PSG vs Liverpool Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

PSG
4/8/26 15:00
Liverpool

Prediction:

 

Liverpool to Score Over 1.5 Goals

+145
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Champions League Picks

On Wednesday night, there’s more UEFA Champions League action, with two huge quarter-final ties taking place, one of which will be played on French shores. Playing in front of a home crowd, PSG will take on Liverpool. 

Despite being in rather poor form all round, struggling domestically, the Reds managed to secure themselves a spot in the final eight of this prestigious continental competition, defeating Galatasaray over two legs, turning around a first-leg deficit by winning four goals to zero at home. For the hosts, there was never any doubt, with the UCL holders battering Chelsea both home and away during the previous round. 

Given that they’re about to go up against a Liverpool team that has found it tough to keep things tight of late, the hosts should thrive offensively in this game, but don’t be surprised if they endure some difficult defensive moments themselves, which is what I’ll be betting on above all else.

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PSG vs Liverpool Form

PSG and Liverpool Latest Matches

PSG
PSG Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 3, 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  1
Toulouse

Mar 21, 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
0 :  4
PSG

Mar 17, 2026 - Champions League

Chelsea
0 :  3
PSG

Mar 11, 2026 - Champions League

PSG
5 :  2
Chelsea

Mar 6, 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
1 :  3
Monaco

Feb 28, 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  1
PSG
W W D L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Apr 3, 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  1
Toulouse

Mar 11, 2026 - Champions League

PSG
5 :  2
Chelsea

Mar 6, 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
1 :  3
Monaco

Feb 25, 2026 - Champions League

PSG
2 :  2
Monaco

Feb 21, 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  0
Metz

Feb 8, 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
5 :  0
Marseille
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Mar 21, 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
0 :  4
PSG

Mar 17, 2026 - Champions League

Chelsea
0 :  3
PSG

Feb 28, 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  1
PSG

Feb 17, 2026 - Champions League

Monaco
2 :  3
PSG

Feb 13, 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes
3 :  1
PSG

Feb 1, 2026 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
1 :  2
PSG
Liverpool
Liverpool Latest matches
W L D W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 4, 2026 - FA Cup

Manchester City
4 :  0
Liverpool

Mar 21, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Liverpool

Mar 18, 2026 - Champions League

Liverpool
4 :  0
Galatasaray

Mar 15, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Tottenham

Mar 10, 2026 - Champions League

Galatasaray
1 :  0
Liverpool

Mar 6, 2026 - FA Cup

Wolves
1 :  3
Liverpool
W L W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Mar 18, 2026 - Champions League

Liverpool
4 :  0
Galatasaray

Mar 15, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Tottenham

Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
5 :  2
West Ham

Feb 14, 2026 - FA Cup

Liverpool
3 :  0
Brighton

Feb 8, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  2
Manchester City

Jan 31, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
4 :  1
Newcastle
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 4, 2026 - FA Cup

Manchester City
4 :  0
Liverpool

Mar 21, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Liverpool

Mar 10, 2026 - Champions League

Galatasaray
1 :  0
Liverpool

Mar 6, 2026 - FA Cup

Wolves
1 :  3
Liverpool

Mar 3, 2026 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  1
Liverpool

Feb 22, 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  1
Liverpool

PSG against Liverpool : Head to Head (H2H)

PSG

50 %

Draw

0 %

Liverpool

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.25
Goals scored
1.25
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Mar 11, 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
0 :  1
PSG

Mar 5, 2025 - Champions League

PSG
0 :  1
Liverpool

Nov 28, 2018 - Champions League

PSG
2 :  1
Liverpool

Sep 18, 2018 - Champions League

Liverpool
3 :  2
PSG

PSG - Liverpool: Form Analysis

After demolishing Chelsea in the previous round, scoring no less than eight goals in the process, the Parisian giants have shifted through the gears to record back-to-back Ligue 1 wins, beating both Nice and Toulouse in convincing style, again scoring no shortage of goals. Clearly, Luis Enrique’s men are in fine offensive form, which won’t please the visitors who’ve been conceding lots of goals of late. 

Clearly, Luis Enrique’s men are in fine offensive form, which won’t please the visitors who’ve been conceding lots of goals of late. 

Liverpool fans would’ve been hoping to see their team kick on after hammering Galatasaray on home soil, but that hasn’t happened, with Arne Slot’s men first losing to Brighton in the Premier League, which saw them head into the international break winless in three league games. There was no happy return to action either, as Man City demolished the Red by four goals to zero in the FA Cup at the weekend.

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PSG vs Liverpool Picks

PSG against Liverpool Lineups: Starting 11

PSG

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

39
M. Safonov
2
A. Hakimi
5
Marquinhos
51
W. Pacho
25
N. Mendes
33
W. Zaire-Emery
17
Vitinha
87
J. Neves
14
D. Doue
10
O. Dembele
7
K. Kvaratskhelia
22
H. Ekitike
7
F. Wirtz
8
D. Szoboszlai
30
J. Frimpong
10
A. Mac Allister
38
R. Gravenberch
6
M. Kerkez
4
V. Van Dijk
5
I. Konate
2
J. Gomez
25
G. Mamardashvili

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Liverpool

Substitutes

PSG
PSG
Goalkeeper

L. Chevalier

R. Marin

Defender

Beraldo

I. Zabarnyi

L. Hernandez

O. Dembele 88'

Midfielder

S. Mayulu

L. Kang-in

D. Doue 77'

D. Fernandez

Forward

I. Mbaye

G. Ramos

Liverpool
Liverpool
Goalkeeper

K. Misciur

F. Woodman

Defender

A. Robertson

M. Kerkez 79'

Midfielder

F. Chiesa

C. Jones

D. Szoboszlai 79'

T. Nyoni

J. Frimpong 90'

Forward

A. Isak

H. Ekitike 79'

C. Gakpo

F. Wirtz 79'

M. Salah

R. Ngumoha

Missing players

PSG
PSG
Midfielder

F. Ruiz

Forward

B. Barcola

Q. Ndjantou

Liverpool
Liverpool
Goalkeeper

Alisson

Defender

C. Bradley

S. Bajcetic

G. Leoni

Midfielder

W. Endo

PSG & Liverpool Squad Analysis

Bradley Barcola recently sustained an ankle injury, so he will miss out for the hosts, as will Fabian Ruiz, who was arguably the best PSG player in this competition a year ago. Otherwise, Luis Enrique is free to select his preferred starting XI, which will almost certainly include Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, who scored and assisted four goals during the previous round. Joao Neves and Vitinha were on the bench at the weekend, though both should come back in from the outset. 

Jeremie Frimpong didn’t start at the weekend, but may do here, while Alexis Mac Allister will definitely come back into the starting XI.

First-choice keeper Alisson is out for the Reds, as is Connor Bradley, though Arne Slot’s primary concerns are not of an injury nature. The Liverpool boss will likely be wondering what to do with his line-up following two very weak efforts. Jeremie Frimpong didn’t start at the weekend, but may do here, while Alexis Mac Allister will definitely come back into the starting XI.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato PSG
CD Huachipato Liverpool
Top Goalscorer
Georgia K. Kvaratskhelia (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Hungary D. Szoboszlai (5 Goals)
Best assists
Georgia K. Kvaratskhelia (7 Assists)
Best assists
Hungary D. Szoboszlai (4 Assists)

PSG - Liverpool Key Points

  1. When the hosts last played at home in the Champions League, they conceded two goals.
  2. The hosts are now without a clean sheet in four games in all competitions, conceding a total of eight goals during that spell.
  3. The hosts have conceded multiple goals in three of their last four at home.
  4. Luis Enrique's men have conceded multiple goals in four of their last five UCL home games.
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Our PSG vs Liverpool Prediction

Sure, the hosts are clearly the team in better form, and the visitors will need to improve on their last couple of efforts, but this is just the sort of game where Arne Slot's men can be at their best offensively. Against forward-pushing teams, the Reds can be very effective on the break, and I'm just not sure that's being reflected enough by the early odds. 

Let's be honest, the hosts, as strong as they are offensively, also lack defensive solidity, conceding regular goals at home in this competition, so again, the odds for the visitors to score at least a couple of goals simply look too good to turn down. 

Our PSG vs Liverpool Pick: Liverpool to Score Over 1.5 Goals. 

Prediction:

 

Liverpool to Score Over 1.5 Goals

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PSG vs Liverpool - Other Interesting Picks

Florian Wirtz 1+ Shots on Target

Odds +105
At odds of +105, I also can't resist taking Liverpool's Florian Wirtz to register a shot on target. The German youngster hasn't had it all his own way since joining for big money in the summer, but he's shown his quality on numerous occasions, especially in the UCL, where he has been in fine shooting form, registering six shots on target in his last four. In a game where he should get plenty of room to work his magic, he looks a little generously priced to work the home keeper.
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PSG win the match

Odds -135

In recent weeks, PSG seems to have kicked into high gear. They are the clear favorites in this two-legged Champions League quarterfinal matchup against Liverpool! Especially since the Reds are having such a difficult season. They’ve just suffered a crushing defeat at Manchester City in the FA Cup quarterfinals (4-0). Recently, the team coached by Arne Slot has struggled on the road. It’s therefore hard to imagine them shining at the Parc des Princes.

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PSG vs Liverpool match : Frequently asked questions

PSG vs Liverpool will take place at Parc des Princes, located in the French capital of Paris.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.