Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks - WNBA
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by Matt Lowrimore | in WNBA Picks
Just a three-game WNBA slate is scheduled for Saturday, which will include a Western Conference matchup between the Las Vegas Aces and the Phoenix Mercury. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Aces and the Mercury.
Phoenix enters this game with a record of 8-15 and is currently in seventh place in the WNBA Western Conference. The Mercury are coming off back-to-back losses and are 4-6 SU in their last 10 games. That being said, they have been decent on the road this season and have been competitive against Las Vegas this season.
As for Las Vegas, they enter this game with a record of 16-6 and are currently tied for first place in the WNBA Western Conference. The Aces have been in great form recently, having gone 7-3 SU in their last 10 games. That being said, Las Vegas is only decent at home this season, leaving the door open for Phoenix to keep this game close.
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Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
0.727 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 1 |
|
12
|
0.348 | 23 | 8 | 15 |
Las Vegas Aces and Phoenix Mercury Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 9, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 5, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 3, 2026 - WNBA
Jun 30, 2026 - WNBA Commissioner Cup
Jun 28, 2026 - WNBA
Jun 25, 2026 - WNBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 5, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 3, 2026 - WNBA
Jun 25, 2026 - WNBA
Jun 23, 2026 - WNBA
Jun 21, 2026 - WNBA
Jun 13, 2026 - WNBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 9, 2026 - WNBA
Jun 30, 2026 - WNBA Commissioner Cup
Jun 28, 2026 - WNBA
Jun 17, 2026 - WNBA
Jun 15, 2026 - WNBA
Jun 11, 2026 - WNBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 9, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 7, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 2, 2026 - WNBA
Jun 27, 2026 - WNBA
Jun 24, 2026 - WNBA
Jun 22, 2026 - WNBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jul 9, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 7, 2026 - WNBA
Jul 2, 2026 - WNBA
Jun 20, 2026 - WNBA
Jun 17, 2026 - WNBA
Jun 13, 2026 - WNBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jun 27, 2026 - WNBA
Jun 24, 2026 - WNBA
Jun 22, 2026 - WNBA
Jun 11, 2026 - WNBA
Jun 9, 2026 - WNBA
Jun 5, 2026 - WNBA
Las Vegas Aces against Phoenix Mercury : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
Jun 17, 2026 - WNBA
May 9, 2026 - WNBA
Oct 10, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 8, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 5, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA
Players list
C. Gray
J. Young
S. Talbot
N. Smith
D. Bonner
L. Held
A. Thomas
K. Copper
V. Ayayi
Substitutes
J. Loyd
D. Evans
C. Parker
K. Bell
J. Barker
J. Pissott
Q. Carter
M. Akoa-Makani
S. Whitcomb
S. Ciezki
M. Suarez
N. Brochant
Las Vegas Aces - Phoenix Mercury Key Points
- Phoenix is 2-0 ATS vs Las Vegas this season
- Phoenix is 4-6 SU in their last 10 games
- Las Vegas is 6-4 SU at home this season
- Las Vegas is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games
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Our Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction
Las Vegas is the heavy betting favorite in this game; however, Phoenix looks to be the best betting option on the spread. As inconsistent as the Mercury have been this season, they have played the Aces tight. In two regular-season meetings, Phoenix is 1-1 SU against Las Vegas, but more importantly, they are 2-0 against the spread.
This includes a 33-point win against the Aces in May and a 10-point loss in June. Further, the Aces have proven to be somewhat unreliable when playing at home, as they are only 6-4 SU this season.
Even though these teams look to be going in opposite directions, our Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury prediction is: Phoenix Mercury +10.5.
A 2026 WC Welcome Bonus for Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.