PSG vs Arsenal Prediction & Picks - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Carlos Zabala | in Champions League Picks
Luis Enrique's PSG, playing in another Champions League final on Saturday, aims to transform from a dominant team into a hegemonic dynasty by lifting the trophy for the second consecutive year. Meanwhile, Arteta's Arsenal has given Gunners fans historic joy by winning their first Premier League title after a 22-year wait, and snatching this title from the Parisians could spark unprecedented celebrations in the streets of London.
Bookmakers consider PSG slight favorites for this final. This is no coincidence: in a nail-biting tie, PSG eliminated the unstoppable Bayern Munich, scoring six goals in two matches. Before that, Monaco, Liverpool, and Chelsea also fell victim to the Parisians. PSG needs just one more goal to equal the all-time record for goals in a Champions League season.
But Arsenal has no reason to be intimidated; In the previous Champions League season, they managed to defeat Real Madrid, who were then the reigning champions and dominant force in Europe. In this edition, with 11 wins and 3 draws, Arsenal is the only undefeated team. In the semifinals, they limited Atlético Madrid to just 2 shots on target in the second leg and kept a clean sheet for the ninth time in this Champions League, leaving them one unbeaten streak away from the record in the European competition.
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PSG vs Arsenal Form
PSG and Arsenal Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 17, 2026 - Ligue 1
May 13, 2026 - Ligue 1
May 10, 2026 - Ligue 1
May 6, 2026 - Champions League
May 2, 2026 - Ligue 1
Apr 28, 2026 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 10, 2026 - Ligue 1
May 2, 2026 - Ligue 1
Apr 28, 2026 - Champions League
Apr 22, 2026 - Ligue 1
Apr 19, 2026 - Ligue 1
Apr 8, 2026 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 17, 2026 - Ligue 1
May 13, 2026 - Ligue 1
May 6, 2026 - Champions League
Apr 25, 2026 - Ligue 1
Apr 14, 2026 - Champions League
Mar 21, 2026 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 24, 2026 - Premier League
May 18, 2026 - Premier League
May 10, 2026 - Premier League
May 5, 2026 - Champions League
May 2, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 29, 2026 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 18, 2026 - Premier League
May 5, 2026 - Champions League
May 2, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 25, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 15, 2026 - Champions League
Apr 11, 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 24, 2026 - Premier League
May 10, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 29, 2026 - Champions League
Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 7, 2026 - Champions League
Apr 4, 2026 - FA Cup
PSG against Arsenal : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
May 7, 2025 - Champions League
Apr 29, 2025 - Champions League
Oct 1, 2024 - Champions League
Jul 28, 2018 - International Champions Cup
Nov 23, 2016 - Champions League
Sep 13, 2016 - Champions League
PSG - Arsenal: Form Analysis
This match comes for Luis Enrique's PSG 13 days after they lost the Paris derby against Paris FC. However, they had already secured the Ligue 1 title, which became their fifth consecutive championship since 2022. No one can deny Luis Enrique's success at the helm of this team. The Spanish coach has won this competition twice, once with Barcelona and once with PSG. No other manager with 50 or more matches in this tournament has a higher winning percentage than his.
"PSG, the Premier League club-eliminator"
Last season, PSG eliminated Arsenal in the semifinals, but Aston Villa and Liverpool also fell to them. This season, the Reds were once again victims of PSG, and Chelsea was added to the list. This means that PSG hasn't lost to English teams in an incredible nine of their last encounters.
However, it's also true that PSG has never faced a team as effective defensively as this version of Arsenal. The Gunners did manage to close out their domestic league in style, beating Crystal Palace 2-1. They thus completed a Premier League season with a fearsome defensive record, conceding just 0.71 goals per game.
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PSG against Arsenal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
L. Chevalier
R. Marin
DefenderBeraldo
I. Zabarnyi
L. Hernandez
MidfielderD. Fernandez
L. Kang-in
W. Zaire-Emery
S. Mayulu
ForwardG. Ramos
B. Barcola
I. Mbaye
K. Arrizabalaga
DefenderR. Calafiori
J. Timber
M. Dowman
E. Eze
M. Zubimendi
M. Merino
C. Norgaard
ForwardN. Madueke
G. Martinelli
G. Jesus
V. Gyokeres
Missing players
Q. Ndjantou
B. White
PSG & Arsenal Squad Analysis
Luis Enrique has forwards on his bench who could easily be starters at other European powerhouses. But he'll stick with his most prolific formation for the final; that is, we can expect to see an attacking trio of Dembélé, Doue, and Kvaratskhelia. The Georgian has shone in the Champions League, contributing goals in the last seven knockout rounds he's played in.
It's in defense where Luis Enrique's squad is dealing with injuries. Hakimi was injured in the first leg of the semi-final against Bayern Munich, but he should be ready for action; the same goes for Nuno Mendes, who is expected to recover from his injury and be in PSG's starting lineup in Budapest.
As for Arsenal, Arteta generally has a healthy squad, but a hamstring injury sidelined him in the last match. Even so, he could be a game-changer off the bench, and Saka was the Arsenal manager's first choice. Against French opponents, Saka scored an impressive 5 goals and provided 3 assists.
Jurriën Timbers might also be unavailable for the final. However, almost all the usual starters will be available. Captain Odegaard and Rice will be in their usual positions. Trossard will also be present, as will the dangerous striker Gyökeres, who hasn't scored a goal since May 2nd.
Most goals and assists
PSG
Arsenal
K. Kvaratskhelia
(10 Goals)
G. Martinelli
(6 Goals)
K. Kvaratskhelia
(7 Assists)
L. Trossard
(5 Assists)
PSG - Arsenal Key Points
- PSG beat Arsenal 1-0 and 2-1 in last season's Champions League semi-finals
- Arsenal reduced Crystal Palace to xG of 0.98 to beat them and clinch the Premier League title
- No team has played more than Arsenal in the Champions League (225 matches) without ever winning it
- PSG were +105 favorites to win last season's Champions League final and won 5-0
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Our PSG vs Arsenal Prediction
It will undoubtedly be an intriguing match in which one of the best attacks ever assembled in football history, Luis Enrique's PSG, clashes with the most formidable defense currently in Europe, Arteta's well-organized side.
However, it is in these situations that PSG enters with confidence, knowing their recent absolute dominance against Premier League clubs, whom they eliminated one after another. A close match was expected in the last Champions League final between PSG and Inter, but history couldn't have been more different. It's almost certain that PSG will have the initiative in attack on Saturday at the Puskas Arena.
Our prediciton for PSG vs Arsenal is: PSG to win.
PSG vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Picks
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia anytime goalscorer
Over 2.5 goals
PSG vs Arsenal match : Frequently asked questions
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