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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The New York Mets seek a convincing win a day after squeaking past the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates in Game 2 of their series on Tuesday at Citi Field.
The Mets have won 4 of their last 5 games to stay on top of the National League East with a 27-15 record, 2.5 games ahead of the next trailer, the Philadelphia Phillies (24-17). Exceptional pitching remains the Mets’ biggest weapon this season, and this has helped the team win games even against top-heavy offensive teams this season.
The Pirates blew an opportunity to score rare back-to-back wins after allowing Pete Alonso to send Francisco Lindor home with a sacrifice fly in the 9th inning. Pittsburgh sit in the bottom half in both pitching and batting departments this season, posting a 4.12 ERA and batting .220 with a league-worst 130 total runs.
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
0.636 | 44 | 28 | 16 |
|
28
|
0.341 | 44 | 15 | 29 |
Pittsburgh Pirates and New York Mets Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 12, 2025 - MLB
May 11, 2025 - MLB
May 10, 2025 - MLB
May 9, 2025 - MLB
May 7, 2025 - MLB
May 6, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 11, 2025 - MLB
May 10, 2025 - MLB
May 9, 2025 - MLB
May 4, 2025 - MLB
May 3, 2025 - MLB
May 2, 2025 - MLB
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
May 12, 2025 - MLB
May 7, 2025 - MLB
May 6, 2025 - MLB
May 5, 2025 - MLB
Apr 27, 2025 - MLB
Apr 26, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 12, 2025 - MLB
May 11, 2025 - MLB
May 10, 2025 - MLB
May 9, 2025 - MLB
May 7, 2025 - MLB
May 6, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 12, 2025 - MLB
May 11, 2025 - MLB
May 10, 2025 - MLB
May 9, 2025 - MLB
May 1, 2025 - MLB
Apr 30, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 7, 2025 - MLB
May 6, 2025 - MLB
May 5, 2025 - MLB
May 4, 2025 - MLB
May 4, 2025 - MLB
May 2, 2025 - MLB
Pittsburgh Pirates against New York Mets : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
May 12, 2025 - MLB
Jul 8, 2024 - MLB
Jul 7, 2024 - MLB
Jul 6, 2024 - MLB
Jul 5, 2024 - MLB
Sep 18, 2022 - MLB
Pittsburgh Pirates - New York Mets Key Points
- Pittsburgh is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games against NY Mets.
- Pittsburgh is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games.
- NY Mets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
- NY Mets is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games at home.
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Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Mets win convincingly behind another stellar game from Kodai Senga.
Reasons to bet on the Mets at -1.5 Runs: Tuesday’s starter Kodai Senga has posted 3 shutouts in his last 5 starts, including a six-inning shutout of the Arizona Diamondbacks on May 7. Senga also recorded a shutout in his first and only start vs. the Pirates, blanking them for seven innings on June 10, 2023. The Mets, who are also scoring 6.1 runs per game over their last 5 games, are 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh and 12-8 against the spread in home games this season.
Reasons not to bet on a Pirates win: The Pirates are scoring 2.4 runs per game over their last 5 assignments this season. Moreover, they are starting Mitch Keller, who went 0-5 with a 4.50 ERA in his last 5 starts. Pittsburgh is also 0-6 SU in its last 6 games on the road and 2-7 SU in its last 9 games against NY Mets.
Our betting prediction for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets: Mets -1.5 Runs
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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