Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
11/9/25 10:15
Real Madrid

Prediction:

 

More than 3.5 goals

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 by Erik Gibbs | in LaLiga Picks

Rayo Vallecano and Real Madrid face off in LaLiga on Sunday. Rayo Vallecano enter this match mid-table after an up-and-down start to the season. In recent weeks, they strung together three straight league victories in October, including an impressive 3–0 away win at Levante, before suffering a heavy 4–0 defeat to Villarreal in their last league outing.

Consistency has been an issue for Rayo – earlier in the season they managed a 1–1 draw against Barcelona and a win at Girona, but also endured losses to Osasuna, Atlético Madrid, and Sevilla. Currently sitting around 10th place, Rayo's form has stabilized somewhat with a resilient defense yielding a pair of clean-sheet wins against Alavés and Levante. However, that momentum was halted by the defeat at Villarreal, indicating Rayo still struggle against top-tier opponents.

Real Madrid, by contrast, have been in superb domestic form and top the LaLiga standings. Los Blancos have won ten of their first eleven league matches, their sole blemish a derby loss to Atlético Madrid. They come off a dominant 4–0 victory over Valencia, and prior to that secured a crucial 2–1 El Clásico win against Barcelona.

Real have been scoring freely and grinding out results – they've recorded multiple clean sheets and shown the ability to edge tight games (such as a 1–0 away win at Getafe) as well as blowouts (like 5–2 at Levante). One concern is that just days ago Real Madrid fell 1–0 at Liverpool in Champions League play, which could test their depth and focus. Nonetheless, in LaLiga they remain a winning machine, with the best goal differential in the league and confidence from a string of big victories.

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Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
42 18 13 3 2 20
15
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
18 17 4 6 7 -7

Rayo Vallecano and Real Madrid Latest Matches

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano Latest matches
W D W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Nov 6, 2025 - Conference League

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  2
KKS Lech Poznan

Nov 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
4 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Oct 29, 2025 - Copa del Rey

CD Yuncos
1 :  6
Rayo Vallecano

Oct 26, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  0
Alavés

Oct 23, 2025 - Conference League

BK Häcken
2 :  2
Rayo Vallecano

Oct 19, 2025 - LaLiga

Levante
0 :  3
Rayo Vallecano
D D L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Nov 6, 2025 - Conference League

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  2
KKS Lech Poznan

Oct 26, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  0
Alavés

Oct 2, 2025 - Conference League

Rayo Vallecano
2 :  0
Shkendija

Sep 28, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
0 :  1
Sevilla

Sep 21, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Celta Vigo

Aug 31, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Barcelona
L W W D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Nov 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
4 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Oct 29, 2025 - Copa del Rey

CD Yuncos
1 :  6
Rayo Vallecano

Oct 23, 2025 - Conference League

BK Häcken
2 :  2
Rayo Vallecano

Oct 19, 2025 - LaLiga

Levante
0 :  3
Rayo Vallecano

Oct 5, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
0 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Sep 24, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  2
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
Real Madrid Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 4, 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
1 :  0
Real Madrid

Nov 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  0
Valencia

Oct 26, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Barcelona

Oct 22, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Juventus

Oct 19, 2025 - LaLiga

Getafe
0 :  1
Real Madrid

Oct 4, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  1
Villarreal
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  0
Valencia

Oct 26, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Barcelona

Oct 22, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Juventus

Oct 4, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  1
Villarreal

Sep 20, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Espanyol

Sep 16, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Marseille
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 4, 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
1 :  0
Real Madrid

Oct 19, 2025 - LaLiga

Getafe
0 :  1
Real Madrid

Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League

Kairat Almaty
0 :  5
Real Madrid

Sep 27, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
5 :  2
Real Madrid

Sep 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Levante
1 :  4
Real Madrid

Sep 13, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Rayo Vallecano against Real Madrid : Head to Head (H2H)

Rayo Vallecano

17 %

Draw

50 %

Real Madrid

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
83%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.67
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

Mar 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Dec 14, 2024 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  3
Real Madrid

Feb 18, 2024 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Real Madrid

Nov 5, 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
0 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

May 24, 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Nov 7, 2022 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  2
Real Madrid

Rayo Vallecano against Real Madrid Lineups: Starting 11

Rayo Vallecano

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

13
A. Batalla
2
A. Ratiu
24
F. Lejeune
32
N. Mendy
3
P. Chavarria
4
P. Diaz
6
P. Ciss
17
U. Lopez
7
I. Palazon
19
J. De Frutos
18
A. Garcia
10
K. Mbappe
5
J. Bellingham
7
V. Junior
6
E. Camavinga
15
A. Guler
21
B. Diaz
18
A. Carreras
24
D. Huijsen
17
R. Asencio
8
F. Valverde
1
T. Courtois

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Real Madrid

Missing players

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Defender

A. Mumin

L. Felipe

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

A. Rudiger

D. Carvajal

Midfielder

F. Mastantuono

A. Tchouameni

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Rayo Vallecano
CD Huachipato Real Madrid
Top Goalscorer
Spain A. Garcia (5 Goals)
Spain J. De Frutos (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (27 Goals)
Best assists
Spain A. Garcia (3 Assists)
Best assists
Turkey A. Guler (7 Assists)
Brazil V. Junior (7 Assists)

Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid Key Points

  1. Real Madrid are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
  2. Rayo Vallecano are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games
  3. The Over is 2-3 in Real Madrid's last 5 games
  4. The Over is 2-3 in Rayo Vallecano's last 5 games
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Our Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Prediction

In attack, Rayo Vallecano rely on winger Jorge de Frutos and forward Álvaro García to spark their offense. Álvaro García has added three goals this season and provides width and work rate on the flank. Both will need to be at their best to trouble Real's defense. Rayo's recent clean sheets were anchored by a solid back line, but they'll be counting on their attackers to seize any chances on the counter.

Real Madrid's star power has been on full display. Kylian Mbappé is in sensational form, already netting 13 league goals. He scored a quick-fire brace in the win over Levante and has been virtually unstoppable with his speed and clinical finishing. Alongside him, Vinícius Júnior has hit his stride after a slower start under new coach Xabi Alonso – the

Real Madrid's quality and depth give them a clear edge in this matchup. Rayo Vallecano's home support and recent fighting spirit might keep the game competitive early on, but over 90 minutes the league leaders' firepower should prove decisive. Barring a defensive masterclass from Rayo, the talent gap is likely to tell. Our prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid: Over 3.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

More than 3.5 goals

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$250 offered for betting!

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Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Picks