Puebla vs Deportivo Toluca FC Prediction & Picks - Liga MX
Mexico - Liga MX
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by Bradley Gibbs | in Liga MX Picks
Late on Friday evening, at least for those watching stateside, theres Liga MX action at Estadio Cuauhtémoc, where Puebla and Toluca will clash in a game between two teams that have enjoyed contrasting starts to the new campaign. The visitors have begun the season in a positive way, winning two of their first three games, tying the other, leaving them as one of only four teams to remain unbeaten. They sit just two points behind early pace setters and will likely have their sights set on the top spot.
In contrast, the hosts haven't exactly thrived. They did get the better of Mazatlan during the second round of Liga MX games, but that win came after a poor showing away to Atlas, while it was followed by another disappointing effort against Cruz Azul last time out. Defensively, you wouldn't say that they've been all over the place, but there's a clear lack of quality in the final third, which is a worry ahead of a game against a team that has so far conceded just one goal.
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Puebla vs Deportivo Toluca FC Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
30 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | +12 |
|
17
|
13 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -13 |
Puebla and Deportivo Toluca FC Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 13, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 9, 2026 - Liga MX
Nov 8, 2025 - Liga MX
Oct 31, 2025 - Liga MX
Oct 24, 2025 - Liga MX
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 13, 2026 - Liga MX
Oct 31, 2025 - Liga MX
Oct 17, 2025 - Liga MX
Sep 27, 2025 - Liga MX
Sep 23, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 29, 2025 - Liga MX
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 9, 2026 - Liga MX
Nov 8, 2025 - Liga MX
Oct 24, 2025 - Liga MX
Oct 21, 2025 - Liga MX
Oct 4, 2025 - Liga MX
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 14, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 10, 2026 - Liga MX
Dec 14, 2025 - Liga MX
Dec 11, 2025 - Liga MX
Dec 6, 2025 - Liga MX
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 14, 2026 - Liga MX
Dec 14, 2025 - Liga MX
Dec 6, 2025 - Liga MX
Nov 29, 2025 - Liga MX
Nov 8, 2025 - Liga MX
Oct 26, 2025 - Liga MX
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX
Jan 10, 2026 - Liga MX
Dec 11, 2025 - Liga MX
Dec 3, 2025 - Liga MX
Nov 26, 2025 - Liga MX
Nov 1, 2025 - Liga MX
Puebla against Deportivo Toluca FC : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
20 %
80 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Sep 13, 2025 - Liga MX
Mar 14, 2025 - Liga MX
Oct 22, 2024 - Liga MX
Jan 26, 2024 - Liga MX
Apr 7, 2023 - Liga MX
Puebla against Deportivo Toluca FC Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Rodriguez
DefenderR. Pachuca
A. de la Rosa Burgos
M. Ramirez
A. Ramirez
A. Gamarra
E. Mustre Torres
A. Araos
ForwardK. Velasco
B. Garnica
H. Gonzalez
DefenderM. Isais
E. del Villar
D. Barbosa
Luan
MidfielderV. Arteaga
J. Diaz
P. Perez
F. Rossi
O. Virgen
Most goals and assists
Puebla
Deportivo Toluca FC
E. Guerra
(3 Goals)
Paulinho
(6 Goals)
K. Velasco
(3 Assists)
J. Gallardo
(4 Assists)
Puebla - Deportivo Toluca FC Key Points
- The visitors have kept a clean sheet in two out of three games at the start of this new season.
- The hosts have failed to score in two of three at the start of this new season.
- Two of Toluca's three games at the start of the campaign have contained less than four goals.
- Each of Puebla's three games so far has contained less than four goals.
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Our Puebla vs Deportivo Toluca FC Prediction
During the early weeks of the season, it's fair to say that the hosts have struggled offensively, failing to score in two out of three, creating little in those games. This doesn't exactly bode well for them given that their opponents have been keeping it reasonably tight. However, it would be wrong to say that the Puebla boys have been getting hammered, because they've hung in there in games and have certainly kept the score down.
Only once have we seen Toluca really step on the gas, and that was at home, so it would be anything but surprising if the visitors, who are stronger than their hosts, won this game in relatively low-scoring fashion, so much so that combining an away-day success with less than four goals rates as a smart bet at odds of +110.
Our Puebla vs Toluca Pick: Toluca to Win & Under 3.5 Goals.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
