Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
7/11/26 18:00
Phoenix Mercury

Prediction:

 

Phoenix Mercury +10.5

-115
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 by Matt Lowrimore | in WNBA Picks

Just a three-game WNBA slate is scheduled for Saturday, which will include a Western Conference matchup between the Las Vegas Aces and the Phoenix Mercury. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Aces and the Mercury.

Phoenix enters this game with a record of 8-15 and is currently in seventh place in the WNBA Western Conference. The Mercury are coming off back-to-back losses and are 4-6 SU in their last 10 games. That being said, they have been decent on the road this season and have been competitive against Las Vegas this season.

As for Las Vegas, they enter this game with a record of 16-6 and are currently tied for first place in the WNBA Western Conference. The Aces have been in great form recently, having gone 7-3 SU in their last 10 games. That being said, Las Vegas is only decent at home this season, leaving the door open for Phoenix to keep this game close.

Up to $200 to bet on Las Vegas Aces - Phoenix Mercury! 

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Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
1 Las Vegas Aces
0.727 22 16 6 1
12 Phoenix Mercury
0.348 23 8 15

Las Vegas Aces and Phoenix Mercury Latest Matches

Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces Latest matches
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 9, 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
80 :  88
Las Vegas Aces

Jul 5, 2026 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
68 :  84
Indiana Fever

Jul 3, 2026 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
98 :  90
Chicago Sky

Jun 30, 2026 - WNBA Commissioner Cup

New York Liberty
93 :  85
Las Vegas Aces

Jun 28, 2026 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
99 :  107
Las Vegas Aces

Jun 25, 2026 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
99 :  84
Dallas Wings
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 5, 2026 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
68 :  84
Indiana Fever

Jul 3, 2026 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
98 :  90
Chicago Sky

Jun 25, 2026 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
99 :  84
Dallas Wings

Jun 23, 2026 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
76 :  87
New York Liberty

Jun 21, 2026 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
92 :  73
Golden State Valkyries

Jun 13, 2026 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
100 :  97
Minnesota Lynx
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 9, 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
80 :  88
Las Vegas Aces

Jun 30, 2026 - WNBA Commissioner Cup

New York Liberty
93 :  85
Las Vegas Aces

Jun 28, 2026 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
99 :  107
Las Vegas Aces

Jun 17, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  86
Las Vegas Aces

Jun 15, 2026 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
96 :  66
Las Vegas Aces

Jun 11, 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
89 :  105
Las Vegas Aces
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 9, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  92
Indiana Fever

Jul 7, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
66 :  77
Chicago Sky

Jul 2, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
90 :  67
Seattle Storm

Jun 27, 2026 - WNBA

Toronto Tempo
80 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 24, 2026 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
109 :  111
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 22, 2026 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
86 :  77
Phoenix Mercury
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 9, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  92
Indiana Fever

Jul 7, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
66 :  77
Chicago Sky

Jul 2, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
90 :  67
Seattle Storm

Jun 20, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
93 :  73
Seattle Storm

Jun 17, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  86
Las Vegas Aces

Jun 13, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
102 :  111
L.a. Sparks
W L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jun 27, 2026 - WNBA

Toronto Tempo
80 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 24, 2026 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
109 :  111
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 22, 2026 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
86 :  77
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 11, 2026 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
85 :  70
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 9, 2026 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
87 :  81
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 5, 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
72 :  78
Phoenix Mercury

Las Vegas Aces against Phoenix Mercury : Head to Head (H2H)

Las Vegas Aces

83 %

Phoenix Mercury

17 %

Jun 17, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  86
Las Vegas Aces

May 9, 2026 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
66 :  99
Phoenix Mercury

Oct 10, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
86 :  97
Las Vegas Aces

Oct 8, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
88 :  90
Las Vegas Aces

Oct 5, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
91 :  78
Phoenix Mercury

Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
89 :  86
Phoenix Mercury
Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Picks

Players list

Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces
A. Wilson

C. Gray

J. Young

S. Talbot

N. Smith

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury

D. Bonner

L. Held

A. Thomas

K. Copper

V. Ayayi

Substitutes

Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces
B. Turner

J. Loyd

D. Evans

C. Parker

K. Bell

J. Barker

J. Pissott

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
N. Mack K. Linskens

Q. Carter

M. Akoa-Makani

S. Whitcomb

S. Ciezki

M. Suarez

N. Brochant

Las Vegas Aces - Phoenix Mercury Key Points

  1. Phoenix is 2-0 ATS vs Las Vegas this season
  2. Phoenix is 4-6 SU in their last 10 games
  3. Las Vegas is 6-4 SU at home this season
  4. Las Vegas is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games
Up to $200 to bet on Las Vegas Aces - Phoenix Mercury! 

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Our Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction

Las Vegas is the heavy betting favorite in this game; however, Phoenix looks to be the best betting option on the spread. As inconsistent as the Mercury have been this season, they have played the Aces tight. In two regular-season meetings, Phoenix is 1-1 SU against Las Vegas, but more importantly, they are 2-0 against the spread.

This includes a 33-point win against the Aces in May and a 10-point loss in June. Further, the Aces have proven to be somewhat unreliable when playing at home, as they are only 6-4 SU this season.

Even though these teams look to be going in opposite directions, our Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury prediction is: Phoenix Mercury +10.5.

Prediction:

 

Phoenix Mercury +10.5

-115
$200 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.