Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
12/31/25 20:00
Oklahoma City Thunder

Prediction:

 

Less than 233.5 goals

-109
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 by Erik Gibbs | in NBA Picks

The Portland Trail Blazers head to Oklahoma City for a difficult road matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder at the Paycom Center, and the contrast between these two teams is hard to ignore. Portland enters the game at 14-19 overall and 7-10 away from home, while Oklahoma City has firmly established itself among the NBA elite with a 28-5 record and a dominant 16-1 mark on its home floor.

The Trail Blazers do arrive with some positive momentum. Back-to-back wins over Dallas and Boston have injected confidence into a roster that has struggled for consistency all season. Those wins were impressive not just because of the opponents, but because they showed Portland can still compete when execution and effort align. However, that brief surge also highlights the volatility of this team. Just prior to the current mini-run, Portland dropped three straight games to the Clippers, Magic, and Pistons, struggling on both ends of the floor. That up-and-down pattern has defined much of their season.

The Thunder, meanwhile, continue to justify their reputation as one of the most complete teams in the league. Their 16-1 home record is no accident. Oklahoma City plays with pace, defensive intensity, and efficiency at Paycom Center, making life miserable for visiting teams. They have won two straight games against Atlanta and Philadelphia and three of their last five overall. The brief two-game stumble against San Antonio appears to have been an anomaly, as OKC responded immediately with two convincing performances.

Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
1
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
0.853 34 29 5 3
10
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers
0.412 34 14 20 -1

Portland Trail Blazers and Oklahoma City Thunder Latest Matches

Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers Latest matches
W L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 29, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
122 :  125
Portland Trail Blazers

Dec 28, 2025 - NBA

Boston Celtics
108 :  114
Portland Trail Blazers

Dec 26, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
119 :  103
Portland Trail Blazers

Dec 23, 2025 - NBA

Orlando Magic
110 :  106
Portland Trail Blazers

Dec 22, 2025 - NBA

Detroit Pistons
110 :  102
Portland Trail Blazers

Dec 20, 2025 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
98 :  93
Sacramento Kings
W L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 29, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
122 :  125
Portland Trail Blazers

Dec 28, 2025 - NBA

Boston Celtics
108 :  114
Portland Trail Blazers

Dec 26, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
119 :  103
Portland Trail Blazers

Dec 23, 2025 - NBA

Orlando Magic
110 :  106
Portland Trail Blazers

Dec 22, 2025 - NBA

Detroit Pistons
110 :  102
Portland Trail Blazers

Dec 18, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
133 :  134
Portland Trail Blazers
L W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 20, 2025 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
98 :  93
Sacramento Kings

Dec 11, 2025 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
120 :  143
New Orleans Pelicans

Dec 7, 2025 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
96 :  119
Memphis Grizzlies

Dec 5, 2025 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
116 :  122
Detroit Pistons

Dec 3, 2025 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
122 :  110
Cleveland Cavaliers

Dec 2, 2025 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
118 :  121
Toronto Raptors
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder Latest matches
L W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 29, 2025 - NBA

Atlanta Hawks
129 :  140
Oklahoma City Thunder

Dec 28, 2025 - NBA

Philadelphia 76ers
104 :  129
Oklahoma City Thunder

Dec 25, 2025 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
117 :  102
Oklahoma City Thunder

Dec 23, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
110 :  130
San Antonio Spurs

Dec 22, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
103 :  119
Oklahoma City Thunder

Dec 19, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
107 :  112
Minnesota Timberwolves
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 29, 2025 - NBA

Atlanta Hawks
129 :  140
Oklahoma City Thunder

Dec 28, 2025 - NBA

Philadelphia 76ers
104 :  129
Oklahoma City Thunder

Dec 25, 2025 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
117 :  102
Oklahoma City Thunder

Dec 22, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
103 :  119
Oklahoma City Thunder

Dec 18, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
101 :  122
Oklahoma City Thunder

Dec 13, 2025 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
111 :  109
Oklahoma City Thunder
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 23, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
110 :  130
San Antonio Spurs

Dec 19, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
107 :  112
Minnesota Timberwolves

Dec 7, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
131 :  101
Utah Jazz

Dec 2, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
124 :  112
Golden State Warriors

Nov 30, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
123 :  115
Portland Trail Blazers

Nov 21, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
144 :  112
Utah Jazz

Portland Trail Blazers against Oklahoma City Thunder : Head to Head (H2H)

Portland Trail Blazers

17 %

Oklahoma City Thunder

83 %

Nov 30, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
123 :  115
Portland Trail Blazers

Nov 23, 2025 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
95 :  122
Oklahoma City Thunder

Nov 5, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
119 :  121
Portland Trail Blazers

Mar 7, 2025 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
89 :  107
Oklahoma City Thunder

Jan 26, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
118 :  108
Portland Trail Blazers

Nov 20, 2024 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
99 :  109
Oklahoma City Thunder

Portland Trail Blazers - Oklahoma City Thunder Key Points

  1. The Over is 3-2 in the Thunder's last 5 games
  2. The Over is 1-4 in the Trail Blazers' last 5 games
  3. The Thunder are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
  4. The Trail Blazers are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games

Our Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

Injuries and absences continue to complicate matters for Portland. With Jrue Holiday, Scoot Henderson, Jerami Grant, and Matisse Thybulle all sidelined, depth and shot creation remain major concerns. The lack of experienced ball handling and perimeter defense puts additional pressure on a rotation that is already stretched thin, especially against a disciplined and athletic opponent like Oklahoma City.

Even with Ousmane Dieng, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein, and Nikola Topic unavailable, the Thunder remain deep and versatile. Their ability to control tempo and build early leads has been a recurring theme, especially at home. That is where this matchup could be decided quickly if Portland struggles to keep up early.

These teams have already seen each other three times this season. Portland shocked Oklahoma City in the first meeting, but the Thunder made the necessary adjustments and won the next two matchups convincingly. That recent head-to-head trend favors OKC, particularly given the current injury situation on the Portland side.

From a game-flow perspective, this shapes up as a contest where Oklahoma City could establish control early and manage the game rather than pushing the pace relentlessly. That scenario opens the door for Portland to hang around just enough to stay competitive late, even if the outcome is never seriously in doubt. A comfortable Thunder win seems likely, but the Trail Blazers have shown enough resilience to make a late push and potentially sneak in a backdoor cover once the intensity drops. Our prediction for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Portland Trail Blazers: Under 233.5 points.

Prediction:

 

Less than 233.5 goals

-109
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Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks