Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3/27/25 16:10
Miami Marlins

Prediction:

 

Under 6.5.

-107
$300+ offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Carlos Zabala in MLB Picks

Bookmakers are already predicting a low-scoring game between the Pirates and Marlins on Thursday's Opening Day. The game, which will take place at Loan Depot Park, is likely to feature a pitching duel between last season's sensational rookie, Paul Skenes, for the Pirates, and 2022 Cy Young Award winner Sandy Alcantara, who has recovered from Tommy John surgery.

In the betting circles, ahead of Wheeler, Snell, and Sale, Skenes is the favorite to win the Cy Young Award this season, with odds around +300.

It appears that the Marlins, who in the past have been quite capable of finding and developing quality starting pitchers and relievers, will endure their offensive woes for another year with a non-threatening lineup that also includes their main players, Jesus Sanchez and Connor Norby, who will be out due to injury for Opening Day.

For a team that lost 100 games last season, facing Skenes as the starter doesn't seem ideal. Skenes finished last season with an impressive 11-3 record and a 1.96 ERA. Still, the Marlins will be relieved that the Pirates closed spring training on a low note, losing their last five games and scoring two or fewer runs in all of them.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins Form

Table

Teams % P W L
19
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins
0.488 162 79 83
26
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates
0.438 162 71 91

Pittsburgh Pirates and Miami Marlins Latest Matches

Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates Latest matches
W L L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Mar 24, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  5
Minnesota Twins

Mar 23, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays

Mar 22, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Baltimore Orioles
4 :  0
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 21, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  2
Boston Red Sox

Mar 19, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  5
Tampa Bay Rays

Mar 18, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates
W D W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Mar 22, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Baltimore Orioles
4 :  0
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 18, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 17, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Minnesota Twins
2 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 15, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Baltimore Orioles
5 :  15
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 14, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Detroit Tigers
8 :  8
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 11, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

New York Yankees
1 :  9
Pittsburgh Pirates
W L L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Mar 24, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  5
Minnesota Twins

Mar 23, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  2
Toronto Blue Jays

Mar 21, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  2
Boston Red Sox

Mar 19, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  5
Tampa Bay Rays

Mar 17, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
6 :  9
Detroit Tigers

Mar 16, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  3
New York Yankees
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins Latest matches
L W W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 25, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

New York Yankees
2 :  4
Miami Marlins

Mar 23, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Miami Marlins
2 :  10
New York Mets

Mar 22, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Miami Marlins
6 :  5
Houston Astros

Mar 22, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

St. Louis Cardinals
8 :  2
Miami Marlins

Mar 21, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Miami Marlins
6 :  0
Washington Nationals

Mar 20, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Houston Astros
11 :  0
Miami Marlins
L W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Mar 25, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

New York Yankees
2 :  4
Miami Marlins

Mar 22, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

St. Louis Cardinals
8 :  2
Miami Marlins

Mar 20, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Houston Astros
11 :  0
Miami Marlins

Mar 17, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

New York Mets
6 :  5
Miami Marlins

Mar 16, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

St. Louis Cardinals
5 :  11
Miami Marlins

Mar 14, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Boston Red Sox
9 :  4
Miami Marlins
W L D W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 23, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Miami Marlins
2 :  10
New York Mets

Mar 22, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Miami Marlins
6 :  5
Houston Astros

Mar 21, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Miami Marlins
6 :  0
Washington Nationals

Mar 18, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Miami Marlins
4 :  4
St. Louis Cardinals

Mar 15, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Miami Marlins
4 :  6
Houston Astros

Mar 11, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Miami Marlins
12 :  5
St. Louis Cardinals

Pittsburgh Pirates against Miami Marlins : Head to Head (H2H)

Pittsburgh Pirates

50 %

Miami Marlins

50 %

Sep 10, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
4 :  6
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 9, 2024 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 30, 2023 - MLB

Miami Marlins
7 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Jun 24, 2023 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  4
Miami Marlins

Jun 23, 2023 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  1
Miami Marlins

Sep 5, 2019 - MLB

Miami Marlins
10 :  7
Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh Pirates - Miami Marlins Key Points

  1. 26-38-0 was the Marlins' home record as the betting underdogs in 2024
  2. Alcantara pitched four scoreless innings in Spring Training against the Astros on March 15
  3. Pirates haven't finished over .500 in any of their last six MLB seasons
  4. Pirates won their last eight games against the Marlins

Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins Prediction

Alcantara put up excellent numbers that have the Marlins excited after his return from Tommy John surgery. The Dominican ace pitched more than 12 scoreless innings in the Grapefruit League. Meanwhile, the Pirates' offense appears to have Reynolds as their strong man for another season, nothing Alcantara can't handle. A low-scoring pitching duel seems likely on Thursday. Our prediction for Pirates vs Marlins is: Under 6.5.

Prediction:

 

Under 6.5.

-107
$300+ offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins Picks