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by Erik Gibbs | in MLB Picks
The Pittsburgh Pirates and Chicago Cubs square off this afternoon at Wrigley Field, continuing their current series in a matchup that reflects the diverging trajectories of both National League Central teams. The Cubs, enjoying a strong season at home, enter the contest with a 21-11 record at Wrigley and a 5.5-game cushion atop the division. Meanwhile, the Pirates, despite recent signs of life, remain anchored in the NL Central cellar.
Chicago edged out Pittsburgh in a tightly contested 3-2 victory last night, a game defined by dominant pitching and limited offense. The Pirates managed only four hits and struck out ten times, struggling to generate any consistent momentum at the plate. That performance underscores a lingering issue for Pittsburgh: inconsistent run production, particularly on the road, where they have posted a dismal 9-23 record this season.
However, Pittsburgh has shown signs of improvement. Coming into this series, the Pirates took two out of three games from the Marlins and completed a three-game sweep of the Phillies. Overall, they have won five of their last seven games and six of their last ten. While they still sit at the bottom of the division, this stretch represents one of their more competitive runs of the season.
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
4
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0.6 | 70 | 42 | 28 |
26
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0.408 | 71 | 29 | 42 |
Pittsburgh Pirates and Chicago Cubs Latest Matches

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jun 11, 2025 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jun 12, 2025 - MLB
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Jun 7, 2025 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jun 12, 2025 - MLB
Jun 1, 2025 - MLB
May 31, 2025 - MLB
May 30, 2025 - MLB
May 28, 2025 - MLB
May 27, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jun 11, 2025 - MLB
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Jun 8, 2025 - MLB
Jun 7, 2025 - MLB
Jun 6, 2025 - MLB
Pittsburgh Pirates against Chicago Cubs : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Jun 12, 2025 - MLB
May 1, 2025 - MLB
Apr 30, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 4, 2024 - MLB
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Pittsburgh Pirates - Chicago Cubs Key Points
- The Cubs are 7-4 SU in their last 11 games
- The Pirates are 6-5 SU in their last 11 games
- The Cubs are 7-4 ATS in their last 11 games
- The Pirates are 6-5 ATS in their last 11 games
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Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs Prediction
The Pirates will send Paul Skenes to the mound this afternoon, hoping the rookie phenom can give them an edge against a potent Cubs team. Skenes has been dominant, allowing only three earned runs over his last five outings. Despite his individual excellence, the Pirates have gone just 3-5 in his last eight starts, a reflection of the team’s broader struggles with run support and bullpen execution.
On the other side, the Cubs are countering with Cade Horton, a young arm who has been increasingly reliable. Horton has held opponents to two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts, showing strong command and poise. With Chicago’s home-field advantage and more consistent offensive output, they enter the game as favorites, especially given Pittsburgh’s road woes.
Today’s game is another opportunity for the Pirates to prove their recent momentum is sustainable, while the Cubs aim to solidify their dominance in the division. If Skenes can continue his exceptional form and the Pirates' bats can rebound from last night’s quiet showing, they may have a chance to even the series. Otherwise, the Cubs could further tighten their grip on first place. Our prediction for Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: Cubs to win.
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