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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
The Atlanta Braves and the Pittsburgh Pirates will duke it out in their final game of the season on Sunday at Truist Park.
In their last three meetings, the Braves and the Pirates have combined for an average of 7.6 runs per game. The total for this game is set at 7.5 runs.
Current Form:
The Braves have lost their last three games, including Saturday’s 1-3 loss to the Pirates in Game 2 of their series. Atlanta, which will finish this season at fourth place in the NL East, has averaged 4.4 runs per game and pitched to a 4.60 ERA in their last five games.
The Pirates have won four of their last five games, enhancing their record to 71-90. Although they remain one of the worst teams in the National League, Pittsburgh has shown through its 2025 MLB season that it has incredibly high potential, especially on the mound, where it has maintained a 3.76 ERA. Over the last five games, the Pirates have posted a 1.96 ERA and averaged 4.0 runs per game on a .243 BA.
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
22
|
0.469 | 162 | 76 | 86 |
|
26
|
0.438 | 162 | 71 | 91 |
Pittsburgh Pirates and Atlanta Braves Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 27, 2025 - MLB
Sep 26, 2025 - MLB
Sep 25, 2025 - MLB
Sep 24, 2025 - MLB
Sep 23, 2025 - MLB
Sep 21, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 21, 2025 - MLB
Sep 20, 2025 - MLB
Sep 19, 2025 - MLB
Sep 17, 2025 - MLB
Sep 16, 2025 - MLB
Sep 15, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 27, 2025 - MLB
Sep 26, 2025 - MLB
Sep 25, 2025 - MLB
Sep 24, 2025 - MLB
Sep 23, 2025 - MLB
Sep 14, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 27, 2025 - MLB
Sep 26, 2025 - MLB
Sep 24, 2025 - MLB
Sep 23, 2025 - MLB
Sep 22, 2025 - MLB
Sep 21, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 27, 2025 - MLB
Sep 26, 2025 - MLB
Sep 24, 2025 - MLB
Sep 23, 2025 - MLB
Sep 22, 2025 - MLB
Sep 14, 2025 - MLB
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Sep 21, 2025 - MLB
Sep 20, 2025 - MLB
Sep 19, 2025 - MLB
Sep 17, 2025 - MLB
Sep 16, 2025 - MLB
Sep 16, 2025 - MLB
Pittsburgh Pirates against Atlanta Braves : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Sep 27, 2025 - MLB
Sep 26, 2025 - MLB
May 11, 2025 - MLB
May 10, 2025 - MLB
May 9, 2025 - MLB
Mar 8, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Pittsburgh Pirates - Atlanta Braves Key Points
- The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Pittsburgh's last 17 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games against Pittsburgh.
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Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
The total went UNDER in 8 of the Pirates' last 10 head-to-head games against the Braves. For Sunday's game 3, the total has been set at 7.5 runs. Pittsburgh and Atlanta have combined for an average 6.30 runs per game in their last 10 meetings.
Pirates starter Johan Oviedo has carried a 3.55 ERA in his last five starts, while Braves starter Charlie Morton has posted an 11.65 ERA in his last five mound appearances. Morton reunited with the Braves roughly a week after allowing six earned runs over 1.1 innings against Atlanta, which marked his final start for the Tigers on September 19. The last time Morton faced the Pirates, he shut them down through 6.1 innings to help Atlanta earn 6-1 win on July 28, 2024.
Our betting prediction for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. the Atlanta Braves: the Under 7.0 Runs.
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