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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
Booked as +147 road underdogs on DraftKings, the Pittsburgh Pirates will attempt to complete a three-game sweep of the Boston Red Sox in Sunday’s series finale at Fenway Park.
Form in their last five games:
The Pirates have won 4 of their last five games, showcasing exceptional pitching prowess from their starters to their bullpen. Over their last five games, Pittsburgh has commanded an elite 2.45 ERA and 1.05 WHIP, while allowing 0.8 homers per game. The Pirates have also experienced a significant improvement in their offense in this stretch, as they average 5.0 runs and 1.2 homers per game. Pittsburgh is averaging only 3.7 runs per game this season.
The Red Sox have lost their last two games against the Pirates after sweeping the Baltimore Orioles in the previous four-game series. Boston, which surrendered seven runs across four games against Baltimore, has already given up 14 runs against the Pirates with still one game left to play in the series.
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red Sox Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
9
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0.551 | 138 | 76 | 62 |
27
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0.442 | 138 | 61 | 77 |
Pittsburgh Pirates and Boston Red Sox Latest Matches

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 30, 2025 - MLB
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 24, 2025 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 30, 2025 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 30, 2025 - MLB
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Aug 30, 2025 - MLB
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Aug 16, 2025 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 28, 2025 - MLB
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Aug 26, 2025 - MLB
Aug 25, 2025 - MLB
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Aug 23, 2025 - MLB
Pittsburgh Pirates against Boston Red Sox : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Aug 30, 2025 - MLB
Aug 29, 2025 - MLB
Mar 21, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 4, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Apr 21, 2024 - MLB
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Pittsburgh Pirates - Boston Red Sox Key Points
- Pittsburgh is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games.
- Pittsburgh is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games against Boston.
- Boston is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games.
- Boston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home.
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Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
Fearless Forecast: The Pirates completed a three-game sweep of the Red Sox.
The Difference Maker: The Pirates are in for a tough test as they face Lucas Giolito, who sports a 4-1 record with a 2.56 ERA across his last five starts. Mitch Keller’s numbers in his last five starts (3-2, 7.88 ERA) may not be as impressive as Giolito’s stats, but the Pirates’ hurler should be just fine, especially if the Pirates can provide a fitting follow-up to their 10-run explosion on Saturday. The Pirates' bullpen, which carries a 1.96 ERA over the last five games, also gives Pittsburgh a chance to win games late in the game, either in come-from-behind situations or in a scenario where they are protecting a small lead.
Our betting prediction for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. the Boston Red Sox: the Pirates will win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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