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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
After gutting out back-to-back extra-inning wins, the Baltimore Orioles will go for no less than a sweep in Thursday’s Game 3 with the Pittsburgh Pirates at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Listed as -151 favorites, the Orioles will be facing Pirates right-handed pitcher Johan Oviedo, who is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA after five starts.
Current Form:
The Orioles have won 4 of their last 5 games to improve their record to 68-77, last in the AL East division. Baltimore has posted a 2.06 ERA over their last five games, during which they have only surrendered a total of 9 runs. This fantastic form on the mound has tremendously helped the Orioles win games despite averaging just 2.6 runs per game over the last five games.
The Pirates have lost five games in a row, and that’s because they just could not score more than three runs in any one of their last five games. In this stretch, Pittsburgh has averaged a harrowing 1.5 runs per game on a .141 batting average. And although the Pirates’ pitching remains competitive at 3.91 ERA, the absence or lack of a reliable offense has significantly hurt this team not only in this five-game spell but throughout the season.
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Baltimore Orioles Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
23
|
0.463 | 149 | 69 | 80 |
|
27
|
0.433 | 150 | 65 | 85 |
Pittsburgh Pirates and Baltimore Orioles Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Sep 10, 2025 - MLB
Sep 9, 2025 - MLB
Sep 7, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 5, 2025 - MLB
Sep 4, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 7, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 3, 2025 - MLB
Sep 2, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 10, 2025 - MLB
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Aug 31, 2025 - MLB
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Aug 28, 2025 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 10, 2025 - MLB
Sep 9, 2025 - MLB
Sep 7, 2025 - MLB
Sep 6, 2025 - MLB
Sep 5, 2025 - MLB
Sep 3, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 10, 2025 - MLB
Sep 9, 2025 - MLB
Sep 7, 2025 - MLB
Sep 6, 2025 - MLB
Sep 5, 2025 - MLB
Aug 28, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 3, 2025 - MLB
Sep 2, 2025 - MLB
Sep 1, 2025 - MLB
Aug 31, 2025 - MLB
Aug 30, 2025 - MLB
Aug 29, 2025 - MLB
Pittsburgh Pirates against Baltimore Orioles : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Sep 10, 2025 - MLB
Sep 9, 2025 - MLB
Mar 22, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 15, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 10, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Mar 6, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Pittsburgh Pirates - Baltimore Orioles Key Points
- Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games.
- Pittsburgh is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Baltimore.
- Baltimore is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games.
- Baltimore is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh.
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Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
The Orioles should sweep the Pirates on Thursday, completing a three-game sweep. Baltimore’s offense isn’t good, but they are not as bad as the Pirates’ recent numbers at the plate. Left-handed pitcher Cade Povich is 1-4 with a 5.13 ERA across his last five starts. However, Povich will get an opportunity to shine on the mound in Game 3 as the Pirates are only hitting .217 with an average of 3.4 runs per game against lefties in the season and .067 with an average of 1.7 runs in their last five games against left-handed pitchers.
Pirates starter Johan Oviedo (2-3, 4.95 ERA in his last five starts) did not allow a single run over five innings in his last start against the Brewers on September 5, and yet the Pirates still lost the game by three runs because of a bad bullpen (4.30 ERA in the last five games) and a much worse offense.
Our betting prediction for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. the Baltimore Orioles: the Orioles -1.5 Runs
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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