PSG vs Arsenal Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

PSG
5/7/25 15:00
Arsenal

Prediction:

 

Desire Doue Over 0.5 Shots on Target.

-110
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 by Bradley Gibbs in Champions League Picks

The UEFA Champions League will be in the French capital city of Paris on Wednesday, when PSG and Arsenal will clash for the second time in a week. Having suffered that first-leg defeat in front of a home crowd, the Gunners will be looking to bounce back, though it's an uphill task for Mikel Arteta's men, who failed to score against the French side a week ago. 

It was a disciplined and determined effort from Luis Enrique's men at Emirates Stadium, where they took an early lead thanks to the quality of both Kvicha Kvaratskhelia and Ousmane Dembele, before grinding out a valuable victory. In contrast, the Arsenal players failed to really fire, delivering something of a frustrated effort. However, we saw what this team is capable of during the quarter finals, when the Gunners went toe-to-toe with Spanish giants Real Madrid and came out on top by a comfortable margin. In other words, don't write the visitors off just yet. 

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PSG vs Arsenal Form

PSG and Arsenal Latest Matches

PSG
PSG Latest matches
L W D L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 3, 2025 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
2 :  1
PSG

Apr 29, 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
0 :  1
PSG

Apr 25, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
1 :  3
Nice

Apr 22, 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
1 :  1
PSG

Apr 19, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
2 :  1
Le Havre

Apr 15, 2025 - Champions League

Aston Villa
3 :  2
PSG
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 25, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
1 :  3
Nice

Apr 19, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
2 :  1
Le Havre

Apr 9, 2025 - Champions League

PSG
3 :  1
Aston Villa

Apr 5, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
1 :  0
Angers

Mar 16, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  1
Marseille

Mar 5, 2025 - Champions League

PSG
0 :  1
Liverpool
W W L D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 3, 2025 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
2 :  1
PSG

Apr 29, 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
0 :  1
PSG

Apr 22, 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
1 :  1
PSG

Apr 15, 2025 - Champions League

Aston Villa
3 :  2
PSG

Apr 1, 2025 - French Cup

USL Dunkerque
2 :  4
PSG

Mar 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Saint Etienne
1 :  6
PSG
Arsenal
Arsenal Latest matches
D W W D L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 3, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  2
Bournemouth

Apr 29, 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
0 :  1
PSG

Apr 23, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  2
Crystal Palace

Apr 20, 2025 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
0 :  4
Arsenal

Apr 16, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Arsenal

Apr 12, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  1
Brentford
W W D D L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 3, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  2
Bournemouth

Apr 29, 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
0 :  1
PSG

Apr 23, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  2
Crystal Palace

Apr 12, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  1
Brentford

Apr 8, 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
3 :  0
Real Madrid

Apr 1, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Fulham
D W D D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 20, 2025 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
0 :  4
Arsenal

Apr 16, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Arsenal

Apr 5, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
Arsenal

Mar 9, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Arsenal

Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven
1 :  7
Arsenal

Feb 26, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  0
Arsenal

PSG against Arsenal : Head to Head (H2H)

PSG

20 %

Draw

40 %

Arsenal

40 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
60%
BTTS
1
Goals scored (Team 1)
2
Goals scored (Team 2)
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5

Apr 29, 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
0 :  1
PSG

Oct 1, 2024 - Champions League

Arsenal
2 :  0
PSG

Jul 28, 2018 - International Champions Cup

Arsenal
5 :  1
PSG

Nov 23, 2016 - Champions League

Arsenal
2 :  2
PSG

Sep 13, 2016 - Champions League

PSG
1 :  1
Arsenal

PSG - Arsenal: Form Analysis

Having struggled to be at their best in the first leg, Arsenal had the rather meaningless task of hosting Bournemouth in the Premier League at the weekend. Arteta's men have nothing left to fight for domestically and it showed as they once again stuttered, losing by two goals to zero against a team still fighting for a place on the continent next season. 

The Gunners weren't the only ones who failed to fire at the weekend, with the Parisians coming up short on the road to Strasbourg in Ligue 1. Having already wrapped up the Ligue 1 title, Enrique's men can be forgiven for that defeat, especially as they fielded a markedly weakened team. Don't be surprised to see them back to their best on Wednesday. 

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Arsenal v PSG last Lineups

PSG

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

39
M. Safonov
33
W. Zaire-Emery
48
A. Tape
35
Beraldo
21
L. Hernandez
24
S. Mayulu
87
J. Neves
19
L. Kang-in
49
I. Mbaye
9
G. Ramos
29
B. Barcola
11
G. Martinelli
19
L. Trossard
7
B. Saka
41
D. Rice
5
T. Partey
8
M. Odegaard
49
M. Lewis-Skelly
15
J. Kiwior
2
W. Saliba
4
B. White
22
D. Raya

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Arsenal

Missing players

PSG
PSG
Forward

O. Dembélé

Arsenal
Arsenal
Defender

T. Tomiyasu

R. Calafiori

G. Magalhaes

Midfielder

Jorginho

Forward

G. Jesus

K. Havertz

PSG & Arsenal Squad Analysis

The hosts made several changes for the trip to Strasbourg at the weekend, with the likes of Ramos, Mbaye, Mayulu, Beraldo, Tape and Safonoy all starting. None of those players are likely to feature on Wednesday. Instead, Desire Doue, Kvicha Kvaratskhelia, Fabian Ruiz and Vitinha are all expected to come back into the starting XI. Unfortunately, there are serious doubts over Ousmane Dembele's fitness, which is a concern for Luis Enrique. 

Unfortunately, there are serious doubts over Ousmane Dembele's fitness, which is a concern for Luis Enrique. 

Mikel Arteta opted to keep many of his first-choice players up to speed instead of resting them on Saturday, with the likes of Bukayo Saka, Declan Rise, Martin Odegaard and William Saliba all starting against Bournemouth. Those four are expected to start here. Sadly for the visitors, the likes of Gabriel, Gabriel Jesus and Kai Havertz are still sidelined. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato PSG
CD Huachipato Arsenal
Top Goalscorer
France O. Dembélé (29 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Germany K. Havertz (15 Goals)
Best assists
France B. Barcola (13 Assists)
Best assists
England B. Saka (13 Assists)

PSG and Arsenal Stats in Champions League

PSG
PSG
Arsenal
Arsenal
60%
Victories
69%
7%
Draw
15%
33%
Defeats
15%
3
Total goals per match
2.92
2.07
Goals scored per match
2.31
0.93
Goals conceded per match
0.62
53%
Over 2.5
62%
47%
Under 2.5
38%
40%
BTTS
38%
40%
No goals conceded
46%

PSG - Arsenal Key Points

  1. In the UEFA Champions League this season, Desire Doue averages 3.74 shots per 90 minutes.
  2. Desire Doue also averages 1.95 shots on target per 90 minutes during the current UCL campaign.
  3. During the first leg, Desire Doue took two shots, hitting the target once.
  4. Desire Doue has registered nine shots on target in his last six UCL appearances.
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Our PSG vs Arsenal Prediction

In the likely absence of Ousmane Dembele, the direct and hungry-looking Desire Doue is going to be a hugely important part of the offensive puzzle for PSG on Wednesday. The youngster has performed well in UCL games this season, scoring a wonderful goal against Aston Villa in the quarters, while he also registered a shot on target against Arsenal last week. Factor in those impressive stats above and odds of -110 are hard to ignore. Our PSG vs Arsenal Pick: Desire Doue Over 0.5 Shots on Target.

Prediction:

 

Desire Doue Over 0.5 Shots on Target.

-110
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PSG vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Picks

Achraf Hakimi Over 0.5 Shots on Target

Odds +188
As an additional or secondary option, Achraf Hakimi rates as a decent to shoot on target at odds of +188. Hakimi has got himself invovled in lots of PSG's offensive play this season, especially in recent UEFA Champions League games, shooting on target against Aston Villa four times across the two quarter-final legs. He also hit the target against Liverpool in France, which is not easy to ignore.
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PSG vs Arsenal Picks
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