Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks - WNBA
USA - WNBA
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by Matt Lowrimore | in WNBA Picks
A total of four games are scheduled in the WNBA on Saturday, including a rematch of the 2025 WNBA Finals between the Las Vegas Aces and the Phoenix Mercury. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Aces and the Mercury.
Phoenix enters the game having finished the 2025 season with a record of 27-17. The Mercury’s 2025 season was largely a success as they reached the 2025 WNBA Finals, but were swept by the Aces. On their way to the Finals, Phoenix defeated the Minnesota Lynx in four games, and looks to be a team that could challenge for the title once again this season.
As for Las Vegas, they won their third WNBA Finals in the last four years in 2025. The Aces finished the 2025 regular season with a record of 30-14, and brought back Aja Wilson, who won another WNBA MVP in 2025. With Wilson, the Aces are expected to be frontrunners to repeat as champions, but could struggle in their opening game against a team they are very familiar with.
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Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
0.692 | 26 | 18 | 8 | |
|
12
|
0.357 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 2 |
Las Vegas Aces and Phoenix Mercury Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Oct 10, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 8, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 5, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 30, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 28, 2025 - WNBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Oct 5, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 30, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 18, 2025 - WNBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Oct 10, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 8, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 28, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 16, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Oct 10, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 8, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 5, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 28, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Oct 10, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 8, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 28, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 19, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Oct 5, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA
Las Vegas Aces against Phoenix Mercury : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
Oct 10, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 8, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 5, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 15, 2025 - WNBA
Players list
J. Young
C. Gray
N. Smith
S. Talbot
D. Bonner
J. Nogic
A. Thomas
K. Copper
Substitutes
C. Carter
J. Loyd
K. Bell
C. Parker
K. Williams
Q. Carter
P. Williams
N. Brochant
Las Vegas Aces - Phoenix Mercury Key Points
- Phoenix finished 2025 with a record of 27-17
- An average of 176.3 points per game was scored in four WNBA Finals games
- Las Vegas finished 2025 with a record of 30-14
- Las Vegas averaged 83.6 points per game in 2025
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Our Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction
Las Vegas is nearly a double-digit favorite to open the season; however, the over looks to be the best betting option. While the Mercury were swept in the WNBA Finals in 2025 against the Aces, the one consistent factor was that a ton of points were scored.
In fact, an average of 176.3 points per game was scored in four 2025 WNBA Finals games between these two teams. As a result, the over cashed in all four of these games. Further, Las Vegas averaged 83.6 points per game in 2025, and Phoenix averaged 82.8 points per game.
Therefore, because points have consistently been scored when these two teams have played each other, our Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces prediction is: Over 166.5 Total Points.All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
