Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Prediction & Picks - WTA China Open

WTA - WTA China Open

Qinwen Zheng China
Qinwen Zheng WTA 54
10/10/26 07:00
Elise Mertens Belgium
Elise Mertens WTA 19

Prediction:

 

Zheng Qinwen wins

-148
$150 offered for betting!

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 by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks

Posted as a solid -141 on the moneyline, Zheng Qinwen will try to capitalize on her home-court edge against Elise Mertens in the semifinals of the 2026 China Open.

Current Form:

Zheng Qinwen punched her ticket to the semifinals of the 2026 China Open with a 6-3, 7-6 upset of Elina Svitolina. It marked Zheng’s first straight-set win in the tournament after surviving four consecutive three-set thrillers.

Elise Mertens has scored back-to-back top-10 wins, knocking over Coco Gauff 6-3, 6-3 in the quarterfinals and Iga Swiatek 7-6, 6-3. Mertens is winning 78.4 percent of her first serves and has converted 17 of 44 breakpoints in Beijing.

The Matchup: Zheng edged Mertens 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 in their first meeting at the 2025 Charleston Open.

Up to $150 to bet on Qinwen Zheng - Elise Mertens! 

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Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Form

Qinwen Zheng and Elise Mertens Latest Matches

Qinwen Zheng Latest matches
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 9, 2026 - WTA China Open

Qinwen Zheng
2 :  0
Elina Svitolina

Oct 7, 2026 - WTA China Open

Alina Charaeva
1 :  2
Qinwen Zheng

Oct 5, 2026 - WTA China Open

Marie Bouzkova
1 :  2
Qinwen Zheng

Sep 30, 2026 - WTA China Open

Qinwen Zheng
2 :  1
Han Shi

Sep 24, 2026 - Billie Jean King Cup

Jasmine Paolini
2 :  0
Qinwen Zheng

Sep 9, 2026 - WTA US Open

Qinwen Zheng
1 :  2
Elena Rybakina
Elise Mertens Latest matches
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 9, 2026 - WTA China Open

Elise Mertens
2 :  0
Iga Swiatek

Oct 7, 2026 - WTA China Open

Coco Gauff
0 :  2
Elise Mertens

Oct 5, 2026 - WTA China Open

Jelena Ostapenko
1 :  2
Elise Mertens

Oct 2, 2026 - WTA China Open

Katie Volynets
1 :  2
Elise Mertens

Sep 25, 2026 - WTA Singapore

Elise Mertens
0 :  2
Maja Chwalinska

Sep 5, 2026 - WTA US Open

Naomi Osaka
2 :  1
Elise Mertens

Qinwen Zheng against Elise Mertens : Head to Head (H2H)

Qinwen Zheng

100 %

Elise Mertens

0 %

Apr 3, 2025 - WTA Charleston Open

Qinwen Zheng
2 :  1
Elise Mertens
Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Picks

Qinwen Zheng - Elise Mertens Key Points

  1. Zheng Qinwen is 18-7 on hard courts in 2026.
  2. Zheng Qinwen is 23-15 overall in 2026.
  3. Elise Mertens is 21-10 on hard courts in 2026.
  4. Elise Mertens is 34-19 overall.
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Our Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Prediction

The Difference Maker: The Chinese crowd is going to be a huge factor in this match. With Zheng a couple of wins away from making history, expect thousands of Chinese fans to attend this match and throw their full support behind their home bet.

What to Expect: Zheng grinds out a tough three-set win over Mertens. Zheng is winning 77.1 percent of her first serves in this tourney and should hold the majority of her service games even against a crafty returner like Mertens. One thing that makes Zheng more prepared for this semifinal duel is her ability to deliver big points in clutch moments. The Chinese has thrived under pressure at home as she has not only survived four three-set nail-biters but also won 3 of 4 tiebreaks in this event.

Fearless Forecast: Zheng Qinwen wins 4-6, 7-6, 6-4

Our betting prediction for Zheng Qinwen vs. Elise Mertens: Zheng Qinwen wins

Prediction:

 

Zheng Qinwen wins

-148
$150 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.