Puebla vs Monterrey Prediction & Picks - Liga MX

Mexico - Liga MX

Puebla
10/21/26 21:00
Monterrey

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 goals

−110
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 by Edgar Jibran | in Liga MX Picks

Last weekend was very positive for Monterrey, as it secured a valuable victory over Pachuca at BBVA Stadium; however, the final minutes of the game were very concerning for Matías Almeyda’s team. With that in mind, its upcoming road game against Puebla is expected to be a tough challenge because it will be played at altitude on a difficult pitch like Cuauhtémoc Stadium’s.

In this regard, Puebla has built a strong home defense, conceding more than one goal in only one of its last five games. Nevertheless, Gerardo Espinoza’s team has struggled offensively, scoring more than one goal in only one of its five home games of the regular season, so its chances of reaching playoff spots are almost nil.

On Monterrey’s side, the team finally showed a dominant performance thanks to Lucas Ocampos’ return, but it still needs to be more effective to capitalize on those opportunities. Furthermore, the team has a three-game road winless streak in Liga MX, so it will be difficult for Almeyda’s side to replicate the fast-paced rhythm it showed against Pachuca last weekend.

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Puebla vs Monterrey Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8 Monterrey
17 11 5 2 4 +3
12 Puebla
16 12 4 4 4 -1

Puebla and Monterrey Latest Matches

Puebla
Puebla Latest matches
W L D L D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

Oct 16, 2026 - Liga MX

Tijuana
0 :  0
Puebla

Oct 9, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
1 :  1
Club Leon

Sep 26, 2026 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
1 :  0
Puebla

Sep 18, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
1 :  1
Atlante

Sep 15, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Sep 11, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
0 :  1
Puebla
L D W L D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 9, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
1 :  1
Club Leon

Sep 18, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
1 :  1
Atlante

Sep 15, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 22, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
3 :  2
Club Santos Laguna

Jul 31, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
1 :  1
Chivas

Apr 24, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
1 :  2
Queretaro
L W L W L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 16, 2026 - Liga MX

Tijuana
0 :  0
Puebla

Sep 26, 2026 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
1 :  0
Puebla

Sep 11, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
0 :  1
Puebla

Aug 29, 2026 - Liga MX

CF America
2 :  0
Puebla

Aug 17, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
2 :  3
Puebla

Aug 12, 2026 - Leagues Cup

San Diego FC
3 :  2
Puebla
Monterrey
Monterrey Latest matches
D W L W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 18, 2026 - Liga MX

Monterrey
2 :  1
CF Pachuca

Oct 10, 2026 - Liga MX

CF America
1 :  1
Monterrey

Oct 3, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Monterrey
2 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Sep 25, 2026 - Liga MX

Atlante
4 :  2
Monterrey

Sep 19, 2026 - Liga MX

Monterrey
1 :  0
CF Cruz Azul

Sep 12, 2026 - Liga MX

Monterrey
0 :  0
Tigres UANL
W L D W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 18, 2026 - Liga MX

Monterrey
2 :  1
CF Pachuca

Oct 3, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Monterrey
2 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Sep 19, 2026 - Liga MX

Monterrey
1 :  0
CF Cruz Azul

Sep 12, 2026 - Liga MX

Monterrey
0 :  0
Tigres UANL

Aug 30, 2026 - Liga MX

Monterrey
1 :  3
Atletico San Luis

Aug 25, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Monterrey
2 :  1
Chicago Fire
W L D L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 10, 2026 - Liga MX

CF America
1 :  1
Monterrey

Sep 25, 2026 - Liga MX

Atlante
4 :  2
Monterrey

Sep 6, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  0
Monterrey

Sep 2, 2026 - Leagues Cup

CF America
2 :  2
Monterrey

Aug 21, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Leon
2 :  0
Monterrey

Aug 8, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Inter Miami
1 :  2
Monterrey

Puebla against Monterrey : Head to Head (H2H)

Puebla

0 %

Draw

33 %

Monterrey

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Apr 21, 2026 - Liga MX

Monterrey
2 :  1
Puebla

Aug 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Puebla
2 :  4
Monterrey

Jan 12, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
1 :  1
Puebla

Aug 16, 2024 - Liga MX

Puebla
1 :  2
Monterrey

Jan 13, 2024 - Liga MX

Monterrey
2 :  0
Puebla

Oct 3, 2023 - Liga MX

Puebla
1 :  1
Monterrey
Puebla vs Monterrey Picks

Monterrey v Puebla last Lineups

Puebla

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

28
R. Gutierrez
12
I. Moreno
5
F. Almada
4
J. Vargas
7
F. Monarrez
24
A. Organista
16
A. Ramirez
27
B. Garnica
10
M. Tomas
8
O. Moreno
9
L. Hernandez
99
H. Cuypers
7
L. Ocampos
17
J. Corona
9
D. Rossi
25
O. Pineda
18
C. Garza
3
G. Arteaga
13
C. Salcedo
4
V. Guzman
2
R. Chavez
1
E. Andrada

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Monterrey

Substitutes

Puebla
Puebla
Goalkeeper

J. Rodriguez

Defender

A. Leyva

R. Pachuca

O. Villa

Midfielder

A. de la Rosa Burgos

H. Jurado

E. Armenta

A. Herrera

Forward

I. Maestro Puch

E. Mustre Torres

Monterrey
Monterrey
Goalkeeper

L. Cardenas

Defender

D. Aceves

S. Medina

E. Aguirre

Midfielder

O. Torres

J. Rodriguez

R. Tamez

F. Ambriz

Forward

L. Orellano

R. De la Rosa

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Puebla
CD Huachipato Monterrey
Top Goalscorer
Mexico E. Mustre Torres (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Argentina L. Ocampos (5 Goals)
Best assists
Mexico A. Herrera (2 Assists) , 
Costa Rica J. Vargas (2 Assists)
Best assists
Uruguay D. Rossi (3 Assists)

Puebla and Monterrey Stats in Liga MX

Puebla
Puebla
Monterrey
Monterrey
33%
Wins
45%
33%
Losses
36%
33%
Draws
18%
2.08
Average goals per match
3.18
1
Goals scored per match
1.73
1.08
Goals conceded per match
1.45
75%
Under 2.5 goals
45%
25%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
25%
No goals conceded
27%
50%
Both score
64%

Puebla - Monterrey Key Points

  1. Puebla has conceded at least one goal in every home game of the Apertura 2026 season.
  2. Monterrey scored at least one goal in four of its five road games of the season.
  3. Puebla ended a five-game streak of scoring at least one goal in home meetings against Monterrey with its most recent 4-2 loss in August 2025.
  4. Monterrey scored two or more goals in three of its last four road meetings against Puebla.
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Our Puebla vs Monterrey Prediction

That said, this game could be a chance for Monterrey to end its awful road streak; however, it cannot be ignored that in its last 4-2 win in Puebla, Sergio Canales was the hero, and he is no longer on the team.

In conclusion, even though Monterrey has a stronger roster than Puebla, it won’t be easy to win on one of Liga MX's most damaged pitches, like the Cuauhtémoc Stadium. Therefore, the pick for Puebla FC – CF Monterrey is: Under 2.5 Goals!

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 goals

−110
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.