Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction & Picks - ATP Cincinnati Open
ATP - ATP Cincinnati Open
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Cincinnati Open Picks
Rafael Jodar sets his sights on a dominant win over Denis Shapovalov in the second round of the 2026 Cincinnati Open.
Jodar is listed at +100 to win in straight sets.
Current Form:
Rafael Jodar will be making his maiden campaign in Cincinnati, which serves as the final big tournament before the US Open championship. After turning heads with his fantastic play on clay, Jodar continues to surge through the rankings by compiling an 8-2 record in his first 10 matches in the North American hard-court season. Jodar reached the final in Washington D.C and followed it up with a semifinal appearance in Toronto.
Denis Shapovalov advanced to the second round of the 2026 Cincinnati Open with a 6-1, 6-4 win over Adrian Mannarino. The big-serving Canadian fired 9 aces, won 73 percent of his first serves and broke Mannarino four times. Shapovalov is 8-7 on the hard court in 2026.
The Matchup: Shapovalov dominated Jodar 6-1, 6-2 in their first meeting at the 2026 Dallas Open. However, Shapovalov should prepare for a much better version of Jodar, who has become one of the most consistent players on the ATP Tour this season.
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Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalov Form
Rafael Jodar and Denis Shapovalov Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 12, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Aug 11, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Aug 8, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Aug 6, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Aug 5, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Aug 3, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 13, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 4, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Aug 1, 2026 - ATP Los Cabos Open
Aug 1, 2026 - ATP Los Cabos Open
Jul 31, 2026 - ATP Los Cabos Open
Jul 29, 2026 - ATP Los Cabos Open
Rafael Jodar against Denis Shapovalov : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
Feb 10, 2026 - Dallas Open
Rafael Jodar - Denis Shapovalov Key Points
- Denis Shapovalov is 8-7 on the hard courts in 2026.
- Denis Shapovalov is 1-3 vs. top-20 players in 2026.
- Rafael Jodar is 8-2 in his last 10 matches.
- Rafael Jodar is 10-3 in second-round matches in 2026.
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Our Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction
The Difference Maker: Jodar has all the momentum in the world to keep winning matches. He has become arguably the most consistent player on the ATP Tour in a year where Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz are battling injuries.
Shapovalov will also present a certain level of danger because he can serve big. However, Jodar’s return game on hard court is also in another tier right now. In Montreal, Jodar has converted 20 of 43 breakpoints for a 43 percent conversion rate against some of the biggest hitters on the tour.
What to Expect: Rafael Jodar overpowers Denis Shapovalov, cruising to a straight-set win. This version of Jodar is just too good for everybody outside the top 10 of the world rankings.
Fearless Forecast: Rafael Jodar wins 6-4, 6-3
Our betting prediction for Rafael Jodar vs. Denis Shapovalov: Rafael Jodar 2-0 Sets
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