Phoenix Mercury vs Portland Fire Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
8/16/26 19:00
Portland Fire

Prediction:

 

Portland Fire to cover the +7.5 spread.

−150
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 by Stephen Abiola | in WNBA Picks

Phoenix Mercury (13-22) and Portland Fire (14-20) will go head-to-head on Sunday evening at the PHX Arena. The Mercury have been mounting a desperate attempt to improve their form after enduring a disappointing campaign. They’ve gone 5-5 in their last 10 matches, the latest being an 87-94 win over the Sparks on the road. It was a vital win for the Mercury, as it ended their three-game slide. Books are favoring them to win again at -240 moneyline odds.

Portland Fire, on the other side of the hardwood, are the +175 betting underdogs. They’re just 1.5 games ahead of the tenth-placed Mercury and 5.5 games behind the eighth-placed Dallas Wings. This means the Fire will need to go on a tear in their remaining 10 matches to secure a playoff berth. They’re coming off a close 82-84 win over Seattle Storm to bounce back from their 4-point defeat at home against the Lynx.

Phoenix Mercury vs Portland Fire Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
9 Portland Fire
0.386 44 17 27 1
10 Phoenix Mercury
0.364 44 16 28

Phoenix Mercury and Portland Fire Latest Matches

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
L W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 11, 2026 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
87 :  94
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 9, 2026 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
95 :  75
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 7, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
75 :  72
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 5, 2026 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
96 :  82
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 3, 2026 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
101 :  106
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 1, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
92 :  94
New York Liberty
L L L W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 1, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
92 :  94
New York Liberty

Jul 29, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
91 :  89
Golden State Valkyries

Jul 19, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
72 :  63
Connecticut Sun

Jul 17, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  96
Connecticut Sun

Jul 9, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  92
Indiana Fever

Jul 7, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
66 :  77
Chicago Sky
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 11, 2026 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
87 :  94
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 9, 2026 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
95 :  75
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 7, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
75 :  72
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 5, 2026 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
96 :  82
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 3, 2026 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
101 :  106
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 22, 2026 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
82 :  86
Phoenix Mercury
Portland Fire
Portland Fire Latest matches
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 14, 2026 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
82 :  84
Portland Fire

Aug 12, 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
81 :  85
Minnesota Lynx

Aug 8, 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
100 :  93
Seattle Storm

Aug 6, 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
97 :  83
Toronto Tempo

Aug 2, 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
101 :  106
L.a. Sparks

Jul 31, 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
98 :  112
Indiana Fever
L L L W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 12, 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
81 :  85
Minnesota Lynx

Aug 8, 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
100 :  93
Seattle Storm

Aug 6, 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
97 :  83
Toronto Tempo

Aug 2, 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
101 :  106
L.a. Sparks

Jul 31, 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
98 :  112
Indiana Fever

Jul 22, 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
97 :  101
Dallas Wings
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 14, 2026 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
82 :  84
Portland Fire

Jul 28, 2026 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
98 :  83
Portland Fire

Jul 18, 2026 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
101 :  93
Portland Fire

Jul 16, 2026 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
56 :  75
Portland Fire

Jul 14, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
90 :  87
Portland Fire

Jul 11, 2026 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
92 :  102
Portland Fire

Phoenix Mercury against Portland Fire : Head to Head (H2H)

Phoenix Mercury

100 %

Portland Fire

0 %

Jun 5, 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
72 :  78
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury vs Portland Fire Picks

Players list

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury

S. Whitcomb

D. Bonner

N. Brochant

A. Thomas

K. Copper

Portland Fire
Portland Fire
M. Gustafson

C. Leite

N. Puoch

E. Engstler

B. Carleton

Substitutes

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
K. Linskens N. Mack

L. Held

K. Plum

M. Suarez

V. Ayayi

Portland Fire
Portland Fire

H. Winterburn

J. Harrison

K. Samuelson

T. Oblak

S. Williams

F. Buhner

A. Okonkwo

Phoenix Mercury - Portland Fire Key Points

  1. The Fire are 4-2 ATS in their last six away matches.
  2. The Fire are 4-1 ATS in their last five matches all-time.
  3. The Fire won against the +7.5 spread in their last 5 matches.
  4. The Mercury lost against the -7.5 spread in their last eight matches.

Our Phoenix Mercury vs Portland Fire Prediction

The Mercury have shown glimpses of recapturing their lost form at home in recent matches. They’ve gone 2-3 in their last five home assignments, even though two of those losses were against Indiana and New York. They have an experienced squad that should save them from a disastrous end to the season. However, we’ll take Portland on the +7.5 spread because they’ve looked impressive on the road lately. They’ve gone 4-4 in their last eight away matches while averaging 90.89 PPG. This attacking efficiency should give them a boost against the leaky Phoenix Mercury defense, which has averaged 91 PAPG over the last seven matches. Still, we think the Mercury will edge out Portland.

Our prediction for Phoenix Mercury vs Portland Fire: Portland Fire to cover the +7.5 spread.

Prediction:

 

Portland Fire to cover the +7.5 spread.

−150
$250 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.