Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Prediction & Picks - WTA China Open
WTA - WTA China Open
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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
Posted as a solid -141 on the moneyline, Zheng Qinwen will try to capitalize on her home-court edge against Elise Mertens in the semifinals of the 2026 China Open.
Current Form:
Zheng Qinwen punched her ticket to the semifinals of the 2026 China Open with a 6-3, 7-6 upset of Elina Svitolina. It marked Zheng’s first straight-set win in the tournament after surviving four consecutive three-set thrillers.
Elise Mertens has scored back-to-back top-10 wins, knocking over Coco Gauff 6-3, 6-3 in the quarterfinals and Iga Swiatek 7-6, 6-3. Mertens is winning 78.4 percent of her first serves and has converted 17 of 44 breakpoints in Beijing.
The Matchup: Zheng edged Mertens 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 in their first meeting at the 2025 Charleston Open.
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Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Form
Qinwen Zheng and Elise Mertens Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Oct 9, 2026 - WTA China Open
Oct 7, 2026 - WTA China Open
Oct 5, 2026 - WTA China Open
Sep 30, 2026 - WTA China Open
Sep 24, 2026 - Billie Jean King Cup
Sep 9, 2026 - WTA US Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Oct 9, 2026 - WTA China Open
Oct 7, 2026 - WTA China Open
Oct 5, 2026 - WTA China Open
Oct 2, 2026 - WTA China Open
Sep 25, 2026 - WTA Singapore
Sep 5, 2026 - WTA US Open
Qinwen Zheng against Elise Mertens : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
Apr 3, 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
Qinwen Zheng - Elise Mertens Key Points
- Zheng Qinwen is 18-7 on hard courts in 2026.
- Zheng Qinwen is 23-15 overall in 2026.
- Elise Mertens is 21-10 on hard courts in 2026.
- Elise Mertens is 34-19 overall.
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Our Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Prediction
The Difference Maker: The Chinese crowd is going to be a huge factor in this match. With Zheng a couple of wins away from making history, expect thousands of Chinese fans to attend this match and throw their full support behind their home bet.
What to Expect: Zheng grinds out a tough three-set win over Mertens. Zheng is winning 77.1 percent of her first serves in this tourney and should hold the majority of her service games even against a crafty returner like Mertens. One thing that makes Zheng more prepared for this semifinal duel is her ability to deliver big points in clutch moments. The Chinese has thrived under pressure at home as she has not only survived four three-set nail-biters but also won 3 of 4 tiebreaks in this event.
Fearless Forecast: Zheng Qinwen wins 4-6, 7-6, 6-4
Our betting prediction for Zheng Qinwen vs. Elise Mertens: Zheng Qinwen wins
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.