Rafael Fiziev vs Mauricio Ruffy Prediction & Picks - UFC #325
UFC - UFC #325
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by Stephen Abiola | in UFC Picks
Rafael Fiziev (13-4-0) versus Mauricio Ruffy (12-2-0) is an explosive UFC 325 main card showdown on Saturday night at the Qudos Bank Arena in Sydney, Australia. Mauricio Ruffy will come into this explosive striker showdown as the -124 betting favorite. The Brazilian joined the franchise in October 2023 via the Dana White Contender Series, going on to win his first four fights. However, that winning streak ended in September 2025, when Benoit Saint Denis submitted him in two rounds. The 29-year-old will want to bounce back from that defeat.
Rafael Fiziev, on the other side of the Octagon, has been with the franchise since April 2019, when he lost to Magomed Mustafaev via a spinning back kick. The “Ataman” quickly recovered from that defeat to win his next six matches, including three KO wins. He then went on a three-fight losing skid, with two losses to Gaethje and a defeat to Gamrot. Fiziev bounced back with a decision win over Iganacio Bahamondes in June last year. At 32 years old, the Azerbaijani fighter holds the experience advantage in this fight.
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Rafael Fiziev - Mauricio Ruffy Key Points
- The fight was decided via decision in three of the last four Fiziev bouts.
- Rafael Fiziev lost three of his last four UFC assignments.
- Mauricio Ruffy won four of his last five UFC bouts.
- The fight went the distance in three of the last four Rafael Fiziev bouts.
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Our Rafael Fiziev vs Mauricio Ruffy Prediction
This matchup has the hallmarks of being a high-level striking showdown, with both bruisers capable of inflicting some severe damage. Ruffy doesn’t only enjoy the age advantage, but he also brings to the table his fight-ending punching power. Since joining the franchise, he has averaged an impressive 57% striking accuracy while boasting 60% significant strike defense. However, Fiziev has spent time in the Octagon with some of the most polished strikers, meaning he has what it takes to navigate the early exchanges. His toughness and experience should help him make the three rounds, although Ruffy should edge it.
Our prediction for Rafael Fiziev vs Mauricio Ruffy: A unanimous decision victory for Ruffy.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
