from corners against Dortmund. The youngster has already taken five shots at this tournament.
$150 offered for betting!

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Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund match : Frequently asked questions

Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund will take place on Saturday afternoon. Kick off is set for 17:00 EST.
The teams last played back in 2024, when Real Madrid won in thrilling style, beating Borussia Dortmund by five goals to two in front of a home crowd.
Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund will take place at MetLife Stadium, which is situated in East Rutherford, New Jersey. MetLife Stadium is a stadium that is used for a multitude of events, such as NFL. Both the New York Giants and the New York Jets use this stadium.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Picks