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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The Pittsburgh Pirates will try to earn their fifth win in six games against the Atlanta Braves in Saturday’s Game 2 at Truist Park.
The Pirates are +144 underdogs despite holding a 4-1 record in the last five head-to-head meetings with the Braves.
Current Form:
The Pirates improved their record to 70-90 after going 4-1 in their last five games, highlighted by a 9-3 victory over the Braves in Friday’s series opener. Pittsburgh has only surrendered 10 earned runs this week, posting a 1.76 ERA over a five-game stretch. Also in this stretch, the Pirates have generated 5.7 runs per game on a .268 batting average.
The Braves have dropped back-to-back games against Washington, 3-4, and Pittsburgh, 3-9, after racking up 10 straight wins. Atlanta has surrendered 13 runs in the last two games, causing their ERA over the previous five games to jump to 4.40. Offensively, Atlanta has averaged a solid 5.4 runs per game on a .268 batting average over this five-game spell.
Starting Pitchers Matchup:
Pirates RHP Bubba Chandler (3-1, 3.56 ERA) vs. Braves RHP Spencer Strider (7-13, 4.45 ERA).
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
23
|
0.469 | 160 | 75 | 85 |
|
26
|
0.438 | 160 | 70 | 90 |
Pittsburgh Pirates and Atlanta Braves Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 26, 2025 - MLB
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 21, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 19, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 15, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 26, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 13, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 26, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 23, 2025 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 26, 2025 - MLB
Sep 24, 2025 - MLB
Sep 23, 2025 - MLB
Sep 22, 2025 - MLB
Sep 14, 2025 - MLB
Sep 13, 2025 - MLB
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Sep 21, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 17, 2025 - MLB
Sep 16, 2025 - MLB
Sep 16, 2025 - MLB
Pittsburgh Pirates against Atlanta Braves : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Sep 26, 2025 - MLB
May 11, 2025 - MLB
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Mar 8, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Feb 26, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
Pittsburgh Pirates - Atlanta Braves Key Points
- Atlanta is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games.
- Atlanta is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games at home.
- Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
- Pittsburgh is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Atlanta.
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Our Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
The Pirates are 4-1 in their last five meetings with the Braves, but Atlanta is in good shape to flip the script with Spencer Strider set to start on Saturday. After a challenging comeback journey from a UCL surgery, Strider has rounded into form over the last five games, during which he has posted a 2.10 ERA. The Braves ace has also recorded five scoreless innings with six strikeouts to help Atlanta beat Detroit 6-2 in his latest start on September 21.
Meanwhile, the Pirates have tapped Bubba Chandler, who is also coming off a five-inning shutout of the Athletics on September 20. The Pirates boast an elite 1.76 ERA in their last five games, including a 1.93 ERA from their bullpen. However, with Strider delivering pre-injury numbers in the past two games, the Braves might have a realistic chance to hack out a win over the Pirates and cover the -1.5-run spread. Atlanta is 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games.
Our betting prediction for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. the Atlanta Braves: the Braves -1.5 Runs.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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