New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

New York Liberty
9/17/25 20:00
Phoenix Mercury

Prediction:

 

New York Liberty win the match

-150
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 by Tyler Doty | in WNBA Picks

On Wednesday night, September 17th, the New York Liberty and Phoenix Mercury will face off in the second game of the first round of the WNBA playoffs. The game will be played at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn.

In the first game between the teams, which is a best-of-three series at this stage, the Mercury looked threatening at times and stayed ahead on the scoreboard, but without managing to build a comfortable lead, allowing the Liberty to take control of the game again. Even so, the home team's reaction took the game into overtime. In overtime, the New York team dominated, taking the lead on their first possession, opening up a comfortable lead, and never relinquishing it to win 76-69.

Point guard Natasha Cloud was the game's leading scorer with 23 points, followed by Breanna Stewart and Sabrina Ionescu, who scored 18 and 16 points, respectively. For the Mercury, point guard Kahleah Copper was the leading scorer with 15 points, and Alyssa Thomas came close to a triple-double with 14 points, 9 rebounds, and 8 assists.

New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Form

New York Liberty and Phoenix Mercury Latest Matches

New York Liberty
New York Liberty Latest matches
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
60 :  86
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
69 :  76
New York Liberty

Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
86 :  91
New York Liberty

Sep 9, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
75 :  66
Washington Mystics

Sep 5, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
76 :  84
New York Liberty

Sep 2, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
66 :  58
New York Liberty
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
60 :  86
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 9, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
75 :  66
Washington Mystics

Aug 28, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
89 :  63
Washington Mystics

Aug 25, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  79
Connecticut Sun

Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
85 :  91
Chicago Sky

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
85 :  75
Minnesota Lynx
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
69 :  76
New York Liberty

Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
86 :  91
New York Liberty

Sep 5, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
76 :  84
New York Liberty

Sep 2, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
66 :  58
New York Liberty

Aug 30, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
80 :  63
New York Liberty

Aug 23, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
78 :  62
New York Liberty
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
W L L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
60 :  86
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
69 :  76
New York Liberty

Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
97 :  76
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 9, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  88
L.a. Sparks

Sep 6, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
87 :  84
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 4, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
69 :  75
Phoenix Mercury
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
69 :  76
New York Liberty

Sep 9, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  88
L.a. Sparks

Sep 2, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
85 :  79
Indiana Fever

Aug 30, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
80 :  63
New York Liberty

Aug 28, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  79
Chicago Sky

Aug 22, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
81 :  72
Golden State Valkyries
L W W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
60 :  86
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
97 :  76
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 6, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
87 :  84
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 4, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
69 :  75
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 26, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
84 :  92
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
83 :  61
Phoenix Mercury

New York Liberty against Phoenix Mercury : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Liberty

33 %

Phoenix Mercury

67 %

Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
60 :  86
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
69 :  76
New York Liberty

Aug 30, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
80 :  63
New York Liberty

Jul 25, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
89 :  76
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
106 :  91
New York Liberty

Jun 19, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Players list

New York Liberty
New York Liberty
J. Jones

N. Cloud

S. Ionescu

L. Fiebich

B. Stewart

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
N. Mack

M. Akoa-Makani

K. Copper

S. Sabally

A. Thomas

Substitutes

New York Liberty
New York Liberty
N. Sabally K. Burke

R. Gardner

M. Johannes

E. Meesseman

S. Talbot

I. Harrison

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
K. Brown

K. Williams

D. Bonner

L. Held

K. Laksa

S. Whitcomb

K. Westbeld

New York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury Key Points

  1. The Liberty are on a four-game winning streak.
  2. The Mercury have lost their last four games.
  3. The Liberty played away and won the first game against the Mercury, 76-69.
  4. The Liberty is playing at home, looking for a win to advance in the playoffs.

Our New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction

It is interesting to note that Mercury's defense managed to limit Liberty's attack in the first game between the teams, but even so, it was not enough to secure the victory, with Natasha Cloud appearing as the surprise element of the New York team, even with the game taking place in Arizona.

Now, with the New York team playing at home, and considering that the visiting team does not have many more adjustments possible given the outcome of the first game, there is greater favoritism for the home team.

Therefore, our prediction for the New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury: Victory for New York Liberty.

Prediction:

 

New York Liberty win the match

-150
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New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Picks