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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The New York Mets (26-14) open a new series on Monday against Paul Skenes and the Pittsburgh Pirates (14-27) at Citi Field.
The Mets will march into a new series aiming to tighten their grip on the No.1 spot in the NL East division. New York have won 3 of their last four games to stay in front of the trailing Philadelphia Phillies (24-16) by 1.5 games. New York ranks in the top 10 across major batting categories, posting a .255 BA (8th), .334 on base percentage (5th) and .435 slugging percentage (5th). Their 2.88 ERA puts the Mets at No.1 in this category.
The Pirates have taken 2 games out of 3 in their series with the Atlanta Braves over the weekend. At 14-27, Pittsburgh remains at the bottom of the NL Central, 5.5 games behind the fourth placed Cincinnati Reds (20-22). After throwing above a 5.00 ERA in the first few weeks of the MLB 2025 season, Pittsburgh stabilized their pitching, bringing their ERA down to 4.14.
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
3
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0.634 | 41 | 26 | 15 |
28
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0.341 | 41 | 14 | 27 |
Pittsburgh Pirates and New York Mets Latest Matches

2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 11, 2025 - MLB
May 10, 2025 - MLB
May 9, 2025 - MLB
May 7, 2025 - MLB
May 6, 2025 - MLB
May 5, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 11, 2025 - MLB
May 10, 2025 - MLB
May 9, 2025 - MLB
May 4, 2025 - MLB
May 3, 2025 - MLB
May 2, 2025 - MLB
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
May 7, 2025 - MLB
May 6, 2025 - MLB
May 5, 2025 - MLB
Apr 27, 2025 - MLB
Apr 26, 2025 - MLB
Apr 25, 2025 - MLB

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 11, 2025 - MLB
May 10, 2025 - MLB
May 9, 2025 - MLB
May 7, 2025 - MLB
May 6, 2025 - MLB
May 5, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 11, 2025 - MLB
May 10, 2025 - MLB
May 9, 2025 - MLB
May 1, 2025 - MLB
Apr 30, 2025 - MLB
Apr 29, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 7, 2025 - MLB
May 6, 2025 - MLB
May 5, 2025 - MLB
May 4, 2025 - MLB
May 4, 2025 - MLB
May 2, 2025 - MLB
Pittsburgh Pirates against New York Mets : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Jul 8, 2024 - MLB
Jul 7, 2024 - MLB
Jul 6, 2024 - MLB
Jul 5, 2024 - MLB
Sep 18, 2022 - MLB
Sep 15, 2022 - MLB
Pittsburgh Pirates - New York Mets Key Points
- Paul Skenes is 3-4 with a 2.77 ERA
- Paul Skenes allowed 2 earned runs over 6.0 innings in a 2-1 loss to St. Louis in his last start.
- Paul Skenes has 47 strikeouts after 8 starts.
- The New York Mets are batting .268 with 5.4 runs per game over their last 5 assignments.
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Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Prediction
Get me Paul Skenes, over 6.5 strikeouts. Skenes isn’t having a season as electric as he had in his rookie year, but the Pirates ace is still brandishing a respectable 2.37 ERA despite a challenging campaign. Skenes threw 8 strikeouts the last time he faced the Mets last year, and I wouldn’t be surprised if he fanned more than 6 batters against the top team in the NL East. The Mets are averaging 5.1 runs per game over their last five assignments, yet I still feel confident about Skenes’ ability to strike out a bunch of batters in the Mets' batting order because he usually turns on his rocket arm against elite squads. Three weeks ago, Skenes threw a season-high 9 strikeouts against a team I believe has more batting firepower than the Mets, the Los Angeles Dodgers. Our betting prediction for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets: Paul Skenes Over 6.5 Strikeouts
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