Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
9/25/25 12:40
Cincinnati Reds

Prediction:

 

Less than 8.5 goals

-127
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 by Carlos Zabala | in MLB Picks

The Pirates, with their four-game winning streak, are spoiling the Reds' party, dropping them one game behind the Mets, tying them with the D-backs, and leaving them one game behind the New York team that holds the last Wild Card spot in the National League.

The Pirates won Game 1 and Game 2 of the series at Great American Ball Park against Cincinnati, allowing only four runs in Games 1 and 2. With this, the Reds have squandered a golden opportunity, as if they had won those two games against the last-place team in the NL Central, they would have been in the playoff picture right now, but that's not the case.

Oneil Cruz hit his 20th home run of the season in Game 1 against the Reds, making him the Pirates' home run leader, the team that hit the fewest home runs in 2025. In Game 2, they won without needing a home run, and the biggest star was Suwinski, who hit a pair of RBI doubles on Wednesday.

Wednesday was also an epic game for Skenes, as it marked his conclusion to the current season, in which he posted a sub-2.00 ERA and is sure to win the Cy Young Award.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Form

Table

Teams % P W L
13
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds
0.512 162 83 79
26
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates
0.438 162 71 91

Pittsburgh Pirates and Cincinnati Reds Latest Matches

Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates Latest matches
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  3
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  2
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Athletics
0 :  11
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Athletics
0 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

Athletics
4 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
8 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Athletics
0 :  11
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Athletics
0 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

Athletics
4 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
8 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
4 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 15, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
4 :  0
Pittsburgh Pirates
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  3
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  2
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
3 :  4
Washington Nationals

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
5 :  1
Washington Nationals

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
5 :  6
Washington Nationals

Sep 11, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  3
Baltimore Orioles
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds Latest matches
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  3
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  2
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
0 :  1
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
3 :  6
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
4 :  7
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 18, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
0 :  1
Cincinnati Reds
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  3
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  2
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
0 :  1
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
3 :  6
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
4 :  7
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 18, 2025 - MLB

Chicago Cubs
0 :  1
Cincinnati Reds
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
6 :  2
St. Louis Cardinals

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
0 :  3
St. Louis Cardinals

Sep 15, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
11 :  6
St. Louis Cardinals

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4 :  7
Athletics

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
5 :  11
Athletics

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
0 :  3
Athletics

Pittsburgh Pirates against Cincinnati Reds : Head to Head (H2H)

Pittsburgh Pirates

67 %

Cincinnati Reds

33 %

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  3
Cincinnati Reds

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  2
Cincinnati Reds

Aug 10, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
14 :  8
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 9, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 8, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
2 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Aug 7, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
0 :  7
Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh Pirates - Cincinnati Reds Key Points

  1. The Reds lost Games 1 and 2 of this series as betting favorites of -166 and -122
  2. The Pirates are worst in the MLB in collective SLG at .350
  3. The Pirates' collective pitching ERA is seventh-best in the MLB at 3.81
  4. The Pirates have won six of their last eight games against the Reds

Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

When the moment is pressing, Nick Lodolo, who will start Thursday's key game against the Pirates, has responded well, and his team needs him as the ace he is in a game with a lot at stake for Cincinnati. Lodolo has an 8-8 record with a 3.44 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP.

However, with little pressure, the Pirates are already eliminated, but also, like the Marlins, for example, are having a solid finish to the season. Braxton Ashcraft will pitch for the Pirates, returning to the starting role with surprisingly pleasing numbers this season: 65.1 IP, 2.62 ERA, and 66 strikeouts.

Our prediction for Pirates vs Reds is: Under 8.5 runs.

Prediction:

 

Less than 8.5 goals

-127
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Picks