PSG vs Marseille Prediction & Picks - Trophée des Champions

France - Trophée des Champions

PSG
1/8/26 13:00
Marseille

Prediction:

 

PSG wins

-200
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 by Tyler Doty | in Soccer Picks

The first trophy of the season is up for grabs in France! The Champions Trophy will be held this Thursday, pitting Paris Saint-Germain against Olympique de Marseille at the Jaber Al Ahmad International Stadium in Kuwait. After a historic year, the club from the French capital is hoping to add more trophies to its collection in 2026. It will have the opportunity to do so this week by winning a competition it has won for the last three years. Currently in second place in Ligue 1, Luis Enrique's team is the clear favorite going into this match.

OM clearly hasn't built up much confidence for this Champions Trophy. In its first match of 2026, the Marseille club suffered a surprise defeat to FC Nantes at the Stade Vélodrome, finishing with two players sent off (0-2). Although Roberto De Zerbi's men are still in third place in Ligue 1, they are now only two points ahead of Stade Rennais (sixth). It will be no easy task to regain confidence ahead of this eagerly awaited match against a team that has already won this competition 13 times...

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PSG vs Marseille Form

PSG and Marseille Latest Matches

PSG
PSG Latest matches
W D W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 4, 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
2 :  1
Paris FC

Dec 20, 2025 - French Cup

Vendee Fontenay Foot
0 :  4
PSG

Dec 17, 2025 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup

PSG
1 :  1
Flamengo

Dec 13, 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  3
PSG

Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  0
PSG

Dec 6, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
5 :  0
Rennes
L W W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jan 4, 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
2 :  1
Paris FC

Dec 17, 2025 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup

PSG
1 :  1
Flamengo

Dec 6, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
5 :  0
Rennes

Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League

PSG
5 :  3
Tottenham

Nov 22, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  0
Le Havre

Nov 4, 2025 - Champions League

PSG
1 :  2
Bayern Munich
D W L D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 20, 2025 - French Cup

Vendee Fontenay Foot
0 :  4
PSG

Dec 13, 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  3
PSG

Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  0
PSG

Nov 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco
1 :  0
PSG

Nov 9, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
2 :  3
PSG

Oct 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  1
PSG
Marseille
Marseille Latest matches
D L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 4, 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  2
Nantes

Dec 21, 2025 - French Cup

Football Bourg-En-Bresse Peronnas 01
0 :  6
Marseille

Dec 14, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  0
Monaco

Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League

Union Saint-Gilloise
2 :  3
Marseille

Dec 5, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  0
Marseille

Nov 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  2
Toulouse
L W W D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 4, 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  2
Nantes

Dec 14, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  0
Monaco

Nov 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  2
Toulouse

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
2 :  1
Newcastle

Nov 8, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  0
Brest

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
0 :  1
Atalanta
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 21, 2025 - French Cup

Football Bourg-En-Bresse Peronnas 01
0 :  6
Marseille

Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League

Union Saint-Gilloise
2 :  3
Marseille

Dec 5, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  0
Marseille

Nov 21, 2025 - Ligue 1

Nice
1 :  5
Marseille

Nov 1, 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  1
Marseille

Oct 25, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lens
2 :  1
Marseille

PSG against Marseille : Head to Head (H2H)

PSG

83 %

Draw

0 %

Marseille

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
17%
BTTS
2.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

Sep 22, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  0
PSG

Mar 16, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  1
Marseille

Oct 27, 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  3
PSG

Mar 31, 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  2
PSG

Sep 24, 2023 - Ligue 1

PSG
4 :  0
Marseille

Feb 26, 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  3
PSG

PSG - Marseille: Form Analysis

PSG is aiming for its 14th Champions Trophy title! Winner of the last three editions, it is once again the clear favorite for this match at the start of 2026. Admittedly, the club from the French capital is only in second place in Ligue 1, one point behind RC Lens (first). However, it is on a run of three consecutive wins in the French championship.

To top it all off, Luis Enrique's team is well on its way to reaching the Champions League round of 16, while also having secured its place in the round of 32 of the Coupe de France. They will have the opportunity to take revenge against Marseille, after losing 1-0 at the Stade Vélodrome on September 22.

PSG has already won the Trophée des Champions 13 times.

For its part, OM is definitely capable of both the worst and the best in this competition. It seemed to be heading for a comfortable qualification for the next edition of the Champions League via Ligue 1. However, Marseille fell from a great height last weekend. They lost to FC Nantes after a nightmarish match in which they finished with two players sent off (0-2).

They are still in third place in the French league, but have allowed their closest rivals to close in on them. Roberto De Zerbi's men are still in contention to qualify for the Champions League play-offs and are still in the running in the round of 32 of the Coupe de France.

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PSG against Marseille Lineups: Starting 11

PSG

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

30
L. Chevalier
33
W. Zaire-Emery
5
Marquinhos
51
W. Pacho
25
N. Mendes
87
J. Neves
17
Vitinha
8
F. Ruiz
14
D. Doue
10
O. Dembele
7
K. Kvaratskhelia
14
I. Paixao
9
A. Gouiri
10
M. Greenwood
33
Emerson
19
G. Kondogbia
23
P. Hojbjerg
22
T. Weah
32
F. Medina
5
L. Balerdi
28
B. Pavard
1
G. Rulli

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Marseille

Missing players

PSG
PSG
Goalkeeper

M. Safonov

Defender

A. Hakimi

Midfielder

L. Kang-in

Forward

Q. Ndjantou

I. Mbaye

Marseille
Marseille
Defender

N. Aguerd

Midfielder

A. Vermeeren

B. Nadir

PSG & Marseille Squad Analysis

PSG will not have its full squad available for this Champions Trophy. Achraf Hakimi and Ibrahim Mbaye, who are still competing with their national teams in the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations, will not be back. In addition, Matvey Safonov, Lee Kang-in, and Quentin Ndjantou are still injured. Lucas Chevalier is therefore expected to start in goal. Far from flawless on the goal conceded by the Parisians at the Stade Vélodrome last September, he will be looking to redeem himself.

He will be able to rely on his excellent central defense, consisting of Marquinhos and Willian Pacho. In midfield, there should be no surprises, with Joao Neves, Vitinha, and Fabian Ruiz. Finally, on the offensive front, Désiré Doué and Ousmane Dembélé gained confidence by scoring in the derby against Paris FC last weekend.

Désiré Doué and Ousmane Dembélé have just made waves in Ligue 1 with PSG.

As for OM, only Nayef Aguerd is absent from the squad for this Champions Trophy. He is currently playing in the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations. Leonardo Balerdi is present, but his participation is not certain. Bilal Nadir and Arthur Vermeeren are traveling with the team but are suspended after being sent off against FC Nantes. After a lackluster performance against Les Canaris, Geronimo Rulli will need to step up his game in goal for Marseille.

Benjamin Pavard and Facundo Medina will also be ones to watch in the three-man defense. In midfield, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg will try to cause problems for the Parisian midfield. In attack, Roberto De Zerbi has talent at his disposal with Mason Greenwood, Ligue 1's top scorer, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, as well as Amine Gouiri and Hamed Junior Traoré, who have returned to competition at the start of 2026.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato PSG
CD Huachipato Marseille
Top Goalscorer
Portugal G. Ramos (1 Goals)
France O. Dembele (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England M. Greenwood (1 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal Vitinha (1 Assists)
France B. Barcola (1 Assists)
Best assists

PSG - Marseille Key Points

  1. PSG is in second place in Ligue 1.
  2. PSG has won four of its last six matches in all competitions.
  3. PSG has won the last three editions of the Trophée des Champions.
  4. Marseille is in third place in Ligue 1.
  5. Marseille has just lost to FC Nantes in its first match of 2026 (0-2).
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Our PSG vs Marseille Prediction

After a historic 2025, PSG wants to get off to the best possible start in 2026. On Thursday, the Parisian club has the chance to win the Trophée des Champions. In good form in recent weeks, it intends to continue its momentum against Marseille. This is especially true given that Marseille suffered a major disappointment at the start of 2026, losing to FC Nantes at the Stade Vélodrome in Ligue 1 (0-2). It's hard to imagine them bouncing back for this highly anticipated match.

Our prediction for PSG vs. Marseille: PSG to win!

Prediction:

 

PSG wins

-200
$250 offered for betting!

PSG vs Marseille - Other Interesting Picks

Ousmane Dembélé Anytime Goalscorer

Odds +120
Ousmane Dembélé is feeling confident ahead of the Champions Trophy. The PSG striker made a big impact when his team entered the French Cup, as well as on the last day of Ligue 1 against Paris FC. He'll want to keep it up against league rivals OM!
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PSG vs Marseille Picks