PSG vs Marseille Prediction & Picks - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

PSG
2/8/26 14:45
Marseille

Prediction:

 

PSG & Over 2.5 Goals

-134
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 by Tyler Doty | in Ligue 1 Picks

Paris Saint-Germain and Olympique de Marseille are already facing each other for the third time this season! This time, the two rivals will clash in Ligue 1's 21st matchday this Sunday at the Parc des Princes. In the midst of a battle for the league title with RC Lens, the capital club cannot afford to make any mistakes. Even though they were shaken by Marseille in the first leg and in the Trophée des Champions, they will now be playing in front of their fans. This is a major advantage for Luis Enrique's team!

After a difficult period and elimination from the Champions League group stage, OM had something to smile about in midweek. With an easy 3-0 win over Stade Rennais, Marseille booked their place in the quarterfinals of the Coupe de France. 

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PSG vs Marseille Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 PSG
76 34 24 4 6 +45
5 Marseille
59 34 18 5 11 +18

PSG and Marseille Latest Matches

PSG
PSG Latest matches
L W L W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 1, 2026 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
1 :  2
PSG

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

PSG
1 :  1
Newcastle

Jan 23, 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  1
PSG

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  1
PSG

Jan 16, 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  0
Lille

Jan 12, 2026 - French Cup

PSG
0 :  1
Paris FC
D W D L W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

PSG
1 :  1
Newcastle

Jan 16, 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  0
Lille

Jan 12, 2026 - French Cup

PSG
0 :  1
Paris FC

Jan 8, 2026 - Trophée des Champions

PSG
2 :  2
Marseille

Jan 4, 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
2 :  1
Paris FC

Dec 17, 2025 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup

PSG
1 :  1
Flamengo
D W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 1, 2026 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
1 :  2
PSG

Jan 23, 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  1
PSG

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  1
PSG

Dec 20, 2025 - French Cup

Vendee Fontenay Foot
0 :  4
PSG

Dec 13, 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  3
PSG

Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  0
PSG
Marseille
Marseille Latest matches
W L W L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Feb 3, 2026 - French Cup

Marseille
3 :  0
Rennes

Jan 31, 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
2 :  2
Marseille

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Club Brugge
3 :  0
Marseille

Jan 24, 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  1
Lens

Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League

Marseille
0 :  3
Liverpool

Jan 17, 2026 - Ligue 1

Angers
2 :  5
Marseille
D W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 3, 2026 - French Cup

Marseille
3 :  0
Rennes

Jan 24, 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  1
Lens

Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League

Marseille
0 :  3
Liverpool

Jan 4, 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  2
Nantes

Dec 14, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  0
Monaco

Nov 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  2
Toulouse
W D W W L D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
4 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Jan 31, 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
2 :  2
Marseille

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Club Brugge
3 :  0
Marseille

Jan 17, 2026 - Ligue 1

Angers
2 :  5
Marseille

Jan 13, 2026 - French Cup

FC Bayeux
0 :  9
Marseille

Jan 8, 2026 - Trophée des Champions

PSG
2 :  2
Marseille

Dec 21, 2025 - French Cup

Football Bourg-En-Bresse Peronnas 01
0 :  6
Marseille

PSG against Marseille : Head to Head (H2H)

PSG

67 %

Draw

17 %

Marseille

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
2.33
Goals scored
0.67
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Jan 8, 2026 - Trophée des Champions

PSG
2 :  2
Marseille

Sep 22, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  0
PSG

Mar 16, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  1
Marseille

Oct 27, 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  3
PSG

Mar 31, 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  2
PSG

Sep 24, 2023 - Ligue 1

PSG
4 :  0
Marseille

PSG - Marseille: Form Analysis

PSG will soon have to start picking up the pace this season. So far, they are nowhere near as dominant as they were last season. After being knocked out of the Coupe de France early on, the Parisian club also failed to qualify directly for the Champions League round of 16. They will now have to go through the play-offs.

The team coached by Luis Enrique is doing better in Ligue 1, having won its last six games. Even though it is in the lead, the title is still far from certain. Before the start of this matchday, it is only two points ahead of RC Lens (2nd). The Parisian club must therefore live up to its status on Sunday evening.

PSG has won its last six Ligue 1 games.

For their part, Marseille is capable of both the worst and the best this season. It was able to compete with PSG, beating them in the first leg at the Stade Vélodrome (1-0) and only succumbing in a penalty shootout in the Trophée des Champions. At the moment, however, the Marseille club is not at its best.

They were knocked out of the Champions League group stage after a heavy defeat against Club Brugge (3-0) and was held to a draw on the last day of Ligue 1 by Paris FC, despite a 2-goal lead (2-2). Currently third in the French league, Marseille has regained some confidence by giving Stade Rennais no chance in the round of 16 of the Coupe de France (3-0). However, it will not be easy to follow up with a win in Le Classique!

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PSG vs Marseille Picks

PSG against Marseille Lineups: Starting 11

PSG

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

39
M. Safonov
33
W. Zaire-Emery
5
Marquinhos
51
W. Pacho
25
N. Mendes
24
S. Mayulu
17
Vitinha
87
J. Neves
14
D. Doue
10
O. Dembele
29
B. Barcola
9
A. Gouiri
11
E. Nwaneri
10
M. Greenwood
33
Emerson
23
P. Hojbjerg
27
Q. Timber
22
T. Weah
32
F. Medina
5
L. Balerdi
28
B. Pavard
12
J. De Lange

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Marseille

Substitutes

PSG
PSG
Goalkeeper

L. Chevalier

Defender

I. Zabarnyi

Beraldo

L. Hernandez

W. Zaire-Emery 75'

Midfielder

L. Kang-in

B. Barcola 68'

D. Fernandez

S. Mayulu 75'

Forward

G. Ramos

O. Dembele 75'

I. Mbaye

K. Kvaratskhelia

D. Doue 62'

Marseille
Marseille
Goalkeeper

G. Rulli

Defender

C. Egan Riley

Midfielder

H. Traore

H. Abdelli

B. Pavard 61'

B. Nadir

M. Greenwood 80'

A. Vermeeren

G. Kondogbia

Forward

P. Aubameyang

I. Paixao

E. Nwaneri 46'

Missing players

PSG
PSG
Defender

A. Hakimi

Midfielder

F. Ruiz

Forward

Q. Ndjantou

Marseille
Marseille
Defender

N. Aguerd

PSG & Marseille Squad Analysis

Last weekend, PSG received some very bad news. After being sent off against RC Strasbourg, Achraf Hakimi is suspended for this Classique. He is unlikely to be the only absentee, as Fabian Ruiz and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia are also doubtful. Quentin Ndjantou could make his return to the squad. Preferred to Lucas Chevalier since his return from injury, Matveï Safonov could continue in goal for the Parisians.

In the absence of the usual starter at right-back, Warren Zaïre-Emery could take his place. He has already filled in very well in this position. Joao Neves and Vitinha will be looking to shine in midfield. Up front, Désiré Doué and Ousmane Dembélé need to regain some confidence.

PSG will have to cope with Achraf Hakimi's suspension for this Classique.

As for Marseille, Nayef Aguerd is uncertain, having not played against Stade Rennais midweek. Otherwise, Roberto De Zerbi should be very relaxed. Far from reassuring at the moment, Geronimo Rulli will face a big test in goal for Marseille. He will have to be at his very best at the Parc des Princes.

In midfield, Quinten Timber has quickly won over the fans since he arrived in the winter transfer window, as has Ethan Nwaneri. Himad Abdelli also joined OM this winter, but has yet to make his debut. Marseille also have offensive weapons to shake up the Parisian defense. In addition to Igor Paixao and Amine Gouiri, Mason Greenwood is in fine form. He is the top scorer in Ligue 1 with 13 goals.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato PSG
CD Huachipato Marseille
Top Goalscorer
France B. Barcola (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England M. Greenwood (16 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal Vitinha (8 Assists)
Best assists
England M. Greenwood (8 Assists)

PSG - Marseille Key Points

  1. PSG has won six consecutive Ligue 1 matches.
  2. PSG has won eight of their first nine home games of the Ligue 1 season.
  3. Over 2.5 goals were scored in 5 of PSG's last 6 matchdays.
  4. Marseille has lost their last four away games at the Parc des Princes in Ligue 1.
  5. Over 2.5 goals were scored in Marseille's last eight matches in all competitions.
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Our PSG vs Marseille Prediction

We agree that OM stood up to PSG in the first leg of Ligue 1 and in the Champions Trophy. But it won't be the same story this Sunday. Not only are they not in great form, but this time Marseille will be playing at the Parc des Princes. The Parisians are unbeatable when they play at home. In what promises to be an exciting match, Luis Enrique's men will have another opportunity to prove it on Sunday evening.

Our prediction for PSG vs. OM: PSG to win & over 2.5 goals in the match!

Prediction:

 

PSG & Over 2.5 Goals

-134
$1000 offered for betting!

PSG vs Marseille - Other Interesting Picks

Both teams to score

Odds -164
The last match between PSG and OM was spectacular during the Champions Trophy. We saw the two giants go head to head. It would not be surprising if this were to happen again on Sunday in Paris.
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Dembélé Goal Scorer

Odds -135
After failing to score in PSG's last two games, Ousmane Dembélé is determined to bounce back. The Parisian striker will do everything he can to find the back of the net in this crucial match.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.