Portugal vs Spain Prediction & Picks - UEFA Nations League

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
6/8/25 15:00
Spain

Prediction:

 

Bruno Fernandes to Score or Assist

+190
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 by Bradley Gibbs in Soccer Picks

On Sunday, two of the best international teams in world soccer will clash in the German capital of Munich. At Allianz Arena, it's the Iberian derby between Portugal and Spain, who will meet in the final of the UEFA Nations League, with both bidding to secure this title for the second time. 

Spain, as the second-highest ranking team according to FIFA, were always expected to make the last two, and live up to expectations they did, beating France by what was probably a more comfortable margin than the scoreline would have us believe. Portugal's presence in this UEFA Nations League final was slightly less expected, especially as they delivered an underwhelming effort at the European Championships last summer, but Roberto Martinez's men showed just what they're capable of by coming from behind to beat Germany in the semis on Wednesday evening, so if the Spanish think they're going to be in for an easy time on Sunday, they should probably think again. An intriguing match awaits. 

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Portugal vs Spain Form

Portugal and Spain Latest Matches

Portugal
Portugal Latest matches
D W W W D W D L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 4, 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Germany
1 :  2
Portugal

Mar 23, 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
5 :  2
Denmark

Mar 20, 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Denmark
1 :  0
Portugal

Nov 18, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Croatia
1 :  1
Portugal

Nov 15, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
5 :  1
Poland

Oct 15, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Scotland
0 :  0
Portugal
W L W W D D W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 23, 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
5 :  2
Denmark

Nov 15, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
5 :  1
Poland

Sep 8, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
2 :  1
Scotland

Sep 5, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
2 :  1
Croatia

Jul 5, 2024 - Euro

Portugal
0 :  0
France

Jul 1, 2024 - Euro

Portugal
0 :  0
Slovenia
W W L W L W D D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jun 4, 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Germany
1 :  2
Portugal

Mar 20, 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Denmark
1 :  0
Portugal

Nov 18, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Croatia
1 :  1
Portugal

Oct 15, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Scotland
0 :  0
Portugal

Oct 12, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Poland
1 :  3
Portugal

Jun 26, 2024 - Euro

Georgia
2 :  0
Portugal
Spain
Spain Latest matches
W W W D D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5 Total goals
83% BTTS
3 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Jun 5, 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Spain
5 :  4
France

Mar 23, 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Spain
3 :  3
Netherlands

Mar 20, 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Netherlands
2 :  2
Spain

Nov 18, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Spain
3 :  2
Switzerland

Nov 15, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Denmark
1 :  2
Spain

Oct 15, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Spain
3 :  0
Serbia
W W W W D W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jun 5, 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Spain
5 :  4
France

Mar 23, 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Spain
3 :  3
Netherlands

Nov 18, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Spain
3 :  2
Switzerland

Oct 15, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Spain
3 :  0
Serbia

Oct 12, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Spain
1 :  0
Denmark

Jul 14, 2024 - Euro

Spain
2 :  1
England
W W D W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 20, 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Netherlands
2 :  2
Spain

Nov 15, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Denmark
1 :  2
Spain

Sep 8, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Switzerland
1 :  4
Spain

Sep 5, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Serbia
0 :  0
Spain

Jun 24, 2024 - Euro

Albania
0 :  1
Spain

Nov 16, 2023 - Euro

Cyprus
1 :  3
Spain

Portugal against Spain : Head to Head (H2H)

Portugal

0 %

Draw

80 %

Spain

20 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.8
Total goals
40%
BTTS
0.8
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
20%
Over 2.5
80%
Under 2.5

Sep 27, 2022 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
0 :  1
Spain

Jun 2, 2022 - UEFA Nations League

Spain
1 :  1
Portugal

Jun 4, 2021 - International Friendlies

Spain
0 :  0
Portugal

Oct 7, 2020 - International Friendlies

Portugal
0 :  0
Spain

Jun 15, 2018 - World Cup

Portugal
3 :  3
Spain

Portugal - Spain: Form Analysis

Ever since exiting EURO 2024 at the hands of the French a year ago, this Portuguese team has really tightened up, losing just one out of nine games, while they've only conceded more than once in one of those nine games. Roberto Martinez's men have won five of their nine games since the European Championships, and that win against the Germans on Wednesday night will surely have filled the men nicknamed A Seleção das Quinas with confidence ahead of what is their toughest test in some time. 

For Spain, under Luis de la Fuente, things have gone swimmingly. Having been the best team at the European Championships last summer, beating England in the final, La Roja have stepped on the gas, winning seven out of nine, scoring a tremendous amount of goals. Since EURO 2024 ended, the Spaniards have scored three or more goals in five out of nine games, while they showed just how dangerous they can be by hammering home five goals against France in Thursday's semi-final. 

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Spain v Portugal last Lineups

Portugal

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
D. Costa
15
J. Neves
3
R. Dias
14
Goncalo Inacio
25
N. Mendes
18
R. Neves
10
B. Silva
16
F. Trincao
8
B. Fernandes
20
P. Neto
7
Cristiano Ronaldo
11
N. Williams
21
M. Oyarzabal
19
L. Yamal
20
Pedri
18
M. Zubimendi
6
M. Merino
24
M. Cucurella
12
D. Huijsen
3
R. Le Normand
2
P. Porro
23
U. Simon

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Spain

Portugal & Spain Squad Analysis

Having turned to the bench to get Portugal back in the game against Germany last time out, Roberto Martine may shuffle the pack on Sunday. Forward/winger Trincao failed to really get into the game against the Germans and may be replaced by Francisco Conceição, who scored after entering the field as a substitute in the last game. PSG midfield maestro Vitinha also helped his team from the bench and is now likely to return to the starting XI. 

PSG midfield maestro Vitinha also helped his team from the bench and is now likely to return to the starting XI. 

For the Spain, the team is likely to remain largely the same. A front three of Lamine Yamal, Mikel Oyarzabal and Nico Williams, proved to be very effective against France, so there shouldn't be any change there. Robin Le Normand appreared to signal to the bench before being substituted on Thursday, so there could be a change at the back. Dani Vivian would be the most likely replacement for the central defender. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Portugal
CD Huachipato Spain
Top Goalscorer
Portugal Cristiano Ronaldo (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain M. Oyarzabal (3 Goals) Spain L. Yamal (3 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal N. Mendes (5 Assists)
Best assists
Spain P. Porro (2 Assists)
Spain M. Oyarzabal (2 Assists)

Portugal and Spain Stats in UEFA Nations League

Portugal
Portugal
Spain
Spain
63%
Victories
63%
25%
Draw
38%
13%
Defeats
0%
3.25
Total goals per match
3.38
2.25
Goals scored per match
2.25
1
Goals conceded per match
1.13
63%
Over 2.5
75%
38%
Under 2.5
25%
75%
BTTS
63%
13%
No goals conceded
38%

Portugal - Spain Key Points

  1. In his last seven appearances for club and country, Bruno Fernandes has produced four goals and assists.
  2. Per 90 minutes in the UEFA Nations League, Bruno Fernandes averages 0.48 goals and assists.
  3. Only Cristiano Ronaldo has taken more shots for Portugal than Bruno Fernandes during the current Nations League campaign.
  4. In the UEFA Nations League this season, Bruno Fernandes has delivered four goals and assists in total.
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Our Portugal vs Spain Prediction

Listen, this is going to be tough for the Portuguese, but we shouldn't forget that this is a Portugal team that can hurt even the best opponents, while let's be honest, as good as they looked offensively on Thursday night, the Spanish didn't exactly cover themselves in glory, so don't be surprised if the hugely creative and crafty Bruno Fernandes makes a big offensive impact. Our Portugal vs Spain Pick: Bruno Fernandes to Score or Assist.

Prediction:

 

Bruno Fernandes to Score or Assist

+190
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Portugal vs Spain - Other Interesting Picks

Pedro Neto Over 0.5 Shots on Target

Odds +138

Pedro Neto failed to register a shot on target against the Germans, but he did look threatening on the break, firing off two shots in the first half, so it really wouldn't be too surprising if the winger/forward got into shooting areas against a Spain side that will leave plenty of space in behind, a Spain team that conceded 24 shots and nine shots on target on Thursday. In the Nations League this season, Neto also averages 1.06 shots on target per 90 minutes. That stat makes odds of +138 look a little generous. 

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Portugal vs Spain Picks
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