Pittsburgh Pirates vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
9/9/25 18:35
Baltimore Orioles

Prediction:

 

The Pirates will win

+129
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 by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks

The Baltimore Orioles look to maintain their winning form as they play host to the Pittsburgh Pirates for a three-game series starting on Tuesday at Oriole Park.

The Pirates, who have won three of their last four meetings with the Orioles, will enter the series finale as an enticing +129 underdog option on the moneyline.

Current Form:

The Pirates will try to rebound after suffering a three-game sweep at the hands of the Milwaukee Brewers. Pittsburgh only scored a total of five runs while conceding 19 runs to the Brewers across three games. The Pirates’ ERA over the last five games has risen to 4.00, which is slightly higher than the 3.91 ERA they have maintained throughout the season. Moreover, the Pirates’ run production has also dropped to 2.7 runs per game on a .203 batting average over the last five games. The Pirates are averaging a mediocre 3.7 runs per contest in the season.

The Orioles’ win streak ended at five games after losing the final game of their series with the Dodgers, 5-2. Like the 64-80 Pirates, Baltimore is also last in their division with a 66-77 record, though this team has won 6 of their last 7 games, -5 of which at the expense of the top-2 teams in the NL West, the Dodgers and the Padres. Over the last five games, the Orioles have averaged a modest 4.3 runs per game but posted an elite 3.00 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Baltimore Orioles Form

Table

Teams % P W L
22
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles
0.462 143 66 77
26
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates
0.444 144 64 80

Pittsburgh Pirates and Baltimore Orioles Latest Matches

Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates Latest matches
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
10 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
5 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 4, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
3 :  5
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
0 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 2, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
7 :  9
Pittsburgh Pirates
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
10 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
4 :  1
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
5 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 4, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
3 :  5
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
0 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Sep 2, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
7 :  9
Pittsburgh Pirates
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  5
Boston Red Sox

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
10 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Aug 29, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 :  2
Boston Red Sox

Aug 28, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 :  4
St. Louis Cardinals

Aug 27, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 :  1
St. Louis Cardinals

Aug 26, 2025 - MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates
8 :  3
St. Louis Cardinals
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
5 :  2
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
3 :  4
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
1 :  2
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
7 :  5
San Diego Padres

Sep 2, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
6 :  2
San Diego Padres

Sep 1, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
4 :  3
San Diego Padres
L L L W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
5 :  2
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
3 :  4
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers
1 :  2
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 28, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  2
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 27, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  2
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 26, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
5 :  0
Baltimore Orioles
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
7 :  5
San Diego Padres

Sep 2, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
6 :  2
San Diego Padres

Sep 1, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
4 :  3
San Diego Padres

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
2 :  13
San Francisco Giants

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
11 :  1
San Francisco Giants

Aug 29, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
8 :  15
San Francisco Giants

Pittsburgh Pirates against Baltimore Orioles : Head to Head (H2H)

Pittsburgh Pirates

67 %

Baltimore Orioles

33 %

Mar 22, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Baltimore Orioles
4 :  0
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 15, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Baltimore Orioles
5 :  15
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 10, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Baltimore Orioles
6 :  3
Pittsburgh Pirates

Mar 6, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
9 :  5
Baltimore Orioles

Mar 1, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Pittsburgh Pirates
5 :  2
Baltimore Orioles

Feb 26, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Baltimore Orioles
3 :  7
Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh Pirates - Baltimore Orioles Key Points

  1. Pittsburgh is 7-13 SU in its last 20 games against Baltimore.
  2. Pittsburgh is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games against an opponent in the American League.
  3. Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the National League.
  4. Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.

Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Pirates are indeed an intriguing underdog pick at +129 because of their 3-1 record against the Orioles in their last four meetings, and Mike Burrows making his first start since spending a brief time on the IL. Burrows’ last mound appearance happened on August 23 against the Rockies, pitching four scoreless innings to help the Pirates earn a 5-1 win.

As for the Orioles, they will start Kyle Bradish, who allowed two runs in each of his first two MLB starts. Baltimore is also 11-2 in their last 13 games when playing the Pirates at home, though I don’t think this record holds any relevance for this particular matchup. The Pirates will always have a higher chance of winning over the Orioles than the Brewers, who have been a nightmare matchup for them this year. 

Our betting prediction for the Baltimore Orioles vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates: the Pirates will win

Prediction:

 

The Pirates will win

+129
$400+ offered for betting!

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Baltimore Orioles Picks