Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars Prediction & Picks - NHL

USA - NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins
12/7/25 18:00
Dallas Stars

Prediction:

 

Dallas to win

-225
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 by Bill Christy in NHL Picks

The Pittsburgh Penguins (15-7-5) are right in the middle of the hotly contested Metropolitan Division. Currently, only 6 points separate 1st place from last place. The Dallas Stars (19-5-5) are trailing the Avalanche by just 1 point for the lead in the Central Division. The two teams will meet on Sunday evening in Dallas.

The Penguins have won 4 of their last 5, including 2 straight over Philly and Tampa Bay. The 83 goals they have scored on the season put them in a respectable 14th place in the league, but the 71 they have allowed is more impressive. That number puts the Penguins in 3rd place in total goals allowed. Silovs and Jarry are combining to allow an average of just 2.81 goals per game on the season.

Dallas has also won their last 2 games and has been on an even more impressive run as they have won 6 of their last 7. In those wins, they have been defeating teams by an average of 3 goals. They are near the very top of the league in goals scored and right there for goals allowed as well. They are one of the most balanced teams to this point in the season.

This should be the best game of the Sunday slate of NHL games. They will not meet again until late March, but if they each continue the strong play, that game could be a preview of a potential Stanley Cup final matchup.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L GD
2
Dallas Stars
Dallas Stars
43 29 19 10 27
4
Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins
33 26 14 12 9

Pittsburgh Penguins and Dallas Stars Latest Matches

Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins Latest matches
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 4, 2025 - NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins
4 :  3
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 1, 2025 - NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins
5 :  1
Philadelphia Flyers

Nov 29, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
7 :  2
Pittsburgh Penguins

Nov 28, 2025 - NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins
4 :  3
Columbus Blue Jackets

Nov 26, 2025 - NHL

Buffalo Sabres
2 :  4
Pittsburgh Penguins

Nov 22, 2025 - NHL

Seattle Kraken
3 :  2
Pittsburgh Penguins
L W L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Nov 29, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
7 :  2
Pittsburgh Penguins

Nov 26, 2025 - NHL

Buffalo Sabres
2 :  4
Pittsburgh Penguins

Nov 22, 2025 - NHL

Seattle Kraken
3 :  2
Pittsburgh Penguins

Nov 21, 2025 - NHL

Minnesota Wild
5 :  0
Pittsburgh Penguins

Nov 16, 2025 - NHL

Nashville Predators
0 :  4
Pittsburgh Penguins

Nov 9, 2025 - NHL

Los Angeles Kings
3 :  2
Pittsburgh Penguins
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 4, 2025 - NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins
4 :  3
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 1, 2025 - NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins
5 :  1
Philadelphia Flyers

Nov 28, 2025 - NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins
4 :  3
Columbus Blue Jackets

Nov 14, 2025 - NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins
1 :  2
Nashville Predators

Nov 8, 2025 - NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins
1 :  2
New Jersey Devils

Nov 3, 2025 - NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins
3 :  4
Toronto Maple Leafs
Dallas Stars
Dallas Stars Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 5, 2025 - NHL

San Jose Sharks
1 :  4
Dallas Stars

Dec 3, 2025 - NHL

Dallas Stars
3 :  0
New Jersey Devils

Dec 2, 2025 - NHL

Dallas Stars
2 :  3
New York Rangers

Nov 30, 2025 - NHL

Ottawa Senators
1 :  6
Dallas Stars

Nov 28, 2025 - NHL

Utah Mammoth
3 :  4
Dallas Stars

Nov 26, 2025 - NHL

Dallas Stars
3 :  2
Seattle Kraken
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 5, 2025 - NHL

San Jose Sharks
1 :  4
Dallas Stars

Nov 30, 2025 - NHL

Ottawa Senators
1 :  6
Dallas Stars

Nov 28, 2025 - NHL

Utah Mammoth
3 :  4
Dallas Stars

Nov 18, 2025 - NHL

New York Islanders
3 :  2
Dallas Stars

Nov 15, 2025 - NHL

Philadelphia Flyers
1 :  5
Dallas Stars

Nov 9, 2025 - NHL

Seattle Kraken
1 :  2
Dallas Stars
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 3, 2025 - NHL

Dallas Stars
3 :  0
New Jersey Devils

Dec 2, 2025 - NHL

Dallas Stars
2 :  3
New York Rangers

Nov 26, 2025 - NHL

Dallas Stars
3 :  2
Seattle Kraken

Nov 25, 2025 - NHL

Dallas Stars
8 :  3
Edmonton Oilers

Nov 22, 2025 - NHL

Dallas Stars
2 :  3
Calgary Flames

Nov 20, 2025 - NHL

Dallas Stars
4 :  2
Vancouver Canucks

Pittsburgh Penguins against Dallas Stars : Head to Head (H2H)

Pittsburgh Penguins

67 %

Dallas Stars

33 %

Apr 5, 2025 - NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins
5 :  3
Dallas Stars

Mar 22, 2024 - NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins
2 :  4
Dallas Stars

Dec 12, 2022 - NHL

Dallas Stars
1 :  2
Pittsburgh Penguins

Pittsburgh Penguins - Dallas Stars Key Points

  1. Pittsburgh is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games against Dallas.
  2. Pittsburgh is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Dallas.
  3. Dallas is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games.
  4. Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home.

Our Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars Prediction

These teams are evenly matched in terms of statistics and level of recent play. In those situations, we need to look at what the small edges could be in the matchup. The Stars have home ice advantage. While that does not mean everything, it has been significant when these teams have met in their recent history. We are backing the home squad in this one.

Our prediction for Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Dallas to win

Prediction:

 

Dallas to win

-225
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Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars Picks