Puebla vs Club Leon Prediction & Picks - Liga MX

Mexico - Liga MX

Puebla
4/10/26 21:00
Club Leon

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

-120
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 by Erik Gibbs | in Liga MX Picks

The clash between Puebla and Club León at the Estadio Cuauhtémoc on Friday carries significant weight as both clubs fight to secure their standing in the Liga MX Clausura table. Puebla enters this fixture following a season defined by inconsistency, having managed to hover around the bottom half of the playoff-contention zone without ever fully breaking into the upper echelon. Their recent form illustrates this volatility perfectly; they managed to secure vital back-to-back victories against Atlas and Juárez late last month, only to see that momentum stall with a disappointing loss against high-flying Guadalajara.

The home side has struggled primarily with defensive lapses, often allowing early goals that force them into a desperate, high-pressing game. However, their ability to find the back of the net has kept them relevant, particularly in matches where they can dictate the tempo from the midfield. On the other side of the pitch, Club León has mirrored much of that inconsistency, sitting just a point ahead of their hosts. Their previous five outings have been a rollercoaster, featuring a massive win over Santos Laguna but also a string of three consecutive defeats against Tijuana, Mazatlán, and Chivas. The defensive unit for León has been particularly leaky, conceding far too many goals for a team with their historical pedigree.

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Puebla vs Club Leon Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
10 Club Leon
22 17 7 1 9 -10
17 Puebla
13 17 3 4 10 -13

Puebla and Club Leon Latest Matches

Puebla
Puebla Latest matches
W W L D L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 3, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
1 :  1
FC Juarez

Mar 22, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Santos Laguna
2 :  1
Puebla

Mar 13, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  0
Club Necaxa

Mar 7, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
2 :  1
Puebla

Mar 4, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
3 :  1
Tigres UANL

Feb 28, 2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
0 :  1
Puebla
D L L W D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 3, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
1 :  1
FC Juarez

Mar 13, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  0
Club Necaxa

Mar 4, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
3 :  1
Tigres UANL

Feb 20, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  4
CF America

Feb 13, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
2 :  3
Pumas UNAM

Jan 30, 2026 - Liga MX

Puebla
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC
L L D W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 22, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Santos Laguna
2 :  1
Puebla

Mar 7, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
2 :  1
Puebla

Feb 28, 2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
0 :  1
Puebla

Feb 6, 2026 - Liga MX

Tijuana
0 :  0
Puebla

Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  0
Puebla

Jan 9, 2026 - Liga MX

Atlas FC
1 :  0
Puebla
Club Leon
Club Leon Latest matches
W L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 4, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Leon
2 :  0
Atlas FC

Mar 21, 2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
1 :  2
Club Leon

Mar 18, 2026 - Liga MX

Chivas
5 :  0
Club Leon

Mar 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Leon
0 :  3
Tijuana

Mar 6, 2026 - Liga MX

Mazatlan FC
4 :  2
Club Leon

Feb 28, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Leon
2 :  1
Club Necaxa
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 4, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Leon
2 :  0
Atlas FC

Mar 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Leon
0 :  3
Tijuana

Feb 28, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Leon
2 :  1
Club Necaxa

Feb 21, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Leon
2 :  1
Club Santos Laguna

Jan 31, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Leon
1 :  2
Tigres UANL

Jan 10, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Leon
2 :  1
CF Cruz Azul
D L L L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 21, 2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
1 :  2
Club Leon

Mar 18, 2026 - Liga MX

Chivas
5 :  0
Club Leon

Mar 6, 2026 - Liga MX

Mazatlan FC
4 :  2
Club Leon

Feb 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Monterrey
1 :  0
Club Leon

Feb 7, 2026 - Liga MX

Queretaro
2 :  0
Club Leon

Jan 18, 2026 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
1 :  1
Club Leon

Puebla against Club Leon : Head to Head (H2H)

Puebla

33 %

Draw

17 %

Club Leon

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Nov 8, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
1 :  2
Puebla

Apr 12, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
1 :  0
Puebla

Jul 16, 2024 - Liga MX

Puebla
2 :  2
Club Leon

Mar 16, 2024 - Liga MX

Club Leon
2 :  1
Puebla

Nov 3, 2023 - Liga MX

Puebla
5 :  4
Club Leon

Feb 14, 2023 - Liga MX

Club Leon
2 :  0
Puebla

Puebla against Club Leon Lineups: Starting 11

Puebla

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

28
R. Gutierrez
20
R. Pachuca
4
J. Vargas
192
E. Navarro
12
I. Moreno
24
A. Organista
16
A. Ramirez
7
F. Monarrez
26
K. Velasco
11
E. Gomez
25
A. Canelo
11
I. Diaz
27
D. Cambindo
8
J. Dominguez
6
F. Beltran
29
J. Rodriguez
20
R. Echeverria
26
S. Reyes
21
S. Barreiro
2
V. Gauthier
7
I. Moreno
23
O. Garcia

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Club Leon

Substitutes

Puebla
Puebla
Goalkeeper

J. Rodriguez

Defender

L. Rey

A. Ramirez 70'

Midfielder

A. Araos

A. Organista 79'

M. Ramirez

E. Mustre Torres

A. Gamarra

A. de la Rosa Burgos

Forward

E. Lozano

E. Gomez 63'

O. Gonzalez

K. Velasco 70'

B. Garnica

I. Moreno 78'

Club Leon
Club Leon
Goalkeeper

J. García Bonnet

Defender

D. Ramirez

B. Colula

I. Moreno 77'

Midfielder

D. Arcila

F. Beltran 60'

Forward

R. Funes Mori

D. Cambindo 90'

A. Alvarado

P. Bellon Saracho

S. Barreiro 46'

J. Vallejo

E. Rodriguez

J. Dominguez 60'

J. Cortizo

Missing players

Puebla
Puebla
Forward

I. Maestro Puch

Club Leon
Club Leon
Midfielder

A. Estrada Meza

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Puebla
CD Huachipato Club Leon
Top Goalscorer
Colombia E. Guerra (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Colombia D. Cambindo (8 Goals)
Best assists
Colombia K. Velasco (3 Assists)
Best assists
Panama I. Diaz (5 Assists)

Puebla - Club Leon Key Points

  1. The Over is 3-2 in Puebla's last 5 home games
  2. The Over is 4-1 in Club León's last 5 away games
  3. Puebla are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 home games
  4. Club León are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 away games
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Our Puebla vs Club Leon Prediction

The individual metrics tell an interesting story as we approach this Friday night showdown. For Puebla, Daniel Gutiérrez has been a standout in goal despite the team's defensive struggles, recording several crucial saves in the games leading up to this week. Meanwhile, Lucas Cavallini has remained the primary focal point of the attack, showing flashes of the physical presence that makes him a nightmare for central defenders, having scored twice in the most recent stretch of matches.

For Club León, the spotlight remains firmly on Diber Cambindo, who has been in clinical form with six goals in the Clausura so far. Federico Viñas has also been influential, though he is currently nursing a slight hamstring strain that has limited his training sessions this week. Leon's defensive depth is also being tested, with Stiven Barreiro sidelined due to a suspension picked up in their last outing.

Assessing the tactical landscape, Puebla appears to have a slight upper hand simply due to the home-field advantage and León's porous backline. León's tendency to collapse under pressure on the road makes them a risky choice, whereas Puebla's desperation to climb into the top ten should provide them with the necessary urgency to secure a result. Our prediction for Puebla vs. Club León: Over 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

-120
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Puebla vs Club Leon Picks